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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Internal poll megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 61119 times)
KingSweden
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« on: September 05, 2016, 09:23:16 pm »

Seems a bit high
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2016, 11:54:54 am »

Florida's gonna be reallllly tight this year
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2016, 06:28:33 pm »

https://twitter.com/LisaDNews/status/783440613207310339

sources in both parties tell me their (separate) internal polling shows @GovGaryJohnson is sliding fast and it benefits @HillaryClinton

3rd party gonna third party
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2016, 01:27:59 pm »

Clinton +14 in Democratic Internal of CA-49. Romney won it by 6 in 2012 and Obama won it by 1 in 2008. Applegate leads Issa by 4. Clinton is almost certainly going to win OC if these numbers are close to true.

https://www.scribd.com/document/326641168/CA-49-Tulchin-Research-for-the-DCCC-Oct-2016

Whoa if true
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2016, 12:15:02 pm »

From a Politico piece.

Img

I Would note that the repubs didn't have gerrymanders in pretty much every state in 08.

Plus Blue Dogs were still a thing.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2016, 09:18:00 am »

Montana MAYBE. The others are insanity (and not states historically friendly to 3rd parties)
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KingSweden
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2016, 10:15:04 pm »

Not internal polling per se, but a good deep dive into the Florida operation by former Obama state organizer Steve Schale. He seems to think Florida is a lock for Clinton by 4-5 points, down ballot could be interesting:

http://steveschale.squarespace.com/blog/2016/10/21/18-days-out-are-dems-gonna-dem.html

Fun fact: Steve Schale is Florida Man
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KingSweden
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2016, 10:09:00 am »

Not really related to internal but


@ppppolls What's your view on OH?

PPP: "Pretty good chance it will be closest state in the country and someone wins by less than a point- our last had Hillary narrowly ahead"

Prob within half a point either way
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