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December 12, 2019, 04:06:17 am
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  YouGov National: Clinton +3/4
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Author Topic: YouGov National: Clinton +3/4  (Read 482 times)
Landslide Andy
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« on: July 19, 2016, 02:10:01 am »

Clinton 40
Trump 37
Johnson 5
Stein 4

Clinton 45
Trump 41

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/07/18/yougoveconomist-poll-july-15-17-2016/
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Arch
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« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2016, 02:22:20 am »

Good good. Getting ever-closer to that 50%.
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2016, 02:41:45 am »

If she can hold this margin, or only slip a little bit over the next week, I'll have significantly more confidence that she'll win.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2016, 02:48:55 am »

Good good. Getting ever-closer to that 50%.

40% is not "close to 50%".
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Weiner/Holder
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« Reply #4 on: July 19, 2016, 02:56:29 am »

Polls mainly show Democrats ahead.  I'd say he's ahead but it's looking like it'll be a close race soon.  Remember Bush's 91% approval rating during the first gulf war and how he trailed Dukakis in 1988.  Much more recent comebacks have taken place like Obama over Clinton in 2008. 
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #5 on: July 19, 2016, 03:22:51 am »

If she can hold this margin, or only slip a little bit over the next week, I'll have significantly more confidence that she'll win.

Yep, same. If Trump can't lead after his convention, it'll really make me question if this is possibly a winnable election for him, barring some black swan event or extremely pivotal debates.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: July 21, 2016, 04:47:16 pm »

Good good. Getting ever-closer to that 50%.

40% is not "close to 50%".

Talking about the non-third party poll, which is probably more accurate considering third parties always deflate rapidly.
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