CNN/ORC National: Clinton leads by 7 and 5

[Ebsy]

Johnson's still not to the magical 15% that will get him into the debates, but it's starting to look plausible, at least.

Not even slightly plausible.

[sparkey]

Johnson's still not to the magical 15% that will get him into the debates, but it's starting to look plausible, at least.

Not even slightly plausible.

Why not? 2% short in a 4-way poll (3-way polls are usually much more generous) doesn't signal that it's plausible to you? The CPD uses the most recent polls of 5 polling organizations, so the support doesn't even have to be sustained over a long period.

[Seriously?]

Johnson's still not to the magical 15% that will get him into the debates, but it's starting to look plausible, at least.

Not even slightly plausible.

Why not? 2% short in a 4-way poll (3-way polls are usually much more generous) doesn't signal that it's plausible to you? The CPD uses the most recent polls of 5 polling organizations, so the support doesn't even have to be sustained over a long period.

Base fractures should heal over the next few weeks with the conventions. I'd expect the protest numbers that are going to Johnson to go down on both sides.