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February 27, 2020, 12:16:59 am
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  USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 11/7 - Trump +3.2  (Read 63808 times)
Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
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« on: July 26, 2016, 11:48:12 am »

lol this is such junk

I can't be the only one thinking that it is pretty much statistically impossible for them day after day, with such a small n of respondents, to have results that only vary a point or two. There should be more variation with such a small sample.
It's 5 Day Rolling.

7 day rolling actually....

     So yeah, outliers are heavily suppressed in the numbers here.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #1 on: July 27, 2016, 10:57:25 am »

It's just impossible to like Hillary, and I say this as someone who probably lines up with her views fairly closely (before she bent over and adopted some of sanders positions).

It really isn't. You just have to be open to cutting through the bullsh-t.

     In other words, you have to want to like her.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #2 on: July 27, 2016, 07:24:23 pm »

It's just impossible to like Hillary, and I say this as someone who probably lines up with her views fairly closely (before she bent over and adopted some of sanders positions).

Sorry Dukey it isn't but that's your loss, my friend Smiley

I'm just destined to not vote in this election, so it seems. I haven't heard a compelling case yet that convinces me to vote for her.

     I suspect that a significant proportion of the huge undecideds in polls now will end up not voting. People aren't very happy with the choices that are presented.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2016, 06:35:18 pm »

If anyone is interested... it looks like Trumps latest surge in this poll is almost 100% due to a surge among African Americans... all the way up to nearly 20%. I'm a tad skeptical.

http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/
Yes, there is a reason, why one generally should not look at crosstabs.

But should we also dismiss all the state polls that agree with the "trends" of LA Times? Roll Eyes

     Crosstabs can point to flaws in poll numbers, but I grimace at people reflexively looking at crosstabs to find faults. There's almost always weird stuff in there.
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