CO-Monmouth: Clinton +13

[HillOfANight]

https://twitter.com/tripgabriel/status/753272829630701568
http://monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_CO_071316/

Clinton - 48
Trump - 35
Johnson - 5

11% Hispanic sample

Dems
Clinton 93
Trump 3
Other 1

GOP
Clinton 9
Trump 78
Other 3

Women
Clinton 56
Trump 30

Men
Clinton 40
Trump 39

White
Clinton 44
Trump 38

[Gass3268]

Hello Likely D Colorado!

[HillOfANight]

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/CO/president/#exit-polls

It was 14% Latino per 2012 exit polls.

[Know Nothing]

I've got a gut feeling Monmouth is wrong in CO.

[Dr. Arch]

Wow, CO

[dspNY]

Great poll!

[Gass3268]

I've got a gut feeling Monmouth is wrong in CO.

Yeah, this is a little high, but average it with Harper and you still get Clinton +10.

And it fits what we've been seeing in national polls regarding college educated whites going for Clinton.

[Lief 🗽]

BEAUTIFUL! Thank you Hispanics and educateds!

[Eraserhead]

That's brutal for Trump if accurate. 

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

So Colorado seems like it will vote to the left of Pennsylvania, the first time since 1948.

[Skye]

I never had much hope for Colorado since Trump became the nominee.

[dspNY]

To clarify: I think Harper is actually more accurate (high single digits for Clinton) but it shows that Colorado is almost impossible for Trump to win. It also shows that the DCCC polling showing Clinton up 8 in that Nevada swing district was right since NV and CO are similar states

[heatcharger]

Likely D. CO, along with IA, have no effect on Trump's electoral calculus however. FL + OH + PA will continue to be his only path to victory.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Damn look like a Clinton is finally gonna win CO.

[Ljube]

Ouch. CO might be more of a lost cause for Trump than NV.

It certainly is.

[Ebsy]

Yeah but if you only look at the polls Clinton is doing poorly in, then you might think Trump is winning!

[dspNY]

Likely D. CO, along with IA, have no effect on Trump's electoral calculus however. FL + OH + PA will continue to be his only path to victory.

Pennsylvania's built-in historic Democratic advantage in Philly and Trump's toxicity in the suburbs will win it for Clinton.

Florida's Puerto Rican population growth, Jewish senior citizens who love Clinton and hate Trump, and Clinton's ground game will win it for her

Ohio is the real tossup

[Ljube]

Yeah but if you only look at the polls Clinton is doing poorly in, then you might think Trump is winning!

But Trump is winning in all the right places: Romney + Florida + Pennsylvania + Ohio.

[Ebsy]

Yeah but if you only look at the polls Clinton is doing poorly in, then you might think Trump is winning!

But Trump is winning in all the right places: Romney + Florida + Pennsylvania + Ohio.

Clinton is ahead in the polling averages in Pennsylvania and Ohio and until this latest deluge of junk polls of Florida, was ahead there as well.

[HillOfANight]

Likely D. CO, along with IA, have no effect on Trump's electoral calculus however. FL + OH + PA will continue to be his only path to victory.

Pennsylvania's built-in historic Democratic advantage in Philly and Trump's toxicity in the suburbs will win it for Clinton.

Florida's Puerto Rican population growth, Jewish senior citizens who love Clinton and hate Trump, and Clinton's ground game will win it for her

Ohio is the real tossup

If she's got PA and FL, she doesn't need OH

[Wiz in Wis]

Damn look like a Clinton is finally gonna win CO.

Bill won in in '92

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Colorado President by Monmouth University on 2016-07-12

Summary: D: 48%, R: 35%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[heatcharger]

Yeah but if you only look at the polls Clinton is doing poorly in, then you might think Trump is winning!

But Trump is winning in all the right places: Romney + Florida + Pennsylvania + Ohio.

He's leading in two states in a poll that came out today, but he's not winning these states as of yet because he's not leading in the polling average. He's also not winning in NC.

[Dumbo]

Likely D. CO, along with IA, have no effect on Trump's electoral calculus however. FL + OH + PA will continue to be his only path to victory.

Pennsylvania's built-in historic Democratic advantage in Philly and Trump's toxicity in the suburbs will win it for Clinton.

Florida's Puerto Rican population growth, Jewish senior citizens who love Clinton and hate Trump, and Clinton's ground game will win it for her

Ohio is the real tossup

If she's got PA and FL, she doesn't need OH

She doesn't need Florida, 2012 minus FL, OH and IA = 279 electoral votes

[psychprofessor]

This is probably a leading indicator of why Arizona is in play. 13 seems too high but with Harper's poll yesterday it seems the mountain west is bucking against Trump big time.