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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  CO-Monmouth: Clinton +13
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Author Topic: CO-Monmouth: Clinton +13  (Read 1719 times)
HillOfANight
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« on: July 13, 2016, 12:04:55 pm »
« edited: July 13, 2016, 12:12:58 pm by HillOfANight »

https://twitter.com/tripgabriel/status/753272829630701568
http://monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_CO_071316/

Clinton - 48
Trump - 35
Johnson - 5

11% Hispanic sample

Dems
Clinton 93
Trump 3
Other 1

GOP
Clinton 9
Trump 78
Other 3

Women
Clinton 56
Trump 30

Men
Clinton 40
Trump 39

White
Clinton 44
Trump 38
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: July 13, 2016, 12:06:01 pm »

Hello Likely D Colorado!
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IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ
IndyRep
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« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2016, 12:07:18 pm »

Ouch. CO might be more of a lost cause for Trump than NV.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #3 on: July 13, 2016, 12:09:37 pm »

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/CO/president/#exit-polls

It was 14% Latino per 2012 exit polls.
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Know Nothing
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« Reply #4 on: July 13, 2016, 12:10:59 pm »

I've got a gut feeling Monmouth is wrong in CO.
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Arch
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« Reply #5 on: July 13, 2016, 12:13:10 pm »

Wow, CO
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dspNY
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« Reply #6 on: July 13, 2016, 12:15:21 pm »

Great poll!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: July 13, 2016, 12:16:39 pm »

I've got a gut feeling Monmouth is wrong in CO.

Yeah, this is a little high, but average it with Harper and you still get Clinton +10.

And it fits what we've been seeing in national polls regarding college educated whites going for Clinton.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #8 on: July 13, 2016, 12:25:51 pm »

BEAUTIFUL! Thank you Hispanics and educateds!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: July 13, 2016, 12:41:48 pm »

That's brutal for Trump if accurate. 
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WeAreDoomed
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« Reply #10 on: July 13, 2016, 12:45:22 pm »

So Colorado seems like it will vote to the left of Pennsylvania, the first time since 1948.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #11 on: July 13, 2016, 12:46:01 pm »

I never had much hope for Colorado since Trump became the nominee.
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dspNY
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« Reply #12 on: July 13, 2016, 12:46:17 pm »

To clarify: I think Harper is actually more accurate (high single digits for Clinton) but it shows that Colorado is almost impossible for Trump to win. It also shows that the DCCC polling showing Clinton up 8 in that Nevada swing district was right since NV and CO are similar states
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heatcharger
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« Reply #13 on: July 13, 2016, 12:46:43 pm »

Likely D. CO, along with IA, have no effect on Trump's electoral calculus however. FL + OH + PA will continue to be his only path to victory.
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Buh her emails!
diskymike44
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« Reply #14 on: July 13, 2016, 12:49:24 pm »

Damn look like a Clinton is finally gonna win CO.
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Ljube
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« Reply #15 on: July 13, 2016, 12:54:09 pm »

Ouch. CO might be more of a lost cause for Trump than NV.

It certainly is.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #16 on: July 13, 2016, 12:54:19 pm »

Yeah but if you only look at the polls Clinton is doing poorly in, then you might think Trump is winning!
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dspNY
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« Reply #17 on: July 13, 2016, 12:56:23 pm »

Likely D. CO, along with IA, have no effect on Trump's electoral calculus however. FL + OH + PA will continue to be his only path to victory.

Pennsylvania's built-in historic Democratic advantage in Philly and Trump's toxicity in the suburbs will win it for Clinton.

Florida's Puerto Rican population growth, Jewish senior citizens who love Clinton and hate Trump, and Clinton's ground game will win it for her

Ohio is the real tossup
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Ljube
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« Reply #18 on: July 13, 2016, 12:57:09 pm »

Yeah but if you only look at the polls Clinton is doing poorly in, then you might think Trump is winning!

But Trump is winning in all the right places: Romney + Florida + Pennsylvania + Ohio.

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Ebsy
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« Reply #19 on: July 13, 2016, 01:01:41 pm »

Yeah but if you only look at the polls Clinton is doing poorly in, then you might think Trump is winning!

But Trump is winning in all the right places: Romney + Florida + Pennsylvania + Ohio.


Clinton is ahead in the polling averages in Pennsylvania and Ohio and until this latest deluge of junk polls of Florida, was ahead there as well.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #20 on: July 13, 2016, 01:08:34 pm »

Likely D. CO, along with IA, have no effect on Trump's electoral calculus however. FL + OH + PA will continue to be his only path to victory.

Pennsylvania's built-in historic Democratic advantage in Philly and Trump's toxicity in the suburbs will win it for Clinton.

Florida's Puerto Rican population growth, Jewish senior citizens who love Clinton and hate Trump, and Clinton's ground game will win it for her

Ohio is the real tossup

If she's got PA and FL, she doesn't need OH Smiley
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #21 on: July 13, 2016, 01:17:49 pm »

Damn look like a Clinton is finally gonna win CO.

Bill won in in '92
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #22 on: July 13, 2016, 01:17:57 pm »

New Poll: Colorado President by Monmouth University on 2016-07-12

Summary: D: 48%, R: 35%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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heatcharger
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« Reply #23 on: July 13, 2016, 01:30:56 pm »

Yeah but if you only look at the polls Clinton is doing poorly in, then you might think Trump is winning!

But Trump is winning in all the right places: Romney + Florida + Pennsylvania + Ohio.



He's leading in two states in a poll that came out today, but he's not winning these states as of yet because he's not leading in the polling average. He's also not winning in NC.
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Dumbo
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« Reply #24 on: July 13, 2016, 01:33:18 pm »

Likely D. CO, along with IA, have no effect on Trump's electoral calculus however. FL + OH + PA will continue to be his only path to victory.

Pennsylvania's built-in historic Democratic advantage in Philly and Trump's toxicity in the suburbs will win it for Clinton.

Florida's Puerto Rican population growth, Jewish senior citizens who love Clinton and hate Trump, and Clinton's ground game will win it for her

Ohio is the real tossup

If she's got PA and FL, she doesn't need OH Smiley

She doesn't need Florida, 2012 minus FL, OH and IA = 279 electoral votes
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