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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 60018 times)
Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #675 on: November 04, 2016, 10:27:02 am »

Not sure if "internal" as it's for an advocacy group, but final PPP Poll of WI has Clinton +7, Feingold +5:

https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143856/WIResults112-Final.pdf
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Bernie 2020
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« Reply #676 on: November 04, 2016, 10:28:42 am »

Not sure if "internal" as it's for an advocacy group, but final PPP Poll of WI has Clinton +7, Feingold +5:

https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143856/WIResults112-Final.pdf
Interesting, their 2012 electorate was Obama 51 - Romney 41
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #677 on: November 04, 2016, 10:34:57 am »

Not sure if "internal" as it's for an advocacy group, but final PPP Poll of WI has Clinton +7, Feingold +5:

https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143856/WIResults112-Final.pdf
Interesting, their 2012 electorate was Obama 51 - Romney 41

That's pretty common, people overestimate supporting the winner.
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darthpi
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« Reply #678 on: November 04, 2016, 11:43:20 am »

Not sure if "internal" as it's for an advocacy group, but final PPP Poll of WI has Clinton +7, Feingold +5:

https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143856/WIResults112-Final.pdf
Interesting, their 2012 electorate was Obama 51 - Romney 41

That's pretty common, people overestimate supporting the winner.

And yet the people running the LA Times poll couldn't figure that out.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #679 on: November 05, 2016, 12:34:24 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.
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Castro
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« Reply #680 on: November 05, 2016, 12:39:51 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

Hmm if they're under 206, they're likely behind in Ohio or Arizona.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #681 on: November 05, 2016, 12:41:08 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

Hmm if they're under 206, they're likely behind in Ohio or Arizona.

Matching Romney's 206 is a very plausible outcome.  Swap NC/AZ for IA/OH.  Both pairs add up to 26 EV and cancel each other out.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #682 on: November 05, 2016, 12:42:17 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

It is all about TrumpTV.

He would lose credibility if he gets blown out worse then Mitt.
« Last Edit: November 05, 2016, 12:44:46 pm by Yank2133 »Logged
heatcharger
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« Reply #683 on: November 05, 2016, 01:06:27 pm »

PPP has polled Ohio four times since Labor Day, and each time they've found the race within a point.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #684 on: November 05, 2016, 01:06:50 pm »

Caveat: Its Glenn Thrush
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ReapSow
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« Reply #685 on: November 05, 2016, 01:23:18 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

Hmm if they're under 206, they're likely behind in Ohio or Arizona.

Matching Romney's 206 is a very plausible outcome.  Swap NC/AZ for IA/OH.  Both pairs add up to 26 EV and cancel each other out.

Ohio + Iowa = 24 EV.
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #686 on: November 05, 2016, 03:06:39 pm »

As long as Hillary makes it through today with no new FBI news she could still have a chance. No one pays attention on the weekend and no one changes their vote the day before the election.
I heard about someone changing their vote from Bush to Gore as they were going to the polling station and heard his campaign on NPR talk about how they weren't just about the oil.

What is that supposed to mean?
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Snek!
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« Reply #687 on: November 05, 2016, 03:08:18 pm »

As long as Hillary makes it through today with no new FBI news she could still have a chance. No one pays attention on the weekend and no one changes their vote the day before the election.
I heard about someone changing their vote from Bush to Gore as they were going to the polling station and heard his campaign on NPR talk about how they weren't just about the oil.

What is that supposed to mean?
That they weren't about promoting fossil fuel companies or that they had a major stay in steering the BC00 and BC04 administration.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #688 on: November 05, 2016, 03:11:51 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

Hmm if they're under 206, they're likely behind in Ohio or Arizona.

Matching Romney's 206 is a very plausible outcome.  Swap NC/AZ for IA/OH.  Both pairs add up to 26 EV and cancel each other out.

Ohio + Iowa = 24 EV.

So it is.  Don't know what I was thinking.  Thanks. Smiley
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Castro
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« Reply #689 on: November 05, 2016, 03:53:18 pm »

Not really an internal, though maybe Plouffe has access to internal numbers:

David PlouffeVerified account
‏@davidplouffe
Four years ago. 332 electoral votes. HRC well north of 300 in two days.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #690 on: November 05, 2016, 03:54:23 pm »

Not really an internal, though maybe Plouffe has access to internal numbers:

David PlouffeVerified account
‏@davidplouffe
Four years ago. 332 electoral votes. HRC well north of 300 in two days.

Really kind of surprised to him say this publicly.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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« Reply #691 on: November 05, 2016, 03:59:13 pm »

...then why hasn't anyone heard of them? There seems to be a steady stream of Tweets coming from consultants about HRC winning big, yet there's nothing of the kind on Trump. Any explanations?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #692 on: November 05, 2016, 04:03:46 pm »

He doesn't want to interfer the election process Roll Eyes

And he wants to be... unpredictable Cheesy
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #693 on: November 05, 2016, 04:03:55 pm »

There aren't any.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #694 on: November 05, 2016, 04:05:38 pm »

If you internals are really so good, you're chilling. Not writing "mystic" s**t like this Roll Eyes

I mean: Just look att PPP; they were playfull and funny. Well, not anymore, they spent their time to say: "in our private polls, she's leading" and realesed public polls, though that didn't plan it.
« Last Edit: November 05, 2016, 04:07:44 pm by Little Big BREXIT »Logged
Snek!
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« Reply #695 on: November 05, 2016, 04:06:27 pm »

He doesn't want to interfer the election process Roll Eyes

And he wants to be... unpredictable Cheesy
I'm the White Wizard! Cheesy
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« Last Edit: November 05, 2016, 04:09:20 pm by Spicy Purrito( (((☭ )))-MA) »Logged
QE
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« Reply #696 on: November 05, 2016, 04:07:08 pm »

Not really an internal poll, but I'm not sure if Mook is referencing internal polling or the recent public polling coming out of MI.

Dan Merica Verified account
‏@danmericaCNN
Dan Merica Retweeted Dan Merica
Robby Mook, Clinton's campaign manager, on Michigan: "The numbers there have tightened."

---

This could help explain Hillary's campaign stop in Grand Rapids and the decision to send President Obama to Ann Arbor.

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alomas
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« Reply #697 on: November 05, 2016, 04:07:31 pm »

Because they are internals? We also haven't seen any Romney data from 2012 Tongue
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #698 on: November 05, 2016, 04:08:58 pm »

He doesn't want to interfer the election process Roll Eyes

And he wants to be... unpredictable Cheesy
I'm the White Wizard! Cheesy

No, you are black! Undecided
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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« Reply #699 on: November 05, 2016, 04:11:24 pm »

Because they are internals? We also haven't seen any Romney data from 2012 Tongue
But we did get gobs of hints from his aides. This year, we have "Says who?".


Also, can this be moved to the main 2016 board? I seem to have posted it in the wrong place.
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