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  Maricopa County (AZ)/Lincoln Strategy Group (R): Trump+9
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Author Topic: Maricopa County (AZ)/Lincoln Strategy Group (R): Trump+9  (Read 1520 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: July 22, 2016, 01:00:54 am »

41% Trump (R)
32% Clinton (D)
11% Others
16% Undecided

45% Penzone (D)
42% Arpaio (R)

Lincoln Strategy surveyed 2,971 registered voters on July 20. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points.

http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/07/21/poll-paul-penzone-leads-sheriff-joe-arpaio-in-tight-reelection-race/87416806

http://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/news/2016/07/21/phoenix-poll-donald-trump-winning-joe-arpaio.html
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2016, 01:01:25 am »

Maricopa is a bit more GOP than AZ as a whole, so probably Trump+7 statewide.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2016, 01:14:00 am »

Arpaio might lose?!  Excellent news!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2016, 03:31:35 am »

Romney won Maricopa by 11 points while Arpaio won reelection by 6 points.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #4 on: July 22, 2016, 08:17:22 am »

Ok, 41% is nevertheless weak for The Trumpster.

Arpaio losing? Fine!
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mds32
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« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2016, 08:33:54 am »

Maricopa +3 for Trump would probably give him the win.
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LLR
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« Reply #6 on: July 22, 2016, 08:34:54 am »

I like the look of Arpaio down 3!
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #7 on: July 22, 2016, 09:39:43 am »

If you look at the elections Arpaio keeps winning but his percentage keeps going down each election. He'll lose one of these times.
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dspNY
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« Reply #8 on: July 22, 2016, 09:41:16 am »

This probably means Trump +6 or +7 statewide. Who could be voting for Trump and against Arpaio, I wonder. Maybe Clinton has a lot of room to grow here
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #9 on: July 22, 2016, 09:49:24 am »

This probably means Trump +6 or +7 statewide. Who could be voting for Trump and against Arpaio, I wonder. Maybe Clinton has a lot of room to grow here

People who don't like to vote for criminals (like me lol). Arpaio is scum. He shall be dealt a crushing defeat.
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dspNY
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« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2016, 09:52:59 am »

This probably means Trump +6 or +7 statewide. Who could be voting for Trump and against Arpaio, I wonder. Maybe Clinton has a lot of room to grow here

People who don't like to vote for criminals (like me lol). Arpaio is scum. He shall be dealt a crushing defeat.

Both Trump and Arpaio are criminals though
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RFayette
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« Reply #11 on: July 22, 2016, 10:22:13 am »

This probably means Trump +6 or +7 statewide. Who could be voting for Trump and against Arpaio, I wonder. Maybe Clinton has a lot of room to grow here

People who don't like to vote for criminals (like me lol). Arpaio is scum. He shall be dealt a crushing defeat.
Arpaio is a fantastic scheriff who is an enemy of criminals and gives them the tent city they deserve.  Not sure why you think he is a crook.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #12 on: July 22, 2016, 05:17:56 pm »

This probably means Trump +6 or +7 statewide. Who could be voting for Trump and against Arpaio, I wonder. Maybe Clinton has a lot of room to grow here

People who don't like to vote for criminals (like me lol). Arpaio is scum. He shall be dealt a crushing defeat.
Arpaio is a fantastic scheriff who is an enemy of criminals and gives them the tent city they deserve.  Not sure why you think he is a crook.

Well he has cost the county well over $100 million in lawsuits and settlements. Has been charged with unconstitutional jail conditions, not investigating rape cases and has violated election laws to name a few.
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skoods
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« Reply #13 on: July 22, 2016, 06:07:13 pm »

This probably means Drumpf +6 or +7 statewide. Who could be voting for Drumpf and against Arpaio, I wonder. Maybe Clinton has a lot of room to grow here

People who don't like to vote for criminals (like me lol). Arpaio is scum. He shall be dealt a crushing defeat.

LOL Donald Trump is just as much a criminal as Hillary Clinton. I.e. they've both done plenty of shady stuff but neither has been convicted or criminally charged with ANYTHING.

People need to give it a damn rest on the criminal thing.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #14 on: July 22, 2016, 06:49:47 pm »

Dang it, Arpaio is a very good sheriff.
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Ebowed
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« Reply #15 on: July 22, 2016, 07:05:47 pm »


He's a disgusting criminal but it's not a surprise a former advocate of beheading women for terminating their pregnancies would like him.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #16 on: July 22, 2016, 07:41:14 pm »


He's a disgusting criminal but it's not a surprise a former advocate of beheading women for terminating their pregnancies would like him.

This. If I had to pick between Hillary winning Arizona or Arpaio getting the boot, I'd honestly pick the latter.
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5280
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« Reply #17 on: July 23, 2016, 03:34:20 pm »

Arpaio will probably retire before he loses an election. As far as Maricopa county, it will vote like the 2012 election, but Trump will probably get 1-2 less points than Romney did.
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swf541
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« Reply #18 on: July 23, 2016, 03:52:04 pm »

Hmm, so this is a gop internal group?  I havent heard of them before any record on their bias/ credibility?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #19 on: July 23, 2016, 04:25:28 pm »

Arapaio losing would be a dream!
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