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Author Topic: Trump at 42%, Clinton at 41% in CBS Battleground Tracker Poll  (Read 6065 times)
jaichind
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« on: July 24, 2016, 10:11:01 am »

(Bloomberg) -- Donald Trump support had been at 40% prior to Republican National Convention in Cleveland, CBS News says in its latest Battleground Tracker poll.
Hillary Clinton was unchanged at 41%, CBS says
CBS conducted 2,131 interviews of registered voters in 11 states: Colo., Fla., Iowa, Mi., N.C., N.H., N.Y., Ohio, Pa., Va. and Wis.; survey done via Internet
Respondents contacted before and after Republican convention
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jaichind
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Posts: 11,517
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2016, 10:23:31 am »


New York was not one of the states included in this poll

Colorado
Florida
Iowa
Michigan
North Carolina
New Hampshire
Nevada
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Wisconsin

Good catch. I was wondering why NY was in there.  Any if NY is in there then this is a fairly bad poll for Clinton. 
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jaichind
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Posts: 11,517
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E: 9.03, S: -5.39

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« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2017, 06:52:45 pm »

In retrospect this poll was spot on, very relevant, and consistent with a overall lead for Clinton nationwide (2.1%.)

A non-weighted result for these 11 states had Trump winning by 1% (47.6% vs 46.6%.)  A weighted result for these 11 states had Trump winning by 1.3% (48.0% vs 46.7%).

A non-weighted average of exit polls for these 11 states has Whites at 77% of the electorate.  A weighted average of exit polls for these 11 states has Whites at 74% of the electorate.
« Last Edit: April 09, 2017, 07:36:45 pm by jaichind »Logged
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