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Author Topic: FL/OH/PA Quinnipiac: Rubio +13, Portman +7, Toomey +10  (Read 1588 times)
Joni Ernst 20∞
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« on: July 14, 2016, 05:01:02 am »

Florida

Marco Rubio (R, inc.): 50%
Patrick Murphy (D): 37%

Marco Rubio (R, inc.): 50%
Alan Grayson (D): 38%

Ohio

Rob Portman (R, inc.): 47%
Ted Strickland (D): 40%

Pennsylvania

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 49%
Katie McGinty (D): 39%

http://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2366
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« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2016, 05:03:45 am »

 "Democrats made fun of Sen. Marco Rubio when he opted for a last-minute re-election bid in Florida, but he may be on the way to a last laugh, having quickly opened double digit leads over both Democratic challengers.

"Many talking heads have suggested that with Donald Trump at the top of the GOP ticket, Republican Senate candidates might suffer," Brown added. "But at least in these three key states, the Republican Senate candidates are running ahead of Trump and don't seem to be hurt by their shared party label."
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« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2016, 09:33:04 am »

Still early, but I think winning the senate will be very tough for Dems, even with a comfortable Hillary victory.
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« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2016, 09:39:55 am »

Wow, even further proof that Q is a joke.
« Last Edit: July 14, 2016, 09:43:53 am by Gass3268 »Logged

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« Reply #4 on: July 14, 2016, 09:54:12 am »

All of them are going to lose in the end, sooooo
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« Reply #5 on: July 14, 2016, 09:59:29 am »

Highly Doubt the FL/OH numbers are accurate.
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« Reply #6 on: July 14, 2016, 11:08:41 am »

Highly Doubt the FL/OH/PA numbers are accurate.

Of course, this poll found more Republican-leaning results than other polls (at least in PA/FL), so I'm not surprised. The only consistency seems to be that Toomey is overperforming Trump by about 5%. That much does make sense.
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« Reply #7 on: July 14, 2016, 11:45:45 am »

Junk polls (hopefully)!!!
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« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2016, 01:06:50 pm »

All of them are going to lose in the end, sooooo

lol
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« Reply #9 on: July 14, 2016, 01:59:55 pm »

Patrick Murphy is a horrible candidate.
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« Reply #10 on: July 14, 2016, 02:24:05 pm »

I'm pretty much done with Quinnipiac this cycle. Are any of the hacks that believe their polls going to apologize when they are ridiculously wrong on election day?
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Bismarck
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« Reply #11 on: July 14, 2016, 04:21:36 pm »

Q polls are clearly leaning R, but you guys don't freak out nearly as much when polls show dems ahead by a rediculous margin. I'd say all three will run ahead of Trump, with Ohio being the closest to the presidential race. Rubio and Toomey both will survive a narrow Trump loss in their state, which seems to be the most likely outcome at the moment.
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« Reply #12 on: July 14, 2016, 05:11:10 pm »

This is about as likely as when Quinnipiac so astutely predicted that Gardner and Beauprez would win by double digits.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #13 on: July 14, 2016, 05:58:11 pm »

Patrick Murphy is a horrible candidate.

I'm coming to this conclusion too - can barely break out the gate against a candidate as unlikable as Alan Grayson with all of the support from the  Democratic establishment in the world. Unfortunately, Rubio is probably fine.

And I think Hillary has to win by at least 6 in order for McGinty to win. She's also a weak recruit who barely came out of the primary with all of the national democrat support in the world.

Here's a question - why did National Dems sh**t the bed so hard in a very winnable year? (I assume Evan Bayh's decision was his own, considering how much disdain he seems to have for National Democrats).
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« Reply #14 on: July 14, 2016, 06:04:05 pm »

Patrick Murphy is a horrible candidate.

I'm coming to this conclusion too - can barely break out the gate against a candidate as unlikable as Alan Grayson with all of the support from the  Democratic establishment in the world. Unfortunately, Rubio is probably fine.

And I think Hillary has to win by at least 6 in order for McGinty to win. She's also a weak recruit who barely came out of the primary with all of the national democrat support in the world.

Here's a question - why did National Dems sh**t the bed so hard in a very winnable year? (I assume Evan Bayh's decision was his own, considering how much disdain he seems to have for National Democrats).

>drawing broad based conclusions based off a Quinnipiac poll

Gov. Beauprez agrees with your analysis!

And before anyone says "the poll could've been true at the time!!1!!", that's a big fat nope.

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Maxwell
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« Reply #15 on: July 14, 2016, 06:08:11 pm »

Patrick Murphy is a horrible candidate.

I'm coming to this conclusion too - can barely break out the gate against a candidate as unlikable as Alan Grayson with all of the support from the  Democratic establishment in the world. Unfortunately, Rubio is probably fine.

And I think Hillary has to win by at least 6 in order for McGinty to win. She's also a weak recruit who barely came out of the primary with all of the national democrat support in the world.

Here's a question - why did National Dems sh**t the bed so hard in a very winnable year? (I assume Evan Bayh's decision was his own, considering how much disdain he seems to have for National Democrats).

>drawing broad based conclusions based off a Quinnipiac poll

Gov. Beauprez agrees with your analysis!

And before anyone says "the poll could've been true at the time!!1!!", that's a big fat nope.



Quinnipiac has a notably terrible record in the state of Colorado. I'm not sure how it did in other states.

But there's been a consistent trend of Toomey running 5 points ahead of the Republican Presidential ticket, whether its this Republican leaning outlier or the other Democratic leaning outlier.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #16 on: July 14, 2016, 06:12:22 pm »

I agree about Toomey, as I stated in the Marist thread. I'm talking about the Florida race. SurveyUSA and PPP show it as a toss up. Quinnipiac and Rick Scott's internal polls show Rubio up big. Which do you think is more credible?

Q has just turned into pure junk lately. They were terrible in 2014, terrible in the primaries, and will likely be terrible in the general. If anyone wants to bet that Rubio and/or Toomey will win by double digits, I'd be happy to take any offers.
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THE BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #17 on: July 17, 2016, 10:42:26 am »

538 needs to change Quinnipiac's poll rating.
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« Reply #18 on: July 21, 2016, 01:21:47 pm »

Sad Trump needs to deliver one more thrashing to Rubio to finish him.
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« Reply #19 on: July 21, 2016, 01:57:09 pm »

538 needs to change Quinnipiac's poll rating.
They should have gotten a C at best for the primary cycle.
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« Reply #20 on: July 21, 2016, 05:41:56 pm »

I fully expect all three to pull it out, three really good Republican Senators.
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« Reply #21 on: July 23, 2016, 08:53:26 am »

I don't know how to feel about this, because while Quinnipiac has been posting some really GOP-friendly polls in both this cycle and 2014, they weren't that far off from the final 2014 results, were they?
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