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August 21, 2019, 07:23:39 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Internal poll megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 62216 times)
Devils30
YaBB God
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Posts: 1,899
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: August 10, 2016, 10:12:08 pm »

FL-7 and 26 will probably have greater Democratic trends than other districts in the state. I expect most of northern Florida to move very little in either direction, Miami to completely collapse for Trump and for Trump to somewhat underperform in places like Collier, Sarasota. He'll do fine in Volusia.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,899
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2016, 12:14:50 pm »

There's no way Hillary wins NV-3 and loses the state.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,899
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2016, 05:14:16 pm »

Ads only help very marginally and it's not like Trump is spending anything in AZ or GA either. If Hillary wins by over 7% nationally then AZ is possible and GA at maybe 8% or so. I would add an Atlanta rally because it's easy to schedule between FL and NC visits.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,899
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2016, 09:11:48 am »

Confirms what I suspect, that Trump may win MN-8 but be more than offset by Democratic gains in MN-2,3
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,899
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2016, 09:57:34 am »

Indiana is an elastic state so it's not shocking to see it move in the final weeks more than Georgia.
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