Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 17, 2019, 08:15:36 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Internal poll megathread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 19 20 21 22 23 [24] 25 26 27 28 29 ... 32 Print
Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 62003 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,654
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #575 on: November 01, 2016, 02:10:59 pm »
« edited: November 01, 2016, 02:12:56 pm by Happy Sad Trumpista »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycle, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue
No data, no responsibility.

We'll see soon.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,221
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #576 on: November 01, 2016, 02:12:57 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,654
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #577 on: November 01, 2016, 02:13:53 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.
Yep, that's why they can say anything.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,582
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #578 on: November 01, 2016, 02:14:27 pm »

PPP national polls were actually lower than the average.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,221
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #579 on: November 01, 2016, 02:14:58 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.
Yep, that's why they can say anything.
They can't give out numbers, which they haven't but they can talk trends all they want.
Logged
nirvanayoda
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 87


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #580 on: November 01, 2016, 02:19:38 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.

Right, but in many cases if the poll is favorable to the Democrat (PPP's client, generally), they'll release the poll.  Given that we haven't seen any PPP polls in something like a week, my guess is the battleground trends aren't looking particularly favorable for Clinton, even if she remains ahead in them.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,221
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #581 on: November 01, 2016, 02:20:41 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.

Right, but in many cases if the poll is favorable to the Democrat (PPP's client, generally), they'll release the poll.  Given that we haven't seen any PPP polls in something like a week, my guess is the battleground trends aren't looking particularly favorable for Clinton, even if she remains ahead in them.
Or they just don't want to release. 
Logged
Fusionmunster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,490


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #582 on: November 01, 2016, 02:21:54 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.

Right, but in many cases if the poll is favorable to the Democrat (PPP's client, generally), they'll release the poll.  Given that we haven't seen any PPP polls in something like a week, my guess is the battleground trends aren't looking particularly favorable for Clinton, even if she remains ahead in them.

No, PPP's client will release the poll. PPP has no say if their private polls are released.
Logged
Yank2133
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,171


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #583 on: November 01, 2016, 02:57:18 pm »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

The Arizona dream still lives!
Logged
nirvanayoda
Jr. Member
**
Posts: 87


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #584 on: November 01, 2016, 03:05:33 pm »

Wow, it sounds nice, given that this is PPP Tongue

Why?

PPP is a landline pollster, which generally favors the GOP.

They don't favor GOP in this cycly, no.

But anyways, I was talking about their message. They likely won't publish those polls, why my interpretation is that their "Clinton +3-5" are D-friendly and means sort of: Clinton is at best +3-5 Tongue

We'll see soon.
Or they won't publish polls because they are not doing any public polls for the last two weeks.  All private.

Right, but in many cases if the poll is favorable to the Democrat (PPP's client, generally), they'll release the poll.  Given that we haven't seen any PPP polls in something like a week, my guess is the battleground trends aren't looking particularly favorable for Clinton, even if she remains ahead in them.

No, PPP's client will release the poll. PPP has no say if their private polls are released.

By "they'll release the poll", I meant "PPP's client will release the poll".  You're correct.
Logged
Fubart Solman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,034
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #585 on: November 01, 2016, 03:34:29 pm »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

The Arizona dream still lives!

As does the Utah dream.
Logged
Ozymandias
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 470


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #586 on: November 01, 2016, 03:48:17 pm »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  8m8 minutes ago
Every NC poll we've done in the last month has had Clinton up narrowly. She will probably win. If she loses it will be likely be by 1-2 pts
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,654
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #587 on: November 01, 2016, 03:50:10 pm »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  8m8 minutes ago
Every NC poll we've done in the last month has had Clinton up narrowly. She will probably win. If she loses it will be likely be by 1-2 pts

Niiiice.
Logged
calvinhobbesliker
Rookie
*
Posts: 33


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #588 on: November 01, 2016, 07:47:17 pm »

http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2016/11/trump-for-ny-poll-shows-a-much-closer-race-in-ny/

Trump internal has Clinton up 49-38 in New York, after doing a push question.

"Before being asked who their favored candidate was, the pollster asked voters: “All things being equal, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for president that will continue many of President Obama’s policies for the next four years or change and take the country in a new and different direction?”
Logged
PA is Lean D
ShadowOfTheWave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,552
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #589 on: November 01, 2016, 07:48:34 pm »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  8m8 minutes ago
Every NC poll we've done in the last month has had Clinton up narrowly. She will probably win. If she loses it will be likely be by 1-2 pts

Niiiice.

Trump will win NC by at least 3%, though no more than 5%.
Logged
Yank2133
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,171


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #590 on: November 01, 2016, 07:50:16 pm »

http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2016/11/trump-for-ny-poll-shows-a-much-closer-race-in-ny/

Trump internal has Clinton up 49-38 in New York, after doing a push question.

"Before being asked who their favored candidate was, the pollster asked voters: “All things being equal, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate for president that will continue many of President Obama’s policies for the next four years or change and take the country in a new and different direction?”

What a joke.
Logged
PA is Lean D
ShadowOfTheWave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,552
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #591 on: November 01, 2016, 07:51:26 pm »

Hillary has rarely hit the upper 50s in a NY poll, so it's not impossible Trump could hit 40% there, though unlikely.
Logged
Milton Friedman
Newbie
*
Posts: 16
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #592 on: November 01, 2016, 07:53:17 pm »

Majority Leader Cantor nods his head in approval at that NY poll.
Logged
Yank2133
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,171


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #593 on: November 01, 2016, 07:53:45 pm »

Hillary has rarely hit the upper 50s in a NY poll, so it's not impossible Trump could hit 40% there, though unlikely.

I am talking about the question.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,556
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #594 on: November 01, 2016, 08:32:46 pm »

While I do expect Trump to perform better in New York than Romney, I don't see how he hits 40%. You have to remember that Stein\Johnson\others will probably get about 5% of the vote here.
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,875
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #595 on: November 02, 2016, 07:45:00 am »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  18m18 minutes ago
top GOP pollster: "Johnson continuing to trend down.  Clinton holding steady lead of about 5 points"


How many "top GOP pollsters" does Harwood know? Not everyone can be a top pollster.
Logged
Marianne Williamson
dfwlibertylover
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,900
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #596 on: November 02, 2016, 07:46:48 am »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  18m18 minutes ago
top GOP pollster: "Johnson continuing to trend down.  Clinton holding steady lead of about 5 points"


How many "top GOP pollsters" does Harwood know? Not everyone can be a top pollster.
lol maybe he has money invested in the betting odds
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,875
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #597 on: November 02, 2016, 07:52:34 am »

More top men. Who? TOP. MEN.

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  7m7 minutes ago
top Dem pollster on Clinton edge: "could get tighter because partisanship such a driver of vote choice, but she's holding steady"

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  4m4 minutes ago
top Dem pollster #2 on approx Clinton edge over Trump: "2-6 IMHO"

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  1m1 minute ago
non-partisan pollster on Clinton lead: "data says 6 and steady"
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,654
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #598 on: November 02, 2016, 08:00:02 am »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  4m4 minutes ago
top Dem pollster #2 on approx Clinton edge over Trump: "2-6 IMHO"
Lol
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,674


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #599 on: November 02, 2016, 08:08:28 am »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  4m4 minutes ago
top Dem pollster #2 on approx Clinton edge over Trump: "2-6 IMHO"
Lol

This is consistent with stability in the race over several months assuming all swings are reflecting non-response.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 19 20 21 22 23 [24] 25 26 27 28 29 ... 32 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC