Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2019, 05:05:58 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Internal poll megathread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 [7] 8 9 10 11 12 ... 32 Print
Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 60524 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,673
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #150 on: September 16, 2016, 01:38:07 pm »

Public polls obviously are junk. Internals, they are good. If they wasn't why would Hillary hire them. Right?
Logged
swf541
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,149


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #151 on: September 16, 2016, 01:52:37 pm »

Florida's gonna be reallllly tight this year

I'm gonna bank on everyone underestimating Puerto Rican participation and turnout and it not being as close as everyone expects.
http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/09/rubio-leads-by-2-in-internal-murphy-campaign-poll-105537

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 46-43 percent in Florida, according to the poll of 800 likely voters by Global Strategy Group.

Sept. 6-11; 40% of the survey respondents were Democrats, 38% Republicans and 22% independents a generally representative breakdown of turnout by party in Florida presidential elections.
At the end of the article it says that they purposely over-sampled Hispanics

Oversample generally means they poll more of a subgroup to get a lower margin of error, but their share of the vote is not overstated. For example, a national poll of 400 might only get 50 Hispanics to respond, which is a huge margin of error. So they could additionally focus poll 200 Hispanics, use the R/D split, and then fit it back to the 50/400.

You are such a hackish poster. And you absolutely work for the HRC campaign.

This may be the least self aware post I have ever seen, congratulations
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,730
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #152 on: September 16, 2016, 02:56:47 pm »

Public polls obviously are junk. Internals, they are good. If they wasn't why would Hillary hire them. Right?
This particular poll was paid for by the Patrick Murphy campaign but I don't think you are particularly concerned with reality.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,673
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #153 on: September 16, 2016, 03:55:58 pm »

Public polls obviously are junk. Internals, they are good. If they wasn't why would Hillary hire them. Right?
This particular poll was paid for by the Patrick Murphy campaign but I don't think you are particularly concerned with reality.
Ehm. It is an internal made by D. Would they publish it, if Murphy was trailing by 10%, genius?
Logged
Ozymandias
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 471


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #154 on: September 17, 2016, 01:41:42 pm »
« Edited: September 17, 2016, 01:45:30 pm by Ozymandias »

In PA's 8th CD, Republican internal poll shows Clinton (42-37) running ahead of Obama in 2012 (50-49).

Apparently I don't have enough posts to include links yet, but you can find it on The Morning Call (mcall.com) if you search for "Fitzpatrick with some good news for Clinton in the 8th District?"

(or just go to: mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-fitzpatrick-with-some-good-news-for-clinton-in-the-8th-district-20160916-story.html)
 
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,673
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #155 on: September 17, 2016, 02:09:26 pm »

In PA's 8th CD, Republican internal poll shows Clinton (42-37) running ahead of Obama in 2012 (50-49).

Apparently I don't have enough posts to include links yet, but you can find it on The Morning Call (mcall.com) if you search for "Fitzpatrick with some good news for Clinton in the 8th District?"

(or just go to: mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-fitzpatrick-with-some-good-news-for-clinton-in-the-8th-district-20160916-story.html)
 
Nice try, Hillary! Accept that you are losing! Cheesy
Logged
Gass3268
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,940
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #156 on: September 17, 2016, 02:16:13 pm »

In PA's 8th CD, Republican internal poll shows Clinton (42-37) running ahead of Obama in 2012 (50-49).

Apparently I don't have enough posts to include links yet, but you can find it on The Morning Call (mcall.com) if you search for "Fitzpatrick with some good news for Clinton in the 8th District?"

(or just go to: mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-fitzpatrick-with-some-good-news-for-clinton-in-the-8th-district-20160916-story.html)
 
Nice try, Hillary! Accept that you are losing! Cheesy

This is from a Republican internal poll Huh
Logged
Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,766
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #157 on: September 17, 2016, 02:18:13 pm »

The poll was conducted Sep.6/7, so before the whole "basket of deplorables"/pneumonia thing.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,673
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #158 on: September 17, 2016, 02:54:05 pm »

In PA's 8th CD, Republican internal poll shows Clinton (42-37) running ahead of Obama in 2012 (50-49).

Apparently I don't have enough posts to include links yet, but you can find it on The Morning Call (mcall.com) if you search for "Fitzpatrick with some good news for Clinton in the 8th District?"

(or just go to: mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/capitol-ideas/mc-fitzpatrick-with-some-good-news-for-clinton-in-the-8th-district-20160916-story.html)
 
Nice try, Hillary! Accept that you are losing! Cheesy

This is from a Republican internal poll Huh
Stop defending Hillary!
Logged
swf541
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,149


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #159 on: September 17, 2016, 09:48:23 pm »

The poll was conducted Sep.6/7, so before the whole "basket of deplorables"/pneumonia thing.

Well taking into account the new PA poll, seems the last week didnt change much of anything in PA
Logged
Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,766
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #160 on: September 17, 2016, 09:50:14 pm »

The poll was conducted Sep.6/7, so before the whole "basket of deplorables"/pneumonia thing.

Well taking into account the new PA poll, seems the last week didnt change much of anything in PA

True. Terrible news for Trump.
Logged
Gass3268
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,940
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #161 on: September 17, 2016, 11:03:39 pm »

Apparently, On Message Inc, a Republican polling firm, has Clinton tied with Trump at 45 percent each in Ohio. Devastating news for Trump, if true.

It was from AUG. 13-17.
Logged
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,472
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #162 on: September 20, 2016, 08:16:22 am »

https://twitter.com/gdebenedetti/status/778220489437286400

Public polls have OH tight, but @AFLCIO's @RichardTrumka will today reveal internals w Trump 5pts behind Romney '12 among local union voters
Logged
Ronnie
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,861
United States
P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #163 on: September 21, 2016, 02:39:06 pm »
« Edited: September 21, 2016, 02:40:43 pm by Ronnie »

Trump is up by 35 points in WY according to an internal that a firm, DFM Research, conducted for the Democratic nominee in WY-AL, Ryan Greene:

Donald Trump 54%
Hillary Clinton 19%
Gary Johnson 10%
Jill Stein 2%

https://www.scribd.com/document/324811878/WY-AL-DFM-Research-for-Ryan-Greene-Sept-2016
Logged
Buh her emails!
diskymike44
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,390


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #164 on: September 21, 2016, 02:47:44 pm »

Trump is up by 35 points in WY according to an internal that a firm, DFM Research, conducted for the Democratic nominee in WY-AL, Ryan Greene:

Donald Trump 54%
Hillary Clinton 19%
Gary Johnson 10%
Jill Stein 2%

https://www.scribd.com/document/324811878/WY-AL-DFM-Research-for-Ryan-Greene-Sept-2016

But I was told WY was a battleground state!
Logged
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,472
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #165 on: September 21, 2016, 10:20:33 pm »

http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/09/amid-corruption-issues-rivera-losing-to-unknown-asencio-in-fla-democratic-poll-105658

in Florida House District 118, Trump is trailing Democrat Hillary Clinton 49-43 percent. in 2012 President Obama won it by about 2 points
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,020
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #166 on: September 21, 2016, 10:41:46 pm »

Trump is up by 35 points in WY according to an internal that a firm, DFM Research, conducted for the Democratic nominee in WY-AL, Ryan Greene:

Donald Trump 54%
Hillary Clinton 19%
Gary Johnson 10%
Jill Stein 2%

https://www.scribd.com/document/324811878/WY-AL-DFM-Research-for-Ryan-Greene-Sept-2016

But I was told WY was a battleground state!

My thread was more satire than it was talking about an actual possibility. While a Reagan-esque landslide looked remotely possible in August, it clearly isn't now.
Logged
Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,766
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #167 on: September 21, 2016, 11:16:20 pm »

WV, Just Win Strategies (R):

57% Trump (R)
30% Clinton (D)

http://wvmetronews.com/2016/09/19/gop-poll-shows-tight-gubernatorial-race-much-closer-than-metronews-west-virginia-poll/
Logged
cinyc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,666


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #168 on: September 28, 2016, 08:16:40 pm »

Trump +8 in Missouri in an internal poll for Republican gubernatorial candidate Eric Greitens by the Tarrance Group:

Trump 46%
Clinton 38%

September 19-22; MoE +/- 4.1.

Koster is up by 3 in the governor's race.
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,730
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #169 on: September 29, 2016, 03:57:29 pm »

Clinton +6 in CA-49 (Issa's district). Obama won it very narrowly in 2008, and lost in 52 to 46 in 2012 to Mitt Romney.
Logged
swf541
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,149


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #170 on: September 29, 2016, 04:12:07 pm »

Trump +8 in Missouri in an internal poll for Republican gubernatorial candidate Eric Greitens by the Tarrance Group:

Trump 46%
Clinton 38%

September 19-22; MoE +/- 4.1.

Koster is up by 3 in the governor's race.

Thats rather low for an internal
Logged
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,472
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #171 on: September 30, 2016, 11:27:22 am »

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/dccc-poll-clinton-rosen-up-in-swing-district
Nevada's 3rd congressional district

The survey, taken this week of 458 likely voters and with a 4.5 percent margin of error, shows Clinton up 46-38 over Donald Trump, with Gary Johnson garnering 10 percent of the vote. (Clinton is up 5 in a two-way.)

President Obama won the district by 1 point in 2012 and 9 points in 2008.
Logged
Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,766
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #172 on: September 30, 2016, 11:30:57 am »

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/dccc-poll-clinton-rosen-up-in-swing-district
Nevada's 3rd congressional district

The survey, taken this week of 458 likely voters and with a 4.5 percent margin of error, shows Clinton up 46-38 over Donald Trump, with Gary Johnson garnering 10 percent of the vote. (Clinton is up 5 in a two-way.)

President Obama won the district by 1 point in 2012 and 9 points in 2008.

Interesting how they didn't release the Senate race numbers. Not a good sign for Cortez-Masto.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,531


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #173 on: September 30, 2016, 12:01:45 pm »

http://www.ktnv.com/news/ralston/dccc-poll-clinton-rosen-up-in-swing-district
Nevada's 3rd congressional district

The survey, taken this week of 458 likely voters and with a 4.5 percent margin of error, shows Clinton up 46-38 over Donald Trump, with Gary Johnson garnering 10 percent of the vote. (Clinton is up 5 in a two-way.)

President Obama won the district by 1 point in 2012 and 9 points in 2008.

Interesting how they didn't release the Senate race numbers. Not a good sign for Cortez-Masto.

To be fair, this is Heck's congressional district.
Logged
HillOfANight
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,472
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #174 on: September 30, 2016, 04:59:31 pm »

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/781959952948666369

Kyle Kondik of Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball got word of an Ohio Lucas County (Toledo) poll by Stan Odesky and Associates.

Clinton 50
Trump 23
Johnson 6
Stein 1
Undecided 21

Obama won it by 32, 65-33, and Kyle thinks her 27 point margin is decent, considering the undecideds.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 6 [7] 8 9 10 11 12 ... 32 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC