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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  RABA Research (national): Clinton +15 (10pt bounce)
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Author Topic: RABA Research (national): Clinton +15 (10pt bounce)  (Read 2709 times)
Storebought
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« Reply #25 on: July 30, 2016, 12:36:23 pm »

We've been cursed with ridiculous polls ever since the RNC ended.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #26 on: July 30, 2016, 12:37:01 pm »

Do we know when any legit polls are coming out?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #27 on: July 30, 2016, 12:40:01 pm »

Do we know when any legit polls are coming out?
A bunch of post convention polls dropped on Sunday and Monday of last week. I suspect we will get new ones then.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #28 on: July 30, 2016, 12:42:58 pm »

Do we know when any legit polls are coming out?
Most of the credible pollsters are probably going into the field this weekend to early next week.  Lots should drop Next friday/saturday.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #29 on: July 30, 2016, 12:58:02 pm »

https://twitter.com/RABAresearch/status/759440336972230656

RABA releasing Virginia poll soon.

https://twitter.com/RABAresearch/status/759440336972230656

Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics says we'll get stuff Sunday.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #30 on: July 30, 2016, 12:59:25 pm »

For those interested, the partisan composition is 38% Dem 34% GOP, which is pretty even for a national poll.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #31 on: July 30, 2016, 02:07:56 pm »

For me to believe this I need corroboration.  That means more polls.

I can see how it happened: the Republicans doubled down on the Trump agenda while the Democrats broadened their support. Democrats may have grabbed two usually-conservative ideas (family values and national security) that conservatives have usually owned.

John Podhoretz, former Ronald Reagan speech writer and Commentary editor:

Take about five paragraphs out of that Obama speech and it could have been a Reagan speech. Trust me. I know.

John Podhoretz (@jpodhoretz) July 28, 2016

National Review editor Jonah Goldberg:

    Why this convention is better: It's about loving America. GOP convention was about loving Trump. If you didn't love Trump, it offered nada.

    Jonah Goldberg (@JonahNRO) July 29, 2016

Conservative Iowa radio host Steve Deace:

    So most of conservative media and the GOP spent the week rooting for Russia, and now the Democrats get to rally around the flag.

    Dreadful.

    Steve Deace (@SteveDeaceShow) July 29, 2016

Conservative ops veteran Matt Mackowiak

    This Democratic convention has been an unmitigated disaster for the GOP. Very well produced. Unifying. Patriotic. Bravo.#DNCinPHL

    Matt Mackowiak (@MattMackowiak) July 29, 2016

Conservative blogger AGConservative:

    Still stunned. Feel like I'm in the twilight zone. Obama just defended America & conservative values from attacks by the Republican nominee.

    (((AG))) (@AG_Conservative) July 28, 2016

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/conservatives-agree-dnc-was-disaster-for-gop

....The worst electoral blowouts happen when either

(1) the incumbent unusually successful in the previous election faces either an unusually-weak nominee as an opponent who runs a muddled campaign (Landon 1936, Willkie 1940, Stevenson 1956, Mondale 1984), is cast successfully as an extremist (Goldwater 1964, McGovern 1972), or emerges from a divisive struggle in which the sleazy side wins the nomination (the 1924 Democratic convention showed the sordid influence of the fascistic KKK).

(2) the incumbent has endured an unmitigated disaster (Hoover, 1932; Carter 1980) or something so perceived at the time (Truman, 1952)

We may be seeing a third category this year. May -- notice the necessary weasel word! It is simply too early to predict that. Wait till you see the results of the 2016 election.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #32 on: July 30, 2016, 02:37:31 pm »

Holy moly +15. She's also ahead with Women+22.
That's actually a tiny gap for this election.

They have Clinton up +7 with men and winning every age group.
Clinton will win men by seven points when pigs fly out of my you-know-what.

Men hate Hillary! RABA is, was and remains junk not supported by the state poll record.
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136or142
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« Reply #33 on: July 30, 2016, 02:39:28 pm »

I've never heard of RABA research.

Raba Laba ding dong.  Cheesy
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psychprofessor
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« Reply #34 on: July 30, 2016, 02:47:59 pm »

freedom poll
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Moscow Mitch
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« Reply #35 on: July 30, 2016, 02:59:43 pm »

WOW! What a Fantastic poll!! A great classy poll by an even classier pollster! Trump is DOWN 10 points, at  this rate he will struggle to break 20% and be tied with Gary Johnson. SAD!
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #36 on: July 30, 2016, 06:24:55 pm »

Do we know when any legit polls are coming out?

Generally speaking, usually about the first week of Septenber 😇
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #37 on: July 30, 2016, 06:55:29 pm »

     Their past numbers seem bizarrely pro-Clinton. D+5 after the RNC?
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