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  Internal poll megathread
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 63800 times)
Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #550 on: November 01, 2016, 12:29:25 pm »

Oddly the Senate polls have been moving in the opposite direction.

Think a lot of Republicans are getting behind the McGinties, Rosses, Hassans as a hedge against holding their nose for teh Donald?
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HannibalLecter
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« Reply #551 on: November 01, 2016, 12:32:45 pm »

I'm reporting possible leaks, nothing more. It passes the logic test and Harwood's a good journo. You and everyone else can do what you want with it.
...A total hack that has been proven to be a mouthpiece of HRC campaign as if we needed proof. 

In other words, a decent human being
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AmericanNation
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« Reply #552 on: November 01, 2016, 12:37:53 pm »

I'm reporting possible leaks, nothing more. It passes the logic test and Harwood's a good journo. You and everyone else can do what you want with it.
...A total hack that has been proven to be a mouthpiece of HRC campaign as if we needed proof. 

Well, you're (to say the least) quite an extreme partisan, so I'm not terribly worried about your opinion when I'm seeking to find the current reality of the race. Like I said, here's the message, it jibes more or less with what we've actually seen in the numbers so far (not saying anything of what's to come). Take it or leave it.
1) I'm not a partisan in any real definition of the word but whatever.  The use of the word extreme is wrong, but no one cares. 
2) It isn't my opinion, it is proven by primary source documents. 
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #553 on: November 01, 2016, 01:04:54 pm »

Once again, I'm only here to post info. Don't shoot me, please:

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Brittain33
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« Reply #554 on: November 01, 2016, 01:07:41 pm »

Once again, I'm only here to post info. Don't shoot me, please:

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That's all well and good and believable, Clinton official, but what also matters is if it affects Trump's support.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #555 on: November 01, 2016, 01:13:30 pm »

Once again, I'm only here to post info. Don't shoot me, please:

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That's all well and good and believable, Clinton official, but what also matters is if it affects Trump's support.

You're certainly not wrong about that. A 'coming home' for Rs would be the best way for T to tighten the race.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #556 on: November 01, 2016, 01:23:20 pm »

Once again, I'm only here to post info. Don't shoot me, please:

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No mercy! Image Link
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #557 on: November 01, 2016, 01:27:57 pm »
« Edited: November 01, 2016, 01:31:33 pm by GeorgiaModerate »

Not sure if these will be public polls so posting them here...

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  7m7 minutes ago Raleigh, NC
Just got out of field in 2 Midwestern states we tracked a week ago- margin unchanged in one, Hillary actually doing 2 points better in other

Kind of as a followup to the above: I'm not sure where else to put it; maybe we need a PPP tweets thread? Wink

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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #558 on: November 01, 2016, 01:45:30 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue
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Yank2133
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« Reply #559 on: November 01, 2016, 01:47:45 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #560 on: November 01, 2016, 01:52:15 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

Yeah, out of all the pollsters this cycle, they haven't been the friendliest to Hillary.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #561 on: November 01, 2016, 01:58:24 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

Yeah, out of all the pollsters this cycle, they haven't been the friendliest to Hillary.

To be fair, they also include an online component.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #562 on: November 01, 2016, 02:07:52 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

Yeah, out of all the pollsters this cycle, they haven't been the friendliest to Hillary.

To be fair, they also include an online component.

Yeah, IVR-only like Emerson is a serious problem. It's (probably/all but) all evened out in PPP, I think.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #563 on: November 01, 2016, 02:10:59 pm »
« Edited: November 01, 2016, 02:12:56 pm by Happy Sad Trumpista »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycle, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue
No data, no responsibility.

We'll see soon.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #564 on: November 01, 2016, 02:12:57 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #565 on: November 01, 2016, 02:13:53 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.
Yep, that's why they can say anything.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #566 on: November 01, 2016, 02:14:27 pm »

PPP national polls were actually lower than the average.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #567 on: November 01, 2016, 02:14:58 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.
Yep, that's why they can say anything.
They can't give out numbers, which they haven't but they can talk trends all they want.
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nirvanayoda
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« Reply #568 on: November 01, 2016, 02:19:38 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.

Right, but in many cases if the poll is favorable to the Democrat (PPP's client, generally), they'll release the poll.  Given that we haven't seen any PPP polls in something like a week, my guess is the battleground trends aren't looking particularly favorable for Clinton, even if she remains ahead in them.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #569 on: November 01, 2016, 02:20:41 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.

Right, but in many cases if the poll is favorable to the Democrat (PPP's client, generally), they'll release the poll.  Given that we haven't seen any PPP polls in something like a week, my guess is the battleground trends aren't looking particularly favorable for Clinton, even if she remains ahead in them.
Or they just don't want to release. 
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #570 on: November 01, 2016, 02:21:54 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.

Right, but in many cases if the poll is favorable to the Democrat (PPP's client, generally), they'll release the poll.  Given that we haven't seen any PPP polls in something like a week, my guess is the battleground trends aren't looking particularly favorable for Clinton, even if she remains ahead in them.

No, PPP's client will release the poll. PPP has no say if their private polls are released.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #571 on: November 01, 2016, 02:57:18 pm »

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The Arizona dream still lives!
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nirvanayoda
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« Reply #572 on: November 01, 2016, 03:05:33 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.

Right, but in many cases if the poll is favorable to the Democrat (PPP's client, generally), they'll release the poll.  Given that we haven't seen any PPP polls in something like a week, my guess is the battleground trends aren't looking particularly favorable for Clinton, even if she remains ahead in them.

No, PPP's client will release the poll. PPP has no say if their private polls are released.

By "they'll release the poll", I meant "PPP's client will release the poll".  You're correct.
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Deranged California Suburbanite
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« Reply #573 on: November 01, 2016, 03:34:29 pm »

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The Arizona dream still lives!

As does the Utah dream.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #574 on: November 01, 2016, 03:48:17 pm »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  8m8 minutes ago
Every NC poll we've done in the last month has had Clinton up narrowly. She will probably win. If she loses it will be likely be by 1-2 pts
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