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  USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2
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Author Topic: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2  (Read 63302 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #200 on: August 13, 2016, 07:31:09 am »

why are millenials so conservative in this sample? they made a huge mistake there and their concept doesn't allow for it to be corrected.

Yeah - it's been f***ed from day one.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #201 on: August 14, 2016, 02:14:37 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/13) Clinton +4.7%
Clinton: 46.3% (+0.6%)
Trump: 41.6% (-0.6%)

Seems like they are adding voters to the sample. Sample size was ~2,200. It's now ~2,300.
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Interlocutor
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« Reply #202 on: August 14, 2016, 02:19:33 am »

7th day in a row that Trump drops in voter intention (-4.5 since August 7). He sure is doing a great job motivating his base
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« Reply #203 on: August 15, 2016, 02:15:26 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/14) Clinton +3.6%
Clinton: 45.6% (-0.7%)
Trump: 42.0% (+0.4%)

Sample size went up from 2,325 to 2,510 from Saturday to Sunday's sample.

Sample was in the 2,100 range earlier in the week. I think eventually, they want this poll to be ~400 to 500 voters a day. (7-day average)
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« Reply #204 on: August 16, 2016, 02:16:25 am »
« Edited: August 17, 2016, 02:14:05 am by Seriously? »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/15) Clinton +3.4%
Clinton: 45.5% (-0.1%)
Trump: 42.1% (+0.1%)

Sample size increase seemed to slow on Monday. Up marginally from 2,510 to 2,539.
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« Reply #205 on: August 17, 2016, 02:13:45 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/16) Clinton +1.0%
Clinton: 44.2% (-1.3%)
Trump: 43.2% (+1.1%)

A good day for Trump.

Sample size increase up marginally from 2,539 to 2,551.
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OwlRhetoric
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« Reply #206 on: August 17, 2016, 02:42:26 pm »

Nice to see Trump gaining again.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #207 on: August 17, 2016, 02:43:18 pm »

Clinton +1 is laughable. I thought the LA Times is a liberal newspaper.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #208 on: August 17, 2016, 03:26:36 pm »

Clinton +1 is laughable. I thought the LA Times is a liberal newspaper.
You mean that liberal newspapers use a liberal methodologies in their liberal polls?

It is not really a poll. They use the same members all over again. It means that such polls will have an inbuilt bias (it seems like it favors 5-6 pps towards Trump), but it will probably better on "catching trends" (but with 7 day lagging).
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« Reply #209 on: August 18, 2016, 02:16:01 am »
« Edited: August 19, 2016, 02:13:17 am by Seriously? »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/17) Clinton +0.6%
Clinton: 44.0% (-0.2%)
Trump: 43.4% (+0.2%)

Sample size fell from 2,551 to 2,500.

Voter intensity has closed to 82.3 Clinton vs. 82.1 Trump.  Trump's numbers have rebounded from 78.8 earlier in the week.
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« Reply #210 on: August 19, 2016, 02:12:49 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/18) Clinton +1.2%
Clinton: 44.6% (+0.6%)
Trump: 43.4% (--%)
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #211 on: August 19, 2016, 10:24:26 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/18) Clinton +1.2%
Clinton: 44.6% (+0.6%)
Trump: 43.4% (--%)

HILLARY DOUBLES HER MARGIN OVERNIGHT! - If Hillary tweeted.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #212 on: August 19, 2016, 10:25:21 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/18) Clinton +1.2%
Clinton: 44.6% (+0.6%)
Trump: 43.4% (--%)

HILLARY DOUBLES HER MARGIN OVERNIGHT! - If Hillary tweeted.
Cheesy
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Seriously?
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« Reply #213 on: August 20, 2016, 02:15:14 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/19) Trump +0.6%
Trump: 44.2% (+0.8%)
Clinton: 43.6% (-1.0%)

The Donald's first lead since August 2nd.
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Buzz
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« Reply #214 on: August 20, 2016, 09:13:29 am »

Fantastic!
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Pro-Life Single Issue Voter
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« Reply #215 on: August 20, 2016, 09:43:02 am »

It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least.  There's still a long way to go!
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Maxwell
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« Reply #216 on: August 20, 2016, 09:48:09 am »

It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least.  There's still a long way to go!

It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #217 on: August 20, 2016, 10:06:51 am »

It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least.  There's still a long way to go!

It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #218 on: August 20, 2016, 10:19:58 am »

It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least.  There's still a long way to go!

It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!

This poll has issues. The sub-sample does not change, meaning that they randomly poll from the same group of people everyday. The poll has a heavy R-bias due to the non changing sample, even LA times admits thats.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #219 on: August 20, 2016, 10:43:19 am »

uh i could go to just about any other poll and see more reliable data in my favor.

you clowns literally only have this and a bunch of InfoWars-level kooks to give you stuff in your favor.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #220 on: August 20, 2016, 10:53:15 am »

It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least.  There's still a long way to go!

It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
Were're not the ones believing a poll that the makers have even said has a Republican bias.  But go on with your "dank memes".
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Seriously?
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« Reply #221 on: August 20, 2016, 11:31:13 am »

It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least.  There's still a long way to go!
That's my take on this. The convention bounce seems to have faded and we are at pre-convention levels with most polls. That's not just from this poll, but reading the basket of polls that have been released over the past week or so.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #222 on: August 20, 2016, 11:35:48 am »

It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least.  There's still a long way to go!

It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!

This poll has issues. The sub-sample does not change, meaning that they randomly poll from the same group of people everyday. The poll has a heavy R-bias due to the non changing sample, even LA times admits thats.
Yes. Everybody's agree that it have some constant bias (probably 5-7 pps). So the statement that margins are down to those in 2012 is pretty reasonable. And is consistent with pew.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #223 on: August 20, 2016, 11:37:59 am »

It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least.  There's still a long way to go!

It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
Were're not the ones believing a poll that the makers have even said has a Republican bias.  But go on with your "dank memes".

538 believes (with some adjustments). I rather believe Nate than anonymous red hacks Smiley
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #224 on: August 20, 2016, 11:49:21 am »

It's pretty clear that Hillary's bounce has come back down to 2012 margins at least.  There's still a long way to go!

It's pretty clear based on the garbage L.A. Times poll!
Were're not the ones believing a poll that the makers have even said has a Republican bias.  But go on with your "dank memes".

538 believes (with some adjustments). I rather believe Nate than anonymous red hacks Smiley
Nate Silver also believed that Trump would just fade away.  He's not the most trustworthy. 
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