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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Internal poll megathread
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 60793 times)
swf541
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« Reply #750 on: November 06, 2016, 09:46:54 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  6m6 minutes ago
senior GOP Senate strategist #2: lose IL/WI/NV/PA/NC. Win OH/NH/FL/IN. win MO by an eyelash (but wouldn't surprise me if Kander won). 50-50

Surprising to see them more bearish on NC than MO and NH.
Yea, thats quite suprising, there pessimism on missouri is interesting as well. 
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Holmes
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« Reply #751 on: November 06, 2016, 09:48:03 pm »

Losing Iowa and winning Missouri would create a seriously cracked out map!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #752 on: November 06, 2016, 09:49:00 pm »

Losing Iowa and winning Missouri would create a seriously cracked out map!
These are Senate numbers.
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IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ
IndyRep
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« Reply #753 on: November 06, 2016, 09:58:36 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  6m6 minutes ago
senior GOP Senate strategist #2: lose IL/WI/NV/PA/NC. Win OH/NH/FL/IN. win MO by an eyelash (but wouldn't surprise me if Kander won). 50-50

Surprising to see them more bearish on NC than MO and NH.
Yea, thats quite suprising, there pessimism on missouri is interesting as well.  

Not really. Roy Blunt is probably the underdog in this race and has run a hilariously incompetent campaign.

NC is definitely a surprise, though.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #754 on: November 06, 2016, 10:00:20 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  6m6 minutes ago
senior GOP Senate strategist #2: lose IL/WI/NV/PA/NC. Win OH/NH/FL/IN. win MO by an eyelash (but wouldn't surprise me if Kander won). 50-50

Surprising to see them more bearish on NC than MO and NH.
Yea, thats quite suprising, there pessimism on missouri is interesting as well.  

Not really. Roy Blunt is probably the underdog in this race and has run a hilariously incompetent campaign.

NC is definitely a surprise, though.
I would lol if Kander wins and Missouri has two democrats in the senate.
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swf541
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« Reply #755 on: November 06, 2016, 10:08:10 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  6m6 minutes ago
senior GOP Senate strategist #2: lose IL/WI/NV/PA/NC. Win OH/NH/FL/IN. win MO by an eyelash (but wouldn't surprise me if Kander won). 50-50

Surprising to see them more bearish on NC than MO and NH.
Yea, thats quite suprising, there pessimism on missouri is interesting as well.  

Not really. Roy Blunt is probably the underdog in this race and has run a hilariously incompetent campaign.

NC is definitely a surprise, though.

I'm aware of Blunt's campaign I just find it suprising how much Kander will outperform Clinton in MO
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Holmes
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« Reply #756 on: November 06, 2016, 10:16:19 pm »

Losing Iowa and winning Missouri would create a seriously cracked out map!
These are Senate numbers.

Still, I stand by it.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #757 on: November 06, 2016, 11:07:58 pm »

Each side nervous about NC, could be a close one.

@jmartNYT  49s50 seconds ago

Talked to a smart NC R who thinks Hillary squeaks it out there. 

But Dems nervous, coulda used another day of early voting today.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #758 on: November 06, 2016, 11:16:14 pm »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  13m13 minutes ago
Coin flip but remember Clinton ground game- especially with early vote- allowed her to exceed expectations in primary there

Clinton exceeded expectations in Ohio due to anti-Trump cross-overs, not her ground game. Roll Eyes
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IceSpear
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« Reply #759 on: November 06, 2016, 11:17:11 pm »

Each side nervous about NC, could be a close one.

@jmartNYT  49s50 seconds ago

Talked to a smart NC R who thinks Hillary squeaks it out there. 

But Dems nervous, coulda used another day of early voting today.

If the presidential ends up being a squeaker, it bodes well for Cooper and Burr.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #760 on: November 07, 2016, 03:18:07 am »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  13m13 minutes ago
Coin flip but remember Clinton ground game- especially with early vote- allowed her to exceed expectations in primary there

Clinton exceeded expectations in Ohio due to anti-Trump cross-overs, not her ground game. Roll Eyes

Actually no. The cross-over didn't do THAT much. She over-performed because pollsters freaked out due to the MI f*** up and f***ed that up too.
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dspNY
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« Reply #761 on: November 07, 2016, 06:47:54 am »

This story from CBS validates some of what the Targetsmart guy was saying about Florida

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/floridas-split-ticket-voters-turn-out-for-clinton-and-rubio/
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Castro
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« Reply #762 on: November 07, 2016, 03:12:23 pm »

Charles GasparinoVerified account
‏@CGasparino
#BreakingPoll  @realDonaldTrump camp internal polls have him down 2 in Fla; plus 1 in NV; up 2 in NH more now @FoxBusiness

Uhhhh...didn't they fire their pollster?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #763 on: November 07, 2016, 03:13:54 pm »

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  13m13 minutes ago
Coin flip but remember Clinton ground game- especially with early vote- allowed her to exceed expectations in primary there

Clinton exceeded expectations in Ohio due to anti-Trump cross-overs, not her ground game. Roll Eyes
lol
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Yank2133
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« Reply #764 on: November 07, 2016, 03:14:13 pm »

Charles GasparinoVerified account
‏@CGasparino
#BreakingPoll  @realDonaldTrump camp internal polls have him down 2 in Fla; plus 1 in NV; up 2 in NH more now @FoxBusiness

Uhhhh...didn't they fire their pollster?

Lol, I love how they leak this as if it is good news.

If he is losing FL, then he has lost the election.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #765 on: November 07, 2016, 03:14:18 pm »

Charles GasparinoVerified account
‏@CGasparino
#BreakingPoll  @realDonaldTrump camp internal polls have him down 2 in Fla; plus 1 in NV; up 2 in NH more now @FoxBusiness

Uhhhh...didn't they fire their pollster?
Maybe they pulled in another sucker.  Still, when your internals have you down two, it isn't looking too good for you.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #766 on: November 07, 2016, 03:15:28 pm »

Charles GasparinoVerified account
‏@CGasparino
#BreakingPoll  @realDonaldTrump camp internal polls have him down 2 in Fla; plus 1 in NV; up 2 in NH more now @FoxBusiness

Uhhhh...didn't they fire their pollster?
Dude's ed, Florida confirmed for HRC
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #767 on: November 07, 2016, 03:21:27 pm »

Quote

Campaign stopped tracking late last week,hasn't done FL tracking other than Cambridge Analytica/TargetPoint in 2 wks
https://twitter.com/maggieNYT/status/795722142159605760
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #768 on: November 07, 2016, 04:15:57 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood
Trump campaign chief Bannon, when I asked for his Election Day results forecast: "We're too busy winning this baby. I don't want to jinx it"
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Maxwell
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« Reply #769 on: November 07, 2016, 04:17:54 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood
Trump campaign chief Bannon, when I asked for his Election Day results forecast: "We're too busy winning this baby. I don't want to jinx it"

ahahaha for a neonazi Bannon makes me laugh.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #770 on: November 07, 2016, 04:18:41 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood
Trump campaign chief Bannon, when I asked for his Election Day results forecast: "We're too busy winning this baby. I don't want to jinx it"

He should have said "we'll have the best results."
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #771 on: November 07, 2016, 04:20:16 pm »

John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood
Trump campaign chief Bannon, when I asked for his Election Day results forecast: "We're too busy winning this baby. I don't want to jinx it"

He should have said "we'll have the best results."

we only hire the best results, folks
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #772 on: November 07, 2016, 04:23:28 pm »

Trump campaign's internal polling is an oxymoron.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #773 on: November 07, 2016, 05:18:16 pm »

John Heilmann on WADR says that the Clinton team says their internals "bottomed out" last Wednesday following the Comey letter with the race getting "tight" and since then things have improved with some "breathing room"
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #774 on: November 07, 2016, 05:20:42 pm »

John Heilmann on WADR says that the Clinton team says their internals "bottomed out" last Wednesday following the Comey letter with the race getting "tight" and since then things have improved with some "breathing room"

Just enough time for some recovery.
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