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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 64140 times)
ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #725 on: November 06, 2016, 12:09:37 pm »

nah...give the nevertrump elecorate their garland...there will be 2-3 more vacancies the next 4 years, imho.
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Mallow
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« Reply #726 on: November 06, 2016, 12:11:01 pm »

Not high confidence in a win there, Senator?

@Schultz44  59s59 seconds ago

New: Sen. Isakson tells Atlanta Journal Constitution he expects Senate to confirm Merrick Garland before January.

If Hillary wins and gets a majority in the Senate, President Obama should immediately withdraw his nomination to allow for a substantially more liberal Justice.

Absolutely, 100%. After the sh*t the Republicans pulled here in the hopes that Democrats wouldn't hold the White House, this would be a perfectly reasonable response. I think Obama would be too generous to the Republicans to actually do this, though.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #727 on: November 06, 2016, 09:02:37 pm »

GOP strategist Mike Murphy foresees a short night due to FL (a growing sentiment elsewhere, I think, too):

@murphymike  5m5 minutes ago

My big prediction: I think she'll win FL quickly; will be clear in early numbers. Then cable news will do a huge 180 on "long night".
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heatcharger
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« Reply #728 on: November 06, 2016, 09:04:59 pm »

GOP strategist Mike Murphy foresees a short night due to FL (a growing sentiment elsewhere, I think, too):

@murphymike  5m5 minutes ago

My big prediction: I think she'll win FL quickly; will be clear in early numbers. Then cable news will do a huge 180 on "long night".

It'll look pretty ridiculous is Hillary is leading in the state 51-45 most of the evening but they still don't call it. I'm sure CNN won't to keep people watching.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #729 on: November 06, 2016, 09:13:42 pm »

Tom Bentley
‏@thomaswmbentley
@ppppolls Do you guys think the same person is gonna win NC and FL?

PublicPolicyPollingVerified account
‏@ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling Retweeted Tom Bentley
Think Hillary will win both but more confident about Florida
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #730 on: November 06, 2016, 09:35:41 pm »

@ppppolls How's the feeling on Ohio though?

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  13m13 minutes ago
Coin flip but remember Clinton ground game- especially with early vote- allowed her to exceed expectations in primary there

@ppppolls how's your feeling on New Hampshire a lot of movement there recently .. which actually makes me less inclined to believe it

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  5m5 minutes ago
PublicPolicyPolling Retweeted Marc Diamond
I think Hillary will outperform the poll averages in NH

@ppppolls Why do you think that?

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  4m4 minutes ago
Because our last poll had her up 5 and most of the 'bad' polls for her last week there had field dates with the Comey stuff very fresh

@ppppolls Do you agree with Ralston on NV?

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  4m4 minutes ago
Yes. Every poll we've released this year has had both Clinton and Cortez Masto winning
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #731 on: November 06, 2016, 09:36:24 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  6m6 minutes ago
senior GOP Senate strategist #2: lose IL/WI/NV/PA/NC. Win OH/NH/FL/IN. win MO by an eyelash (but wouldn't surprise me if Kander won). 50-50
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #732 on: November 06, 2016, 09:39:34 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  6m6 minutes ago
senior GOP Senate strategist #2: lose IL/WI/NV/PA/NC. Win OH/NH/FL/IN. win MO by an eyelash (but wouldn't surprise me if Kander won). 50-50

MO by an eyelash? Lol.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #733 on: November 06, 2016, 09:41:37 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  6m6 minutes ago
senior GOP Senate strategist #2: lose IL/WI/NV/PA/NC. Win OH/NH/FL/IN. win MO by an eyelash (but wouldn't surprise me if Kander won). 50-50

Surprising to see them more bearish on NC than MO and NH.
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swf541
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« Reply #734 on: November 06, 2016, 09:46:54 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  6m6 minutes ago
senior GOP Senate strategist #2: lose IL/WI/NV/PA/NC. Win OH/NH/FL/IN. win MO by an eyelash (but wouldn't surprise me if Kander won). 50-50

Surprising to see them more bearish on NC than MO and NH.
Yea, thats quite suprising, there pessimism on missouri is interesting as well. 
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Holmes
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« Reply #735 on: November 06, 2016, 09:48:03 pm »

Losing Iowa and winning Missouri would create a seriously cracked out map!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #736 on: November 06, 2016, 09:49:00 pm »

Losing Iowa and winning Missouri would create a seriously cracked out map!
These are Senate numbers.
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The Invisible Hand (that suicided Jeffrey Epstein)
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« Reply #737 on: November 06, 2016, 10:00:20 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  6m6 minutes ago
senior GOP Senate strategist #2: lose IL/WI/NV/PA/NC. Win OH/NH/FL/IN. win MO by an eyelash (but wouldn't surprise me if Kander won). 50-50

Surprising to see them more bearish on NC than MO and NH.
Yea, thats quite suprising, there pessimism on missouri is interesting as well.  

Not really. Roy Blunt is probably the underdog in this race and has run a hilariously incompetent campaign.

NC is definitely a surprise, though.
I would lol if Kander wins and Missouri has two democrats in the senate.
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swf541
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« Reply #738 on: November 06, 2016, 10:08:10 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  6m6 minutes ago
senior GOP Senate strategist #2: lose IL/WI/NV/PA/NC. Win OH/NH/FL/IN. win MO by an eyelash (but wouldn't surprise me if Kander won). 50-50

Surprising to see them more bearish on NC than MO and NH.
Yea, thats quite suprising, there pessimism on missouri is interesting as well.  

Not really. Roy Blunt is probably the underdog in this race and has run a hilariously incompetent campaign.

NC is definitely a surprise, though.

I'm aware of Blunt's campaign I just find it suprising how much Kander will outperform Clinton in MO
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Holmes
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« Reply #739 on: November 06, 2016, 10:16:19 pm »

Losing Iowa and winning Missouri would create a seriously cracked out map!
These are Senate numbers.

Still, I stand by it.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #740 on: November 06, 2016, 11:07:58 pm »

Each side nervous about NC, could be a close one.

@jmartNYT  49s50 seconds ago

Talked to a smart NC R who thinks Hillary squeaks it out there. 

But Dems nervous, coulda used another day of early voting today.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #741 on: November 06, 2016, 11:16:14 pm »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  13m13 minutes ago
Coin flip but remember Clinton ground game- especially with early vote- allowed her to exceed expectations in primary there

Clinton exceeded expectations in Ohio due to anti-Trump cross-overs, not her ground game. Roll Eyes
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #742 on: November 06, 2016, 11:17:11 pm »

Each side nervous about NC, could be a close one.

@jmartNYT  49s50 seconds ago

Talked to a smart NC R who thinks Hillary squeaks it out there. 

But Dems nervous, coulda used another day of early voting today.

If the presidential ends up being a squeaker, it bodes well for Cooper and Burr.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #743 on: November 07, 2016, 03:18:07 am »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  13m13 minutes ago
Coin flip but remember Clinton ground game- especially with early vote- allowed her to exceed expectations in primary there

Clinton exceeded expectations in Ohio due to anti-Trump cross-overs, not her ground game. Roll Eyes

Actually no. The cross-over didn't do THAT much. She over-performed because pollsters freaked out due to the MI f*** up and f***ed that up too.
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dspNY
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« Reply #744 on: November 07, 2016, 06:47:54 am »

This story from CBS validates some of what the Targetsmart guy was saying about Florida

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/floridas-split-ticket-voters-turn-out-for-clinton-and-rubio/
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #745 on: November 07, 2016, 03:12:23 pm »

Charles GasparinoVerified account
‏@CGasparino
#BreakingPoll  @realDonaldTrump camp internal polls have him down 2 in Fla; plus 1 in NV; up 2 in NH more now @FoxBusiness

Uhhhh...didn't they fire their pollster?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #746 on: November 07, 2016, 03:13:54 pm »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  13m13 minutes ago
Coin flip but remember Clinton ground game- especially with early vote- allowed her to exceed expectations in primary there

Clinton exceeded expectations in Ohio due to anti-Trump cross-overs, not her ground game. Roll Eyes
lol
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Yank2133
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« Reply #747 on: November 07, 2016, 03:14:13 pm »

Charles GasparinoVerified account
‏@CGasparino
#BreakingPoll  @realDonaldTrump camp internal polls have him down 2 in Fla; plus 1 in NV; up 2 in NH more now @FoxBusiness

Uhhhh...didn't they fire their pollster?

Lol, I love how they leak this as if it is good news.

If he is losing FL, then he has lost the election.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #748 on: November 07, 2016, 03:14:18 pm »

Charles GasparinoVerified account
‏@CGasparino
#BreakingPoll  @realDonaldTrump camp internal polls have him down 2 in Fla; plus 1 in NV; up 2 in NH more now @FoxBusiness

Uhhhh...didn't they fire their pollster?
Maybe they pulled in another sucker.  Still, when your internals have you down two, it isn't looking too good for you.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #749 on: November 07, 2016, 03:15:28 pm »

Charles GasparinoVerified account
‏@CGasparino
#BreakingPoll  @realDonaldTrump camp internal polls have him down 2 in Fla; plus 1 in NV; up 2 in NH more now @FoxBusiness

Uhhhh...didn't they fire their pollster?
Dude's ed, Florida confirmed for HRC
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