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  USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2  (Read 63822 times)
Dirty Dan
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« on: September 06, 2016, 09:05:50 am »

Yeah. I definitely thought that Clinton calling him out would take the wind of his sails but it seemed to have the opposite effect. It now seems that Trump's attempt to stand up for what he believes in has also backfired. Two swings and a misses in a row. It seems like a very strange campaign. People are very concerned about Trump yet they feel sorry for him and feel like Clinton is trying to tell them how to feel every time she raises those concerns.  Trump needs to go on the offensive but Clinton cannot afford to stay on the Defensive.

It seems that even a very slim victory by Trump could be seen as a "realignment" or an "unalignment".
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2016, 03:55:45 pm »
« Edited: September 06, 2016, 04:00:51 pm by Spicy Purrito »

Yeah. I definitely thought that Clinton calling him out would take the wind of his sails but it seemed to have the opposite effect. It now seems that Trump's attempt to stand up for what he believes in has also backfired. Two swings and a misses in a row. It seems like a very strange campaign. People are very concerned about Trump yet they feel sorry for him and feel like Clinton is trying to tell them how to feel every time she raises those concerns.  Trump needs to go on the offensive but Clinton cannot afford to stay on the Defensive.

It seems that even a very slim victory by Trump could be seen as a "realignment" or an "unalignment".

In retrospect, I think the Trump = KKK speech/ad campaign was really dumb as it may have just pushed non-college whites more toward voting as a block.  Clinton's still up in the aggregate, but she can't afford a bad 1st debate like Obama.

So, basically we are heading towards a future where non-middle class whites (those whose educational achievement is in the bottom 70% or are in the top 1-5%) will  constitute an "ethnic" group? You could say the entire "religious right" thing was just a transitional phase towards this.  Is there a way this ends benignly?
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #2 on: September 09, 2016, 07:53:25 am »

These tracking polls seem about as useful as a poopy flavored lollipop.
Ehhh.. NS is right. Add/Take about four to it.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2016, 09:18:34 am »

Someone said Trumps bump today is mostly from a huge swing in black support, any truth to that?

Racially yes, alongside the polls heavily Trump Hispanic sample. The black support may just be a 'burp' as the same thing happened earlier in the track.

He also leads amongst 18-34 year olds by 4 points, which is also a fair jump.

The fundamentals of the tracking poll have always had these factors built into them.

So this poll shows that there is a lot of crossover voting that probably won't happen or that there is a realignment?
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #4 on: September 21, 2016, 08:00:21 am »

Despite it's immediately obvious shortcoming(s), this poll is actually useful.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #5 on: October 09, 2016, 11:45:59 am »
« Edited: October 09, 2016, 11:47:37 am by Spicy Purrito »

The post-pussy surge has begun. BEAUTIFUL!

Please don't make me think of a pussy surge Sad

So that's what you call it when you have broken your dry spell...like when you have gone without for like 2, 3 or 4 months and then all the sudden you bring home one girl on Friday Night but she won't return your texts, and go on another great date Saturday afternoon and you really want to see her again but she is really busy and then you go on a date after work Tuesday and it goes really well and start see each other almost every night that week. Smiley  then you don't call it a "pussy surge" because you start going steady.. and you are not a Trump Smiley
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #6 on: October 09, 2016, 12:05:49 pm »

The post-pussy surge has begun. BEAUTIFUL!

Please don't make me think of a pussy surge Sad

How do you feel about the pussy gush of Republicans turning against Trump?

Like someone needs to wash up and change.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2016, 07:23:51 am »

USC/LA Times national tracking poll (through 10/13) Hillary over the Donald +0.3%
Trump: 43.9% (-0.4)
Clinton: 44.2% (+0.3)
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2016, 09:19:16 am »


On further inspection, I see numbers stable but Trump surging amongst the elderly.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2016, 10:02:43 am »

Who is this black guy in Illinois you keep talking bout?
The one weird kid in class who wears a sweater or tie every day.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2016, 04:52:50 am »

Who is this black guy in Illinois you keep talking bout?

I thought he moved to Colorado.



Lol, I think he's back now.
MLKKK lol
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2016, 12:51:47 am »

10/29: Trump +1.9
Trump 46.0% (-0.2)
Clinton 44.1% (+0.3)

The Comey bump begins!
lol
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2016, 06:43:56 am »

Donald 47.5
Hillary 42.5

So T+5 today.
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