CBS/NYT national poll: Clinton 40% Trump 40%

[Mr. Morden]

CBS/NYT national poll, conducted July 8-12:

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-tied-going-into-conventions-cbsnyt-poll/

[amdcpus]

Clinton 36% Trump 36% Johnson 12%

[Mehmentum]

Probably the best example we have of the tightening of the race in the past week or so.

[jaichind]

Excellent.  I am sure Clinton will bounce back to a 2%-4% lead over the next few weeks.  But what should concern the Clinton campaign is that she is outspending massively over the Trump campaign yet could not shake him.  Most likely Clinton will still win in the end but it will very likely be fairly close and closer than in 2012.

[jaichind]

When is the next Quinnipiac poll?  Based on recent trends by other pollsters Quinnipiac's next poll will most likely have Trump slightly ahead.

[Fusionmunster]

Gotta keep that horse race narrative alive, just like 2012.  I don't doubt its close, but like Griffin has pointed out, these polls look an awful lot like Obama vs Romney.

[jaichind]

Looks light Clinton caught up with Trump in unfavorables.  Most likely will revert to the mean over the next few weeks as the email scandal fades from the news. 

[Doimper]

So the post-email dip everyone was expecting. It could've been a lot worse - Trump ripping Comey and then being accused of antisemitism probably took a lot of the edge off this.

[john cage bubblegum]

Clinton's definitely taken a hit, a little bigger than I thought.  All the Repubs enraged at Comey really should be thanking him.

Thankfully, the race is about to reset with the conventions coming up in a few days.

[Seriously?]

CBS/NYT national poll, conducted July 8-12:

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-tied-going-into-conventions-cbsnyt-poll/

Jump aboard the Trump Train, red avatars! It's happening! Even See BS and the New York Times see it.

Time to "Make America Great Again!"

And SeeBS had to rejigger the poll to even get to that tie result. They got a D+3.5 electorate. They reweighed it to D+6.

Total Respondents                        1,600
Total Registered Voters                 1,358                            1,250 (weighed)
Republican Registered Voters         393                              342
Democratic Registered Voters        441                              418
Independent Registered Voters      524                              490

[Xing]

Yeah, Trump being tied with Hillary in July proves that he's got this in the bag.

[Horus]

Looks about right.

[nyquil_man]

Trump just hangs out in the low 40s/high 30s and waits for Clinton to come to him.

[RFayette]

Gotta keep that horse race narrative alive, just like 2012.  I don't doubt its close, but like Griffin has pointed out, these polls look an awful lot like Obama vs Romney.

Of course, but I don't think most Republicans really think we have a great shot of winning.  We were just hoping we wouldn't get blown out of the water by 10+, as seemed probable just a few weeks ago.

[Ebsy]

Yes I'm sure the NYT desperately wants this to be a horserace.

[IceSpear]

I'm fine with a tie after the worst week of Hillary's campaign.

[dspNY]

Notice that Trump is hovering around 40% or slightly less in all the national and most of the swing state polling. The fluctuations are in Clinton's numbers