CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45% (user search)
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  CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45% (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN/ORC national poll: Trump 48% Clinton 45%  (Read 3972 times)
Seriously?
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« on: July 25, 2016, 09:36:09 AM »

But you guys told me the RNC was a disaster and Trump would get a nega-bounce!
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Seriously?
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,029
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2016, 10:10:53 AM »

Disgusting that Americans would rally around the worst convention ever. F-ck this man and the voters he attracts.
Maybe the obnoxious, elitist attitudes helped drive poor whites to Trump?

Reality hurts. Just because it's elitist doesn't mean I'm wrong. If you support Donald Trump you are an apologist for racism and anti-intellectualism. Maybe you've squared it by finding things to like in his other "positions" and aren't directly racist, but what you're willing to overlook in Trump's campaign speaks volumes about your values.

Forget the top lines in this poll. Trump is not going to win if he loses college educated whites; blacks, latinos and women. His coalition is a winning one for 1980, not 2016.

As for this poll, it's just one poll with strange cross tabs and not enough information in some of them. However they got to the top line is their decision, but when you look at the breakdowns Hillary is fine. Check in with them again after the DNC...something tells me you'll see the women #'s and POC #'s significantly increase.
You mean Hillary! is going to get a bounce from her convention? No way.

Look. I am willing to look at this as Trump and the Republicans having their convention, getting a bounce from it and taking the lead. It's normal. Barring a complete disaster, Hillary! should move the needle back a few points after this week.

With that said, I wish we could just bury the narrative that Trump is such a bad, evil Republican candidate that he was never going to lead and that he's only leading because X, Y and Z. Obviously, he's performing as a Republican should after a convention.
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Seriously?
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,029
United States


« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2016, 01:55:15 PM »

But That's it? Only 3 point bounce? I honestly expected it to be like a 7 point bounce.
The aggregate is still pending, but I believe this CNN poll specifically shows a 10-point bounce.

The 7/13-16 CNN/ORC poll was Clinton +7.
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Seriously?
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,029
United States


« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2016, 02:03:12 PM »

But That's it? Only 3 point bounce? I honestly expected it to be like a 7 point bounce.
The aggregate is still pending, but I believe this CNN poll specifically shows a 10-point bounce.

The 7/13-16 CNN/ORC poll was Clinton +7.

     Base rates are important here. It's not like Clinton and Trump were tied before the convention.
Nope, it was about Clinton +3. I'll take that, even if it ends up Trump +1 or Trump +2 in the aggregate.
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