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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Internal poll megathread
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 63783 times)
‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #675 on: November 05, 2016, 03:59:13 pm »

...then why hasn't anyone heard of them? There seems to be a steady stream of Tweets coming from consultants about HRC winning big, yet there's nothing of the kind on Trump. Any explanations?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #676 on: November 05, 2016, 04:03:46 pm »

He doesn't want to interfer the election process Roll Eyes

And he wants to be... unpredictable Cheesy
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #677 on: November 05, 2016, 04:03:55 pm »

There aren't any.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #678 on: November 05, 2016, 04:05:38 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2016, 04:07:44 pm by Little Big BREXIT »

If you internals are really so good, you're chilling. Not writing "mystic" s**t like this Roll Eyes

I mean: Just look att PPP; they were playfull and funny. Well, not anymore, they spent their time to say: "in our private polls, she's leading" and realesed public polls, though that didn't plan it.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #679 on: November 05, 2016, 04:06:27 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2016, 04:09:20 pm by Spicy Purrito( (((☭ )))-MA) »

He doesn't want to interfer the election process Roll Eyes

And he wants to be... unpredictable Cheesy
I'm the White Wizard! Cheesy
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QE
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« Reply #680 on: November 05, 2016, 04:07:08 pm »

Not really an internal poll, but I'm not sure if Mook is referencing internal polling or the recent public polling coming out of MI.

Dan Merica Verified account
‏@danmericaCNN
Dan Merica Retweeted Dan Merica
Robby Mook, Clinton's campaign manager, on Michigan: "The numbers there have tightened."

---

This could help explain Hillary's campaign stop in Grand Rapids and the decision to send President Obama to Ann Arbor.

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alomas
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« Reply #681 on: November 05, 2016, 04:07:31 pm »

Because they are internals? We also haven't seen any Romney data from 2012 Tongue
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #682 on: November 05, 2016, 04:08:58 pm »

He doesn't want to interfer the election process Roll Eyes

And he wants to be... unpredictable Cheesy
I'm the White Wizard! Cheesy

No, you are black! Undecided
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #683 on: November 05, 2016, 04:11:24 pm »

Because they are internals? We also haven't seen any Romney data from 2012 Tongue
But we did get gobs of hints from his aides. This year, we have "Says who?".


Also, can this be moved to the main 2016 board? I seem to have posted it in the wrong place.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #684 on: November 05, 2016, 04:13:51 pm »

Mook is always known for his abundance of caution when publicly discussing the race.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #685 on: November 05, 2016, 04:14:36 pm »

The BLACK wizard
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QE
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« Reply #686 on: November 05, 2016, 04:19:08 pm »

Mook is always known for his abundance of caution when publicly discussing the race.

This is very true.
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RJEvans
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« Reply #687 on: November 05, 2016, 04:29:22 pm »

Not really an internal, though maybe Plouffe has access to internal numbers:

David PlouffeVerified account
‏@davidplouffe
Four years ago. 332 electoral votes. HRC well north of 300 in two days.

Everyone's reputation is on the line.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #688 on: November 05, 2016, 04:38:32 pm »

Not really an internal, though maybe Plouffe has access to internal numbers:

David PlouffeVerified account
‏@davidplouffe
Four years ago. 332 electoral votes. HRC well north of 300 in two days.

Everyone's reputation is on the line.
This wouldn't be an Obama/Romney thing where Obama opened a modest but comfortable lead where he was always barely ahead? This would be a bigger error if they were wrong.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #689 on: November 05, 2016, 04:44:40 pm »

Frida Ghitis ‏@FridaGhitis  3h3 hours ago
Político writer tells MSNBC that Trump has stopped polling - because he refuses to pay his pollster. May explain campaigning in odd places.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #690 on: November 05, 2016, 05:29:59 pm »

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/democratic-insiders-hillarys-ground-game-will-sink-trump-230718

Not internal polling but here are where each team stands.

"a panel of activists, strategists and operatives in 11 swing states, seven of which are seeing significant early- and absentee-voting operations. In those seven states where large numbers of voters are expected to cast their ballots before Election Day — Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin — more than three-quarters of Democrats think their party has done a better job turning out key voters thus far.

Democratic insiders are most confident in Colorado, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin. They express more uncertainty in Florida and Iowa.

"Republicans, meanwhile, were split across these early voting states. Overall, 40 percent said the GOP was doing the better job, compared with 31 percent who said Democrats were overperforming. Another 29 percent said neither party had a discernible advantage."

"(The question wasn’t posed to insiders in Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia — states that don't offer early voting and have more restrictive absentee ballot requirements.)"
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #691 on: November 05, 2016, 05:59:03 pm »

Peter Alexander ‏@PeterAlexander
NEW: Trump top aide says their internals show Michigan a dead heat. Looking to add Trump MI stop Mon or Tues in addition to Sun rally there"
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swf541
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« Reply #692 on: November 05, 2016, 06:00:35 pm »

Peter Alexander ‏@PeterAlexander
NEW: Trump top aide says their internals show Michigan a dead heat. Looking to add Trump MI stop Mon or Tues in addition to Sun rally there"

Ah yes, Trump's non existent internal polling
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QE
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« Reply #693 on: November 05, 2016, 06:02:48 pm »

Peter Alexander ‏@PeterAlexander
NEW: Trump top aide says their internals show Michigan a dead heat. Looking to add Trump MI stop Mon or Tues in addition to Sun rally there"

Ah yes, Trump's non existent internal polling

I bet they're talking about that Strategic Vision junk poll which might as well function as an internal.
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swf541
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« Reply #694 on: November 05, 2016, 06:04:57 pm »

Peter Alexander ‏@PeterAlexander
NEW: Trump top aide says their internals show Michigan a dead heat. Looking to add Trump MI stop Mon or Tues in addition to Sun rally there"

Ah yes, Trump's non existent internal polling

I bet they're talking about that Strategic Vision junk poll which might as well function as an internal.

Probably
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #695 on: November 05, 2016, 06:08:25 pm »

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/democratic-insiders-hillarys-ground-game-will-sink-trump-230718

Not internal polling but here are where each team stands.

"a panel of activists, strategists and operatives in 11 swing states, seven of which are seeing significant early- and absentee-voting operations. In those seven states where large numbers of voters are expected to cast their ballots before Election Day — Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin — more than three-quarters of Democrats think their party has done a better job turning out key voters thus far.

Democratic insiders are most confident in Colorado, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin. They express more uncertainty in Florida and Iowa.

"Republicans, meanwhile, were split across these early voting states. Overall, 40 percent said the GOP was doing the better job, compared with 31 percent who said Democrats were overperforming. Another 29 percent said neither party had a discernible advantage."

"(The question wasn’t posed to insiders in Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia — states that don't offer early voting and have more restrictive absentee ballot requirements.)"

What? They are confident about Ohio, but not about Florida Huh
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calvinhobbesliker
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« Reply #696 on: November 05, 2016, 06:08:50 pm »

That or they're taking Mook's bait.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #697 on: November 06, 2016, 03:17:57 am »


Actually, there was one little nugget of internal polling:

And in Wisconsin, one Democrat said, “It's not even close. Both Clinton and [former Sen. Russ] Feingold have 30-point leads in early voting.”
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #698 on: November 06, 2016, 09:18:22 am »

"John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  1m1 minute ago
Priebus on Michigan: "we’ve invested over $100M in data. track race far better than any polling. predictive modeling tells us it's tied""
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #699 on: November 06, 2016, 09:20:25 am »

"John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  1m1 minute ago
Priebus on Michigan: "we’ve invested over $100M in data. track race far better than any polling. predictive modeling tells us it's tied""

Lol ok Reince. You're almost done, don't worry.

Also:
Glenn Thrush ‏@GlennThrush  1m1 minute ago
Podesta tells @chucktodd he feels "very, very good" about Hispanic turnout in Nevada/Fla compensating for sag in AA early voting
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