CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45%

[Mr. Morden]

CNN/ORC national poll, conducted July 22-24:

http://edition.cnn.com/2016/07/25/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-poll/index.html

https://twitter.com/Phil_Mattingly/status/757516639516684288



https://twitter.com/Phil_Mattingly/status/757516901710987264

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Well... that's unpleasant. I assume we'll see a Trump tweet shortly.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Teh sky is falling!

[Phony Moderate]

RonPaul.gif

[Terry the Fat Shark]

geez that's a 10 point swing on the 4 way

[henster]

68% of Americans don't find her honest or trustworthy. I don't even think Nixon had it that bad.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

Trump favorability rating up to 46%.

[Mr. Morden]

fav/unfav %:
Pence 39/26% for +13%
Trump 46/51% for -5%
Clinton 41/55% for -14%

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

68% of Americans don't find her honest or trustworthy. I don't even think Nixon had it that bad.

I'll get you a towel.

[Mr. Morden]

Among Dems and Dem-leaning Indies who prefer Sanders for the nomination, here’s their GE support in the 4-way:

Clinton 64%
Johnson 14%
Trump 11%
Stein 6%

Among Republicans and Republican-leaning Indies who would have preferred someone besides Trump had won the nomination, here’s their GE support in the 4-way:

Trump 66%
Johnson 17%
Clinton 10%
Stein 4%


In other news, big education gap….

white college grads:
Clinton 44%
Trump 39%
Johnson 9%
Stein 4%

white non-college grads:
Trump 61%
Clinton 23%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

Regional breakdown…..

Midwest:
Trump 46%
Clinton 36%
Johnson 9%
Stein 2%

Northeast:
Clinton 49%
Trump 33%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%

South:
Trump 49%
Clinton 36%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

West:
Trump 43%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 11%
Stein 3%

And Johnson still drawing most of his support from youths.  He’s at 17% among voters under 45, but only 4% among voters over 65.

[Trapsy]

http://survival-mastery.com/diy/construct/how-to-build-a-bunker.html

[afleitch]

Among Dems and Dem-leaning Indies who prefer Sanders for the nomination, here’s their GE support in the 4-way:

Clinton 64%
Johnson 14%
Trump 11%
Stein 6%

Among Republicans and Republican-leaning Indies who would have preferred someone besides Trump had won the nomination, here’s their GE support in the 4-way:

Trump 66%
Johnson 17%
Clinton 10%
Stein 4%


In other news, big education gap….

white college grads:
Clinton 44%
Trump 39%
Johnson 9%
Stein 4%

white non-college grads:
Trump 61%
Clinton 23%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

Regional breakdown…..

Midwest:
Trump 46%
Clinton 36%
Johnson 9%
Stein 2%

Northeast:
Clinton 49%
Trump 33%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%

South:
Trump 49%
Clinton 36%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

West:
Trump 43%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 11%
Stein 3%

And Johnson still drawing most of his support from youths.  He’s at 17% among voters under 45, but only 4% among voters over 65.

Clinton again leading with white college graduates. That keeps popping up.

[Know Nothing]

but but, his speech was so dark!

[Mr. Morden]

The story says that post-convention, Clinton actually gained among white college grads, while Trump made big gains among white non-college grads:

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[Erich Maria Remarque]

The story says that post-convention, Clinton actually gained among white college grads, while Trump made big gains among white non-college grads:

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Those grupps have about 300 RV each with margin of error about 7-10 percentage points.

[Gass3268]

Let's wait until next week (or even a few weeks) before everyone starts freaking out. There is still some decent fundamentals here for Clinton. Also another English only poll that only has Clinton up in the mid 40's with non-white voters, compared to the 60's when you include Spanish.

[Dutch Conservative]

fav/unfav %:
Pence 39/26% for +13%
Trump 46/51% for -5%
Clinton 41/55% for -14%

This is encouraging for the Trump camp. And the fact that he is crawling towards 50%. But I presume in a week the bounce from the DNC will balance things again.

[nm825]

But you guys told me the RNC was a disaster and Trump would get a nega-bounce!

[StatesPoll]

white non-college grads:
Trump 61%
Clinton 23%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%
wow......

Non-White
Hillary 61%
TRUMP 21%
Johnso 11%
Stein 3%
None of the above & No Opinion 4%

Obama got 80% of non white voters in 2012 (Romney got 18%)
Hillary 61% (-19%)
TRUMP 21% (+3%)

[Chief Justice Keef]

[jaichind]

So despite a fairly contractional GOP convention Trump is getting a pretty normal post convention bounce.  Most of this will unwind after this week but this is another sign that Trump will keep it close even if he does not win.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Week after convention.  He's going to have a small lead.  If polling avg gets to Trump +5-10 before the DNC is over, I will worry.

[jaichind]

RCP Clinton vs Trump average just flipped over to Trump (by 0.2%).  Trump's lead in RCP will go up some more this week as some of the early July polls rolls off and the post-bounce polls comes in.  Then this will reverse itself next week.

[dspNY]

RCP Clinton vs Trump average just flipped over to Trump (by 0.2%).  Trump's lead in RCP will go up some more this week as some of the early July polls rolls off and the post-bounce polls comes in.  Then this will reverse itself next week.

All true points

[RJEvans]

America what are you doing? I don't understand this at all.