CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45%

[afleitch]

Among Dems and Dem-leaning Indies who prefer Sanders for the nomination, here’s their GE support in the 4-way:

Clinton 64%
Johnson 14%
Trump 11%
Stein 6%

Among Republicans and Republican-leaning Indies who would have preferred someone besides Trump had won the nomination, here’s their GE support in the 4-way:

Trump 66%
Johnson 17%
Clinton 10%
Stein 4%


In other news, big education gap….

white college grads:
Clinton 44%
Trump 39%
Johnson 9%
Stein 4%

white non-college grads:
Trump 61%
Clinton 23%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

Regional breakdown…..

Midwest:
Trump 46%
Clinton 36%
Johnson 9%
Stein 2%

Northeast:
Clinton 49%
Trump 33%
Johnson 9%
Stein 3%

South:
Trump 49%
Clinton 36%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

West:
Trump 43%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 11%
Stein 3%

And Johnson still drawing most of his support from youths.  He’s at 17% among voters under 45, but only 4% among voters over 65.

Clinton again leading with white college graduates. That keeps popping up.

[afleitch]

I will say, given the demographic breakdown among whites (grads vs no college) the Latino Decisions poll and what we expect from African-Americans, Hillary should be comfortably ahead in the electoral college. I just don't know how this poll was weighted.

The fact there are no numbers fro young people says they undersampled young people.

If we look at Trump v Clinton directly Trump has 62% of the white vote. Romney got 60%. Clinton gets 76% of the non white vote. Obama also got 76%. If turnout is the same as 2012 then it's 51-49 Hillary. If we look at white college grads Clinton is at 52 when Obama got 44. On non grads it's Trump on 69 while Romney got 62. Numbers like that lock Clinton into the Obama 08/12 states (FL VA CO etc) but perhaps give Trump a shot at OH PA.  The internals don't really point to a different picture than what we've seen all summer.

[afleitch]

Off topic, can we dispense with the idea that being 'poor' automatically makes you the salt of the earth or somehow how absolves you from being an asshole with assholish opinions just because you're poor and 'don't know any better'. It's patronising.