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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 63768 times)
Devout Centrist
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« Reply #700 on: November 06, 2016, 09:31:57 am »

"John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  1m1 minute ago
Priebus on Michigan: "we’ve invested over $100M in data. track race far better than any polling. predictive modeling tells us it's tied""
Have they already forgotten 2012?

And if it's called when the polls close, I'm going to laugh my ass off.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #701 on: November 06, 2016, 10:12:43 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #702 on: November 06, 2016, 10:27:06 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan

Disappointing, but I guess better to lock down the blue wall than make a last ditch effort to keep Iowa in.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #703 on: November 06, 2016, 10:35:44 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan

One more evidence that superduper magic internals & ground-game doesn't differ much from public polling, no/si?
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #704 on: November 06, 2016, 10:36:26 am »

https://twitter.com/ZekeJMiller/status/795263277613846528

Trump's internal map lol
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #705 on: November 06, 2016, 10:40:32 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan


One more evidence that superduper magic internals & ground-game doesn't differ much from public polling, no/si?

on the contrary....IA is the opposite if OH.....full republican support for trump since day1 and its demography was pro-populism to begin with....the main reason it voted straight D since years was republican anti-farmer-policy during reagan, i was told.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #706 on: November 06, 2016, 10:47:49 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan

Disappointing, but I guess better to lock down the blue wall than make a last ditch effort to keep Iowa in.

F-ck Iowa. I'm sick of them and their god-damned corn subsidies that keep HFCS in our food supply. The DNC should nuke the Iowa Caucus ASAP and give it to a more appropriate state. I don't see any adverse reason why Nevada shouldn't be the first in the nation caucus (if we're going to even keep caucuses at all).

I don't agree with Donald Trump on almost anything, but I share his viewpoint: "How stupid are the people of Iowa?"
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #707 on: November 06, 2016, 10:48:54 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan


One more evidence that superduper magic internals & ground-game doesn't differ much from public polling, no/si?

on the contrary....IA is the opposite if OH.....full republican support for trump since day1 and its demography was pro-populism to begin with....the main reason it voted straight D since years was republican anti-farmer-policy during reagan, i was told.

And? You think it is coincidence that Obama was cancelled day after Selzer showed Trump+7?
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dspNY
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« Reply #708 on: November 06, 2016, 11:33:15 am »

Echoes of Dukakis in 1988 when he lost

Trump making stops in PA, MI, OH, NC, NH on Election Day itself
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #709 on: November 06, 2016, 11:34:19 am »

‏@JohnJHarwood  13s13 seconds ago

3 GOP pollsters I asked this am -  #1: HRC w/304 EVs (losing OH/NC/NH); #2: 322 EVs (winning NC/NH, losing ME-2); #3: 323 EVs (winning ME-2)
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #710 on: November 06, 2016, 11:35:04 am »

‏@JohnJHarwood  13s13 seconds ago

3 GOP pollsters I asked this am -  #1: HRC w/304 EVs (losing OH/NC/NH); #2: 322 EVs (winning NC/NH, losing ME-2); #3: 323 EVs (winning ME-2)
If they're saying that, the reality could be worse.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #711 on: November 06, 2016, 11:36:09 am »

‏@JohnJHarwood  13s13 seconds ago

3 GOP pollsters I asked this am -  #1: HRC w/304 EVs (losing OH/NC/NH); #2: 322 EVs (winning NC/NH, losing ME-2); #3: 323 EVs (winning ME-2)

So they're conceding FL.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #712 on: November 06, 2016, 11:36:44 am »

‏@JohnJHarwood  13s13 seconds ago

3 GOP pollsters I asked this am -  #1: HRC w/304 EVs (losing OH/NC/NH); #2: 322 EVs (winning NC/NH, losing ME-2); #3: 323 EVs (winning ME-2)

So they're conceding FL.

Noticed that, too.
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Mike88
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« Reply #713 on: November 06, 2016, 11:38:16 am »

Echoes of Dukakis in 1988 when he lost

Trump making stops in PA, MI, OH, NC, NH on Election Day itself

Wow! Is that even allowed? Campaigning on election day?
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dspNY
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« Reply #714 on: November 06, 2016, 11:39:42 am »

‏@JohnJHarwood  13s13 seconds ago

3 GOP pollsters I asked this am -  #1: HRC w/304 EVs (losing OH/NC/NH); #2: 322 EVs (winning NC/NH, losing ME-2); #3: 323 EVs (winning ME-2)

So they're conceding FL.

Correlates with Chuck Todd's comments on TODAY this morning from Republican insiders "very nervous" about Hispanic over-performance in FL. Concede FL, concede the election
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #715 on: November 06, 2016, 11:40:51 am »

Echoes of Dukakis in 1988 when he lost

Trump making stops in PA, MI, OH, NC, NH on Election Day itself

Wow! Is that even allowed? Campaigning on election day?

Yes. I remember Obama in 2008 campaigning at Indianapolis before going to Chicago for his election night party.
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dspNY
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« Reply #716 on: November 06, 2016, 11:42:14 am »

Echoes of Dukakis in 1988 when he lost

Trump making stops in PA, MI, OH, NC, NH on Election Day itself

Wow! Is that even allowed? Campaigning on election day?

Yes. I remember Obama in 2008 campaigning at Indianapolis before going to Chicago for his election night party.

Maybe you make one stop, but not five. Check out some of the Youtube clips from the 1988 election and you'll see Trump is throwing spaghetti at the wall in a similar way
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alomas
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« Reply #717 on: November 06, 2016, 11:43:53 am »

That guy you are tweeting is clearly supporting Clinton.

Romney campaigned in Ohio and Pennsylvania on Election Day.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #718 on: November 06, 2016, 11:46:24 am »

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/795267630877777920

.@jeffzeleny reports on @CNN Obama was itching to make 1 final trip to Iowa, which started it all, but was told it was gone. So: Ann Arbor Michigan


One more evidence that superduper magic internals & ground-game doesn't differ much from public polling, no/si?

on the contrary....IA is the opposite if OH.....full republican support for trump since day1 and its demography was pro-populism to begin with....the main reason it voted straight D since years was republican anti-farmer-policy during reagan, i was told.

And? You think it is coincidence that Obama was cancelled day after Selzer showed Trump+7?

no?

i think IA is not a good bellwether state for the nation.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #719 on: November 06, 2016, 11:51:59 am »

Campaigning on election day is stupid. You want your staff 100% focused on GOTV. Organizing an election rally is just a distraction.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #720 on: November 06, 2016, 11:53:15 am »

Not high confidence in a win there, Senator?

@Schultz44  59s59 seconds ago

New: Sen. Isakson tells Atlanta Journal Constitution he expects Senate to confirm Merrick Garland before January.
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Confused Democrat
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« Reply #721 on: November 06, 2016, 11:55:51 am »

That guy you are tweeting is clearly supporting Clinton.

Romney campaigned in Ohio and Pennsylvania on Election Day.

Didn't help him much in the end lol.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #722 on: November 06, 2016, 11:57:28 am »

Echoes of Dukakis in 1988 when he lost

Trump making stops in PA, MI, OH, NC, NH on Election Day itself

Wow! Is that even allowed? Campaigning on election day?

Yes. I remember Obama in 2008 campaigning at Indianapolis before going to Chicago for his election night party.

Maybe you make one stop, but not five. Check out some of the Youtube clips from the 1988 election and you'll see Trump is throwing spaghetti at the wall in a similar way

I agree with you. I don't get what kind of campaign stops will be these, 5 states in a few hours with a lot of time wasted in travel, I doubt he will be able to stay more than a few minutes at every stop. Seems like a waste of money and energy.
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dspNY
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« Reply #723 on: November 06, 2016, 11:59:26 am »

Not high confidence in a win there, Senator?

@Schultz44  59s59 seconds ago

New: Sen. Isakson tells Atlanta Journal Constitution he expects Senate to confirm Merrick Garland before January.

Well then
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politicallefty
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« Reply #724 on: November 06, 2016, 12:03:26 pm »

Not high confidence in a win there, Senator?

@Schultz44  59s59 seconds ago

New: Sen. Isakson tells Atlanta Journal Constitution he expects Senate to confirm Merrick Garland before January.

If Hillary wins and gets a majority in the Senate, President Obama should immediately withdraw his nomination to allow for a substantially more liberal Justice.
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