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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Morning Consult polls every state (search mode)
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Author Topic: Morning Consult polls every state  (Read 3576 times)
Wiz in Wis
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« on: July 14, 2016, 09:19:58 am »

To be fair, flip Georgia and Maine and that looks... reasonable.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #1 on: July 14, 2016, 09:22:58 am »

Plus DC... though Trump getting 20% there is the least believable number on that page.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #2 on: July 14, 2016, 12:45:02 pm »

Hey MDS... can you enter all of them, or none of them? Thanks!
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #3 on: July 14, 2016, 03:01:37 pm »

Apparently this mds loser is adding every single poll from this to the database. Sad!

How is that sad? Please you guys add every Democratic pollster you can on there.

I would be fine with these polls being entered -- and grateful that some states are finally being polled -- if there were any evidence that those states were actually polled.

From Morning Consult's methodology: "Morning Consult asked more than 44,000 registered voters nationally over the past three months who they would support in a series of hypothetical general election matchups. We used a statistical technique called multilevel regression and poststratification
(MRP) to construct state-level estimates from the national survey data."

estimates from the national survey data is the operative phrase there. It's an election model from national polling. Not state polling.

Where are you getting the number of respondents for these "polls" you're entering? Are you just making them up?

Ooof... these aren't polls, should definitely not be entered. Thanks for reading the fine print.
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