Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 09, 2019, 06:55:58 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Endorsements Close today at noon

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Internal poll megathread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 22 23 24 25 26 [27] 28 29 30 31 32 Print
Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 64097 times)
MasterJedi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,403
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #650 on: November 04, 2016, 10:06:01 am »

I'm worried that things are shifting again.  We need to close strong to win the White House and the Senate.

People got out of the "OMG emails" to "oh sh**t, Trump could actually win, hell no" mentality.
Logged
The Invisible Hand (that suicided Jeffrey Epstein)
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,006
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #651 on: November 04, 2016, 10:06:47 am »

Not really related to internal but


@ppppolls What's your view on OH?

PPP: "Pretty good chance it will be closest state in the country and someone wins by less than a point- our last had Hillary narrowly ahead"

If that's true, he's phucked.  It would be funny if Ohio is like Missouri in 2008 where it comes down to a recount but Hillary has already won.
Logged
The Invisible Hand (that suicided Jeffrey Epstein)
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,006
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #652 on: November 04, 2016, 10:07:27 am »

I'm worried that things are shifting again.  We need to close strong to win the White House and the Senate.

People got out of the "OMG emails" to "oh sh**t, Trump could actually win, hell no" mentality.

No one wants it to end like this...
Logged
KingSweden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,256
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #653 on: November 04, 2016, 10:09:00 am »

Not really related to internal but


@ppppolls What's your view on OH?

PPP: "Pretty good chance it will be closest state in the country and someone wins by less than a point- our last had Hillary narrowly ahead"

Prob within half a point either way
Logged
Biden If Buttigieg
ShadowOfTheWave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,825
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #654 on: November 04, 2016, 10:12:07 am »

As long as Hillary makes it through today with no new FBI news she could still have a chance. No one pays attention on the weekend and no one changes their vote the day before the election.
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,183
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #655 on: November 04, 2016, 10:13:12 am »

As long as Hillary makes it through today with no new FBI news she could still have a chance. No one pays attention on the weekend and no one changes their vote the day before the election.

Hmmm, turning a corner are we?
Logged
The Invisible Hand (that suicided Jeffrey Epstein)
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,006
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #656 on: November 04, 2016, 10:13:37 am »

As long as Hillary makes it through today with no new FBI news she could still have a chance. No one pays attention on the weekend and no one changes their vote the day before the election.
I heard about someone changing their vote from Bush to Gore as they were going to the polling station and heard his campaign on NPR talk about how they weren't just about the oil.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #657 on: November 04, 2016, 10:18:57 am »

I'm worried that things are shifting again.  We need to close strong to win the White House and the Senate.

People got out of the "OMG emails" to "oh sh**t, Trump could actually win, hell no" mentality.

Yeah, I don't buy the "Comey actually INCREASED Dem enthusiasm" spin, but I do think Trump closing the gap has scared Democrats into shifting back from unlikely to likely voters.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #658 on: November 04, 2016, 10:20:18 am »

I'm worried that things are shifting again.  We need to close strong to win the White House and the Senate.

People got out of the "OMG emails" to "oh sh**t, Trump could actually win, hell no" mentality.

Yeah, I don't buy the "Comey actually INCREASED Dem enthusiasm" spin, but I do think Trump closing the gap has scared Democrats into shifting back from unlikely to likely voters.

Bernie bros, I think
Logged
Wiz in Wis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,521


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #659 on: November 04, 2016, 10:27:02 am »

Not sure if "internal" as it's for an advocacy group, but final PPP Poll of WI has Clinton +7, Feingold +5:

https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143856/WIResults112-Final.pdf
Logged
dfwlibertylover
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #660 on: November 04, 2016, 10:28:42 am »

Not sure if "internal" as it's for an advocacy group, but final PPP Poll of WI has Clinton +7, Feingold +5:

https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143856/WIResults112-Final.pdf
Interesting, their 2012 electorate was Obama 51 - Romney 41
Logged
Wiz in Wis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,521


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #661 on: November 04, 2016, 10:34:57 am »

Not sure if "internal" as it's for an advocacy group, but final PPP Poll of WI has Clinton +7, Feingold +5:

https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143856/WIResults112-Final.pdf
Interesting, their 2012 electorate was Obama 51 - Romney 41

That's pretty common, people overestimate supporting the winner.
Logged
darthpi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,733
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -5.91

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #662 on: November 04, 2016, 11:43:20 am »

Not sure if "internal" as it's for an advocacy group, but final PPP Poll of WI has Clinton +7, Feingold +5:

https://cdn.americanprogress.org/content/uploads/sites/2/2016/11/03143856/WIResults112-Final.pdf
Interesting, their 2012 electorate was Obama 51 - Romney 41

That's pretty common, people overestimate supporting the winner.

And yet the people running the LA Times poll couldn't figure that out.
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,183
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #663 on: November 05, 2016, 12:34:24 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,947
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #664 on: November 05, 2016, 12:39:51 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

Hmm if they're under 206, they're likely behind in Ohio or Arizona.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,111


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #665 on: November 05, 2016, 12:41:08 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

Hmm if they're under 206, they're likely behind in Ohio or Arizona.

Matching Romney's 206 is a very plausible outcome.  Swap NC/AZ for IA/OH.  Both pairs add up to 26 EV and cancel each other out.
Logged
Yank2133
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,176


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #666 on: November 05, 2016, 12:42:17 pm »
« Edited: November 05, 2016, 12:44:46 pm by Yank2133 »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

It is all about TrumpTV.

He would lose credibility if he gets blown out worse then Mitt.
Logged
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,231
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #667 on: November 05, 2016, 01:06:27 pm »

PPP has polled Ohio four times since Labor Day, and each time they've found the race within a point.
Logged
Pandaguineapig
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,589
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #668 on: November 05, 2016, 01:06:50 pm »

Caveat: Its Glenn Thrush
Logged
ReapSow
Rafe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 616
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #669 on: November 05, 2016, 01:23:18 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

Hmm if they're under 206, they're likely behind in Ohio or Arizona.

Matching Romney's 206 is a very plausible outcome.  Swap NC/AZ for IA/OH.  Both pairs add up to 26 EV and cancel each other out.

Ohio + Iowa = 24 EV.
Logged
Oak Hills
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,220
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #670 on: November 05, 2016, 03:06:39 pm »

As long as Hillary makes it through today with no new FBI news she could still have a chance. No one pays attention on the weekend and no one changes their vote the day before the election.
I heard about someone changing their vote from Bush to Gore as they were going to the polling station and heard his campaign on NPR talk about how they weren't just about the oil.

What is that supposed to mean?
Logged
The Invisible Hand (that suicided Jeffrey Epstein)
Angry_Weasel
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,006
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #671 on: November 05, 2016, 03:08:18 pm »

As long as Hillary makes it through today with no new FBI news she could still have a chance. No one pays attention on the weekend and no one changes their vote the day before the election.
I heard about someone changing their vote from Bush to Gore as they were going to the polling station and heard his campaign on NPR talk about how they weren't just about the oil.

What is that supposed to mean?
That they weren't about promoting fossil fuel companies or that they had a major stay in steering the BC00 and BC04 administration.
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,111


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #672 on: November 05, 2016, 03:11:51 pm »

@GlennThrush

Trump wants to win. But two people in his orbit have told me in last week that decisively beating Romney's 206 EVs is increasingly a goal.

Hmm if they're under 206, they're likely behind in Ohio or Arizona.

Matching Romney's 206 is a very plausible outcome.  Swap NC/AZ for IA/OH.  Both pairs add up to 26 EV and cancel each other out.

Ohio + Iowa = 24 EV.

So it is.  Don't know what I was thinking.  Thanks. Smiley
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,947
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #673 on: November 05, 2016, 03:53:18 pm »

Not really an internal, though maybe Plouffe has access to internal numbers:

David PlouffeVerified account
‏@davidplouffe
Four years ago. 332 electoral votes. HRC well north of 300 in two days.
Logged
Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,183
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #674 on: November 05, 2016, 03:54:23 pm »

Not really an internal, though maybe Plouffe has access to internal numbers:

David PlouffeVerified account
‏@davidplouffe
Four years ago. 332 electoral votes. HRC well north of 300 in two days.

Really kind of surprised to him say this publicly.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 22 23 24 25 26 [27] 28 29 30 31 32 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC