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  VA: Hampton University: Clinton and Trump tied (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA: Hampton University: Clinton and Trump tied  (Read 3236 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 50,972
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: July 16, 2016, 12:37:47 am »

New Poll: Virginia President by Hampton University on 2016-07-10

Summary: D: 39%, R: 39%, U: 22%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,972
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2016, 12:51:26 am »


That's not surprising:

Voters have to choose between a total trainwreck (Hillary) and a racist fu**er (Trump) and the poll does not offer 3rd party choices.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,972
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2016, 01:55:13 pm »

Honestly, looking at the crosstabs, they weren't even trying with this poll. Equal party ID and 54% men. That's right. 2012 exit polls had it at 53% women to 47% men, but the great pollsters at Hampton University have discovered that 14% of Virginia's women have changed sexes in the last 4 years.

While unlikely, it's not out of question:

If males are more motivated to vote this year than women, it could produce an electorate that is overall more male than female.

For example if 51% of the population is female and they only have 55% turnout, while males (49%) have 65% turnout, you could get the electorate that the poll shows.

But yeah, that's still unlikely.
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