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  Internal poll megathread
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 64040 times)
Ebsy
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« Reply #625 on: November 03, 2016, 03:02:33 pm »

PPP says their polling has Clinton ahead in NH, for what it's worth.

I wonder if that means she's like a point ahead or solidly ahead.

Very few tweets by PPP in the last five or so days.

They're likely pretty busy with their private clients.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #626 on: November 03, 2016, 03:34:39 pm »

PPP says their polling has Clinton ahead in NH, for what it's worth.

I wonder if that means she's like a point ahead or solidly ahead.

Very few tweets by PPP in the last five or so days.

They're likely pretty busy with their private clients.

I believe they said not long ago that this election is the busiest they've ever been.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #627 on: November 03, 2016, 03:42:16 pm »

If they're not going to release public polls, what would they be tweeting about? It's pretty rare that they release info on their polling for clients.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #628 on: November 03, 2016, 03:57:20 pm »

Of the 64.4% (322/500) of respondents who said they already voted:

Clinton - 46  (+6.0)
Trump - 40
Johnson - 8
Stein - 2
Other - 2

Huh
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #629 on: November 03, 2016, 04:23:45 pm »

Of the 64.4% (322/500) of respondents who said they already voted:

Clinton - 46  (+6.0)
Trump - 40
Johnson - 8
Stein - 2
Other - 2

Huh

Sorry I had multiple threads open, posted in wrong one-- deleting this post.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #630 on: November 03, 2016, 08:00:52 pm »

mike murphy ‏@murphymike  2m2 minutes ago
"Just saw new CO survey. Live calls to landline and cell. Trump -6."

(Presumably he means Trump is down 6.)
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #631 on: November 03, 2016, 08:03:13 pm »

mike murphy ‏@murphymike  2m2 minutes ago
"Just saw new CO survey. Live calls to landline and cell. Trump -6."

(Presumably he means Trump is down 6.)
Is this the magellan thing?
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #632 on: November 03, 2016, 08:06:51 pm »

mike murphy ‏@murphymike  2m2 minutes ago
"Just saw new CO survey. Live calls to landline and cell. Trump -6."

(Presumably he means Trump is down 6.)
Is this the magellan thing?

Hmm, not sure, I guess it could be. 
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Ebsy
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« Reply #633 on: November 04, 2016, 01:07:10 am »

https://www.scribd.com/document/329893774/MN-02-GBA-for-Angie-Craig-Nov-2016

Clinton +5/+7 in MN-02, which Obama barely won in 2012.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #634 on: November 04, 2016, 07:35:43 am »

John Harwood

"Trump strategist at last weekend: "MI/PA/WI break our hearts. We win OH/NC/IA; NH/FL toss-up. We win those, LONG night waiting for NV/CO/AZ""

"Clinton strategist on lead entering final weekend: "Solid. Things improved a bit last two days. basically same as we were a week or two ago""
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Worried Italian Progressive
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« Reply #635 on: November 04, 2016, 07:43:24 am »

John Harwood

"Trump strategist at last weekend: "MI/PA/WI break our hearts. We win OH/NC/IA; NH/FL toss-up. We win those, LONG night waiting for NV/CO/AZ""

"Clinton strategist on lead entering final weekend: "Solid. Things improved a bit last two days. basically same as we were a week or two ago""
LOL
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #636 on: November 04, 2016, 07:53:08 am »

John Harwood

"Trump strategist at last weekend: "MI/PA/WI break our hearts. We win OH/NC/IA; NH/FL toss-up. We win those, LONG night waiting for NV/CO/AZ""

"Clinton strategist on lead entering final weekend: "Solid. Things improved a bit last two days. basically same as we were a week or two ago""

The truth is (as usual) in the middle. Smiley
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #637 on: November 04, 2016, 07:53:31 am »

Even the Trump campaign admits Arizona is a tossup!
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #638 on: November 04, 2016, 07:57:08 am »

John Harwood

"Trump strategist at last weekend: "MI/PA/WI break our hearts. We win OH/NC/IA; NH/FL toss-up. We win those, LONG night waiting for NV/CO/AZ""

"Clinton strategist on lead entering final weekend: "Solid. Things improved a bit last two days. basically same as we were a week or two ago""
Yep, as I said the polls have rebounded. It helps that most polls being released lack the day of the Comey release.

The truth is (as usual) in the middle. Smiley
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #639 on: November 04, 2016, 08:04:50 am »

John Harwood

"Trump strategist at last weekend: "MI/PA/WI break our hearts. We win OH/NC/IA; NH/FL toss-up. We win those, LONG night waiting for NV/CO/AZ""

"Clinton strategist on lead entering final weekend: "Solid. Things improved a bit last two days. basically same as we were a week or two ago""

The Trump person isn't talking about polling, they're talking about a path. A least Clinton's is talking about the lay of the land.
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Moderate Pennsylvanian
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« Reply #640 on: November 04, 2016, 08:10:27 am »

Even the Trump campaign admits Arizona is a tossup!

Which means Nevada is not.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #641 on: November 04, 2016, 08:11:41 am »

If Iowa can trend so far right in one cycle, it's not crazy to think Arizona can trend so far left at the same time. Arizona could even be to the left of Iowa.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #642 on: November 04, 2016, 08:11:52 am »

John Harwood

"Trump strategist at last weekend: "MI/PA/WI break our hearts. We win OH/NC/IA; NH/FL toss-up. We win those, LONG night waiting for NV/CO/AZ""

"Clinton strategist on lead entering final weekend: "Solid. Things improved a bit last two days. basically same as we were a week or two ago""

The Trump person isn't talking about polling, they're talking about a path. A least Clinton's is talking about the lay of the land.

MI/WI/PA, I think she's talking about polling partially because she seems to imply it's out of reach with few days to go.

The rest of them, she means they need to win all of them.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #643 on: November 04, 2016, 08:29:37 am »

If Iowa can trend so far right in one cycle, it's not crazy to think Arizona can trend so far left at the same time. Arizona could even be to the left of Iowa.

If I had to guess, I think Trump ends up winning both by about the same margin (2-3 points).
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #644 on: November 04, 2016, 08:40:18 am »

John Harwood

"Trump strategist at last weekend: "MI/PA/WI break our hearts. We win OH/NC/IA; NH/FL toss-up. We win those, LONG night waiting for NV/CO/AZ""

"Clinton strategist on lead entering final weekend: "Solid. Things improved a bit last two days. basically same as we were a week or two ago""

The truth is (as usual) in the middle. Smiley
Not necessarily
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #645 on: November 04, 2016, 08:41:00 am »

If Iowa can trend so far right in one cycle, it's not crazy to think Arizona can trend so far left at the same time. Arizona could even be to the left of Iowa.

If I had to guess, I think Trump ends up winning both by about the same margin (2-3 points).

Wait... I'm more optimistic than you are?
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #646 on: November 04, 2016, 09:44:47 am »

John Harwood

"top GOP Senate strategist: "All races w/in MOE. think we have IN. concerned about PA/NV this morning. Trump finishing well. comes up short""
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #647 on: November 04, 2016, 09:45:58 am »

John Harwood

"top GOP Senate strategist: "All races w/in MOE. think we have IN. concerned about PA/NV this morning. Trump finishing well. comes up short""

Reading between the lines... Indiana is the only one they think they will win and PA and NV are definitely gone.
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Pro-Life Single Issue Voter
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« Reply #648 on: November 04, 2016, 09:48:50 am »

I'm worried that things are shifting again.  We need to close strong to win the White House and the Senate.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #649 on: November 04, 2016, 10:04:55 am »

Not really related to internal but


@ppppolls What's your view on OH?

PPP: "Pretty good chance it will be closest state in the country and someone wins by less than a point- our last had Hillary narrowly ahead"
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