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June 16, 2019, 11:38:13 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  Internal poll megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Internal poll megathread  (Read 61115 times)
fldemfunds
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Posts: 168
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« on: August 10, 2016, 10:04:39 pm »

The DCCC says that Clinton is beating Trump by 14 points in FL-7 (northeast of Orlando) and 24 points in FL-26 (most of Miami-Dade and Monroe Counties)

https://twitter.com/KimberlyRailey/status/763376173296525312

That would indicate a Clinton lead of at least 5 points statewide

We managed to snag a really strong candidate in FL 7 too. If she's winning fl 7 by 14 points (it is a 50-50 seat after redistricting), she's probably up in Florida by 8 or 9.
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fldemfunds
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Posts: 168
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2016, 06:35:06 am »

FL-7 and 26 will probably have greater Democratic trends than other districts in the state. I expect most of northern Florida to move very little in either direction, Miami to completely collapse for Trump and for Trump to somewhat underperform in places like Collier, Sarasota. He'll do fine in Volusia.

I don't disagree with any of this. Fl 7 is heavy college educated Republicans. I've been telling my Republican friends that the difference between a Rubio win and loss is hillarys margin. If she wins by 7-8 or more, he's probably toast.
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