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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Internal poll megathread
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 60501 times)
Ebsy
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« Reply #700 on: November 05, 2016, 04:13:51 pm »

Mook is always known for his abundance of caution when publicly discussing the race.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #701 on: November 05, 2016, 04:14:36 pm »

He doesn't want to interfer the election process Roll Eyes

And he wants to be... unpredictable Cheesy
I'm the White Wizard! Cheesy

No, you are black! Undecided
The BLACK wizard
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QE
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« Reply #702 on: November 05, 2016, 04:19:08 pm »

Mook is always known for his abundance of caution when publicly discussing the race.

This is very true.
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RJEvans
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« Reply #703 on: November 05, 2016, 04:29:22 pm »

Not really an internal, though maybe Plouffe has access to internal numbers:

David PlouffeVerified account
‏@davidplouffe
Four years ago. 332 electoral votes. HRC well north of 300 in two days.

Everyone's reputation is on the line.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #704 on: November 05, 2016, 04:38:32 pm »

Not really an internal, though maybe Plouffe has access to internal numbers:

David PlouffeVerified account
‏@davidplouffe
Four years ago. 332 electoral votes. HRC well north of 300 in two days.

Everyone's reputation is on the line.
This wouldn't be an Obama/Romney thing where Obama opened a modest but comfortable lead where he was always barely ahead? This would be a bigger error if they were wrong.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #705 on: November 05, 2016, 04:44:40 pm »

Frida Ghitis ‏@FridaGhitis  3h3 hours ago
Político writer tells MSNBC that Trump has stopped polling - because he refuses to pay his pollster. May explain campaigning in odd places.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #706 on: November 05, 2016, 05:29:59 pm »

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/democratic-insiders-hillarys-ground-game-will-sink-trump-230718

Not internal polling but here are where each team stands.

"a panel of activists, strategists and operatives in 11 swing states, seven of which are seeing significant early- and absentee-voting operations. In those seven states where large numbers of voters are expected to cast their ballots before Election Day — Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin — more than three-quarters of Democrats think their party has done a better job turning out key voters thus far.

Democratic insiders are most confident in Colorado, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin. They express more uncertainty in Florida and Iowa.

"Republicans, meanwhile, were split across these early voting states. Overall, 40 percent said the GOP was doing the better job, compared with 31 percent who said Democrats were overperforming. Another 29 percent said neither party had a discernible advantage."

"(The question wasn’t posed to insiders in Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia — states that don't offer early voting and have more restrictive absentee ballot requirements.)"
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #707 on: November 05, 2016, 05:59:03 pm »

Peter Alexander ‏@PeterAlexander
NEW: Trump top aide says their internals show Michigan a dead heat. Looking to add Trump MI stop Mon or Tues in addition to Sun rally there"
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swf541
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« Reply #708 on: November 05, 2016, 06:00:35 pm »

Peter Alexander ‏@PeterAlexander
NEW: Trump top aide says their internals show Michigan a dead heat. Looking to add Trump MI stop Mon or Tues in addition to Sun rally there"

Ah yes, Trump's non existent internal polling
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QE
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« Reply #709 on: November 05, 2016, 06:02:48 pm »

Peter Alexander ‏@PeterAlexander
NEW: Trump top aide says their internals show Michigan a dead heat. Looking to add Trump MI stop Mon or Tues in addition to Sun rally there"

Ah yes, Trump's non existent internal polling

I bet they're talking about that Strategic Vision junk poll which might as well function as an internal.
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swf541
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« Reply #710 on: November 05, 2016, 06:04:57 pm »

Peter Alexander ‏@PeterAlexander
NEW: Trump top aide says their internals show Michigan a dead heat. Looking to add Trump MI stop Mon or Tues in addition to Sun rally there"

Ah yes, Trump's non existent internal polling

I bet they're talking about that Strategic Vision junk poll which might as well function as an internal.

Probably
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #711 on: November 05, 2016, 06:08:25 pm »

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/democratic-insiders-hillarys-ground-game-will-sink-trump-230718

Not internal polling but here are where each team stands.

"a panel of activists, strategists and operatives in 11 swing states, seven of which are seeing significant early- and absentee-voting operations. In those seven states where large numbers of voters are expected to cast their ballots before Election Day — Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin — more than three-quarters of Democrats think their party has done a better job turning out key voters thus far.

Democratic insiders are most confident in Colorado, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin. They express more uncertainty in Florida and Iowa.

"Republicans, meanwhile, were split across these early voting states. Overall, 40 percent said the GOP was doing the better job, compared with 31 percent who said Democrats were overperforming. Another 29 percent said neither party had a discernible advantage."

"(The question wasn’t posed to insiders in Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia — states that don't offer early voting and have more restrictive absentee ballot requirements.)"

What? They are confident about Ohio, but not about Florida Huh
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calvinhobbesliker
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« Reply #712 on: November 05, 2016, 06:08:50 pm »

That or they're taking Mook's bait.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #713 on: November 06, 2016, 03:17:57 am »

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/democratic-insiders-hillarys-ground-game-will-sink-trump-230718

Not internal polling but here are where each team stands.

Actually, there was one little nugget of internal polling:

And in Wisconsin, one Democrat said, “It's not even close. Both Clinton and [former Sen. Russ] Feingold have 30-point leads in early voting.”
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #714 on: November 06, 2016, 09:18:22 am »

"John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  1m1 minute ago
Priebus on Michigan: "we’ve invested over $100M in data. track race far better than any polling. predictive modeling tells us it's tied""
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Castro
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« Reply #715 on: November 06, 2016, 09:20:25 am »

"John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  1m1 minute ago
Priebus on Michigan: "we’ve invested over $100M in data. track race far better than any polling. predictive modeling tells us it's tied""

Lol ok Reince. You're almost done, don't worry.

Also:
Glenn Thrush ‏@GlennThrush  1m1 minute ago
Podesta tells @chucktodd he feels "very, very good" about Hispanic turnout in Nevada/Fla compensating for sag in AA early voting
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #716 on: November 06, 2016, 09:31:57 am »

"John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  1m1 minute ago
Priebus on Michigan: "we’ve invested over $100M in data. track race far better than any polling. predictive modeling tells us it's tied""
Have they already forgotten 2012?

And if it's called when the polls close, I'm going to laugh my ass off.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #717 on: November 06, 2016, 10:12:43 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan
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Castro
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« Reply #718 on: November 06, 2016, 10:27:06 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan

Disappointing, but I guess better to lock down the blue wall than make a last ditch effort to keep Iowa in.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #719 on: November 06, 2016, 10:35:44 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan

One more evidence that superduper magic internals & ground-game doesn't differ much from public polling, no/si?
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #720 on: November 06, 2016, 10:36:26 am »

https://twitter.com/ZekeJMiller/status/795263277613846528

Trump's internal map lol
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #721 on: November 06, 2016, 10:40:32 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan


One more evidence that superduper magic internals & ground-game doesn't differ much from public polling, no/si?

on the contrary....IA is the opposite if OH.....full republican support for trump since day1 and its demography was pro-populism to begin with....the main reason it voted straight D since years was republican anti-farmer-policy during reagan, i was told.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #722 on: November 06, 2016, 10:47:49 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan

Disappointing, but I guess better to lock down the blue wall than make a last ditch effort to keep Iowa in.

F-ck Iowa. I'm sick of them and their god-damned corn subsidies that keep HFCS in our food supply. The DNC should nuke the Iowa Caucus ASAP and give it to a more appropriate state. I don't see any adverse reason why Nevada shouldn't be the first in the nation caucus (if we're going to even keep caucuses at all).

I don't agree with Donald Trump on almost anything, but I share his viewpoint: "How stupid are the people of Iowa?"
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #723 on: November 06, 2016, 10:48:54 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan


One more evidence that superduper magic internals & ground-game doesn't differ much from public polling, no/si?

on the contrary....IA is the opposite if OH.....full republican support for trump since day1 and its demography was pro-populism to begin with....the main reason it voted straight D since years was republican anti-farmer-policy during reagan, i was told.

And? You think it is coincidence that Obama was cancelled day after Selzer showed Trump+7?
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dspNY
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« Reply #724 on: November 06, 2016, 11:33:15 am »

Echoes of Dukakis in 1988 when he lost

Trump making stops in PA, MI, OH, NC, NH on Election Day itself
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