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  Internal poll megathread
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 63860 times)
cinyc
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« on: July 18, 2016, 12:17:38 am »
« edited: July 18, 2016, 12:33:20 am by Likely Voter »

Harper Polling (Internal for Senate Campaign of Republican Dan Carter)
Clinton 43%
Trump 43%

July 5-6; 600 RV; Unknown MOE

It's a Republican internal, so definitely salt to taste and don't put it in the database.  I don't believe it, but Quinnipiac had CT at a relatively close (for CT) 45-38 Clinton back in June.

Do we have a megathread for publicly released internals somewhere?  We probably should.  They may be the only polls we get for some of the less polled states.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2016, 12:22:30 am »

I think Trump should spend a great deal of money here to try to flip it.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2016, 12:23:56 am »

Yeah, 43% is about what Trump will get on election day in CT.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2016, 12:24:53 am »

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And I have an unpublished poll showing Hillary winning Alabama.
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Still couldn't quell the Bel
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: July 18, 2016, 12:31:23 am »

Sure, and Clinton is only down 5 in KY.
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Arch
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« Reply #5 on: July 18, 2016, 12:33:20 am »

Pls
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #6 on: July 18, 2016, 12:34:50 am »

There was an internal megathread in the primary poll sub but I don't see one for general, so this will be it.

Internals should not be put into the db but can be shared here.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: July 18, 2016, 01:47:02 am »

CT tied ?

Extremely unlikely ...
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #8 on: July 18, 2016, 08:24:18 pm »
« Edited: July 18, 2016, 08:26:10 pm by HillOfANight »

http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/2016/07/14/internal-polling-shows-gingrich-could-deliver-key-swing-states/

Southern Political Report, trying to hype up their Southern son Gingrich... before Pence was picked.

Trump/Pence lose Florida by 1
Trump/Pence win GA by 1 vs Clinton
Trump/Pence LOSE GA by 1 vs Clinton/Warren
Trump/Pence lose North Carolina
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: July 18, 2016, 08:30:53 pm »

DSCC internal had Trump +5  in Indiana.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #10 on: July 18, 2016, 08:35:34 pm »

DSCC internal had Trump +5  in Indiana.

That was among the undecided voters. They never published the numbers for all voters (likely not favorable for her).
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #11 on: July 18, 2016, 09:18:20 pm »

Please link to sources or say where you saw it on TV
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #12 on: July 22, 2016, 09:05:25 pm »

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http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20160722/BLOGS02/160729927/poll-gives-kirk-edge-over-duckworth-but-clinton-clobbering-trump
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #13 on: July 22, 2016, 09:10:36 pm »

The numbers for the presidential race seem plausible.
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dspNY
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« Reply #14 on: July 22, 2016, 09:36:38 pm »

Since it's a repub internal add 5 points to the dems
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #15 on: July 22, 2016, 10:05:39 pm »



Specifically, 46.4 percent of likely voters surveyed by phone said they favor Clinton, 32.5 percent are for Trump, 5.2 percent for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2.6 percent for the Green Party's Jill Stein. Just over 13 percent were undecided.

Illinois:  Hillary 46.4% TRUMP 32.5% Johnson 5.2% Stein 2.6%
http://www.chicagobusiness.com/article/20160722/BLOGS02/160729927/poll-gives-kirk-edge-over-duckworth-but-clinton-clobbering-trump

of course HRC will win Illinois. But only +13.9% margins in deep blue state. Not very good sign for HRC Wink


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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #16 on: July 22, 2016, 10:08:17 pm »

Go. Away.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17 on: July 25, 2016, 07:26:49 am »

Georgia D-Internal poll from Lake Research Partners has Clinton +1 (Clinton 41, Trump 40, Undecided 16) with a sample of 600 LV.  No three-way numbers are listed (Stein isn't on the ballot here).  No crosstabs.

Link: https://cmgajcpolitics.files.wordpress.com/2016/07/lrpmemo-georgiademocraticparty-f-072016.pdf

Favorability:

Hillary Clinton 42/53  (-11)
Donald Trump 39/55  (-16)
Barack Obama 51/45 (+6)
Michelle Obama 61/27 (+34)
Bill Clinton 53/39 (+14)
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #18 on: July 25, 2016, 08:07:40 am »

Georgia D-Internal poll from Lake Research Partners has Clinton +1 (Clinton 41, Trump 40, Undecided 16) with a sample of 600 LV.  No three-way numbers are listed (Stein isn't on the ballot here).  No crosstabs.

Link: https://cmgajcpolitics.files.wordpress.com/2016/07/lrpmemo-georgiademocraticparty-f-072016.pdf

Favorability:

Hillary Clinton 42/53  (-11)
Donald Trump 39/55  (-16)
Barack Obama 51/45 (+6)
Michelle Obama 61/27 (+34)
Bill Clinton 53/39 (+14)

From:
MAR. 31-APR. 3, Lake Research Partners, 400 LV   
Clinton 50%
Trump 37%
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #19 on: July 25, 2016, 01:30:00 pm »

Georgia D-Internal poll from Lake Research Partners has Clinton +1 (Clinton 41, Trump 40, Undecided 16) with a sample of 600 LV.  No three-way numbers are listed (Stein isn't on the ballot here).  No crosstabs.

Link: https://cmgajcpolitics.files.wordpress.com/2016/07/lrpmemo-georgiademocraticparty-f-072016.pdf

Favorability:

Hillary Clinton 42/53  (-11)
Donald Trump 39/55  (-16)
Barack Obama 51/45 (+6)
Michelle Obama 61/27 (+34)
Bill Clinton 53/39 (+14)

I asked them the composition/preference and this is the most info they gave me. Seems reasonable considering past years and demographic growth.

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https://twitter.com/LoriGearyWSB/status/757588822469271557

WSB/LandMark should release something by 6PM for Georgia to confirm too.
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dspNY
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« Reply #20 on: August 03, 2016, 09:48:08 pm »
« Edited: August 03, 2016, 09:50:01 pm by dspNY »

Don't know if it belongs in this thread and there is obviously no link, but Chuck Todd on MSNBC mentioned private internal polling from one of the party congressional committees that had "Clinton up 13 points" in one of the "swing districts in Iowa"

Iowa only has 4 congressional districts and 2 of them are swing districts (the 1st is Democratic and the 4th is Republican)
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Arch
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« Reply #21 on: August 03, 2016, 09:49:59 pm »

Don't know if it belongs in this thread and there is obviously no link, but Chuck Todd on MSNBC mentioned private internal polling from one of the party congressional committees that had "Clinton up 13 points" in one of the "swing districts in Iowa"

lol, that's insane. IA-3 or IA-1?
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izixs
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« Reply #22 on: August 03, 2016, 10:08:10 pm »

Don't know if it belongs in this thread and there is obviously no link, but Chuck Todd on MSNBC mentioned private internal polling from one of the party congressional committees that had "Clinton up 13 points" in one of the "swing districts in Iowa"

lol, that's insane. IA-3 or IA-1?

This is Chuck Todd. This could mean 2 or 4.
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Arch
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« Reply #23 on: August 03, 2016, 10:08:48 pm »

Don't know if it belongs in this thread and there is obviously no link, but Chuck Todd on MSNBC mentioned private internal polling from one of the party congressional committees that had "Clinton up 13 points" in one of the "swing districts in Iowa"

lol, that's insane. IA-3 or IA-1?

This is Chuck Todd. This could mean 2 or 4.

Ah... lol. If Hillary would be up 13 in IA-4, she would be landsliding beyond belief.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #24 on: August 04, 2016, 05:40:22 am »

Pretty sure they're talking about IA-5, to be honest.
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