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February 22, 2019, 01:13:51 pm
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News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 59751 times)
Classic Conservative
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« on: July 22, 2016, 09:10:36 pm »

The numbers for the presidential race seem plausible.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2016, 11:58:44 am »

Florida's gonna be reallllly tight this year

I'm gonna bank on everyone underestimating Puerto Rican participation and turnout and it not being as close as everyone expects.
http://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2016/09/rubio-leads-by-2-in-internal-murphy-campaign-poll-105537

Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 46-43 percent in Florida, according to the poll of 800 likely voters by Global Strategy Group.

Sept. 6-11; 40% of the survey respondents were Democrats, 38% Republicans and 22% independents a generally representative breakdown of turnout by party in Florida presidential elections.
At the end of the article it says that they purposely over-sampled Hispanics
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2016, 05:17:16 pm »

Is this result for the district or statewide?

Just the district.

Can we extrapolate a statewide result from that?
If you add +5 since it's a D internal. It would be Trump +15 so Trump maybe is one or two points behind Romney
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2016, 06:55:04 pm »

Are the PPP numbers polls are predictions?
I think so?
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