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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2  (Read 63597 times)
Devout Centrist
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 7,493
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« on: July 28, 2016, 09:44:01 am »

There's no logical reason for this election to be close, yes. But it is. As distressing as that may be we shouldn't nitpick about crosstabs, while sticking our heads in the sand and ignoring the broader trend. I mean, people are now trying to claim RCP are right wing hacks. RCP!

There's little we can do to impact the outcome of the election, but no good will come out of dismissing or ignoring the polls we don't like; God willing, this won't haplen, but if we continue in this manner, we on the Atlas may be in for a devastating shock on election day-- despite the polls having forcasted it.
This election may not be close in the end. Almost every election has a period where it's close. Historically, it was very common to see wild swings in polling before things settled down.
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,493
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2016, 09:46:56 am »

I mean, people are now trying to claim RCP are right wing hacks. RCP!

In fairness, RCP is a Republican propaganda machine.
RCP is conservative, by and large. Their aggregate, however, is not biased.
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,493
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2016, 02:15:22 am »

What's wrong with their methodology? Their base consists of people who think their candidate's going to win at that moment?
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,493
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« Reply #3 on: August 13, 2016, 02:19:17 am »

Either Clinton had a good day or this thing is finally realigning to where the other polls are.

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 8/12) Clinton +3.5%
Clinton: 45.7% (+1.5%)
Trump: 42.2% (-0.9%)
Or daily tracking is a poor way to monitor the election.
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Devout Centrist
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,493
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

« Reply #4 on: August 24, 2016, 11:07:06 am »

Smiley
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