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Author Topic: KS-Fort Hays State University: Trump+17  (Read 1035 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: July 24, 2016, 01:20:21 am »

487 LV, July 11-21:

44% Trump
27% Clinton
  7% Johnson
  6% Others
16% Undecided

PDF Link

http://cjonline.com/news/2016-07-24/poll-huelskamp-marshall-tied-trump-leads-clinton-kansas
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2016, 01:29:32 am »

Thank God, I was getting worried.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2016, 01:34:11 am »

RIP Battleground Kansas Cry
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: July 24, 2016, 01:34:36 am »

But ... Zogby said Hillary will win KS in a landslide.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: July 24, 2016, 01:37:19 am »

But ... Zogby said Hillary will win KS in a landslide.

To be fair, Fort Hayes's poll of the Kansas Caucus had Clinton up 10. Sanders won it by 35.4%. So they're not exactly a star pollster either.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: July 24, 2016, 01:44:53 am »

But ... Zogby said Hillary will win KS in a landslide.

To be fair, Fort Hayes's poll of the Kansas Caucus had Clinton up 10. Sanders won it by 35.4%. So they're not exactly a star pollster either.

The KS caucus had only a 2% turnout on the DEM side (40.000 of 2 million registered people).

Polling a 2% race is ... pretty hard.

A poll of GE voters should be much more accurate.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #6 on: July 24, 2016, 02:14:36 am »

This is more realistic than some of what we've seen in terms of margin between Clinton and Trump. On a good night, Hillary might do marginally better than Obama 2008. At worst, it might be a replay of 2012. I don't think Trump will break 60% though.
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IndyRep
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« Reply #7 on: July 24, 2016, 06:10:58 am »

B-b-but muh trend D KS Sad
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politicallefty
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« Reply #8 on: July 24, 2016, 07:13:44 am »

B-b-but muh trend D KS Sad

Romney won Kansas by almost 22%, while losing nationwide by about 4%. Unless you have Clinton winning by the biggest margin in almost or at least 30 years, a 17% loss in Kansas would be a trend towards the Democrats compared to 2012. But, personally, I'm not one to think trends mean all that much.
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ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #9 on: July 24, 2016, 09:09:53 am »

So, I guess this means that Trump is up by close to 25 nationally

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