Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 19, 2019, 01:08:36 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  NBC/Survey Monkey Natl: Trump +2 (4-way) / Clinton +1 (2-way)
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: NBC/Survey Monkey Natl: Trump +2 (4-way) / Clinton +1 (2-way)  (Read 1709 times)
amdcpus
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 270

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 26, 2016, 07:18:09 am »

NBC Survey Monkey Weekly Tracking National (July 18-24)

4-way
Trump 41% (+1)
Clinton 39% (-)
Johnson 10% (-)
Stein 5% (-)

2-way
Clinton 46% (-)
Trump 45% (-)


Article:
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-no-post-convention-bounce-donald-trump-n616426

Details:
https://www.scribd.com/document/319270782/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Toplines-and-Methodology-7-18-724
« Last Edit: July 26, 2016, 02:15:20 pm by Likely Voter »Logged
dspNY
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,593
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2016, 07:20:05 am »


Head to head Clinton still leads by 1 (46-45) which is the more accurate number. No bounce in this poll. That makes three national polls (CBS/NYT, YouGov, and NBC/SurveyMonkey) with no bounce
« Last Edit: July 26, 2016, 07:47:29 am by dspNY »Logged
Fusionmunster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,492


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2016, 07:23:37 am »

You should put the topline numbers in the thread header instead of making us click f.y.i. So this thread would be: "NBC National: Trump +2, Clinton +1 in Two way" or something to that effect.
Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,747
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2016, 08:18:53 am »

You should put the topline numbers in the thread header instead of making us click f.y.i. So this thread would be: "NBC National: Trump +2, Clinton +1 in Two way" or something to that effect.

Also this should labeled as "NBC/SurveyMonkey" not "NBC National."

That CNN poll is starting to feel a bit like an outlier.
Logged
Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,747
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2016, 08:25:31 am »

Here's a doozie:

Quote
John Harwood ‏@JohnJHarwood  24s24 seconds ago
NBC/Survey Monkey poll on impressions of GOP among independent voters, post-convention: more favorable 9%; less favorable 42%; unchanged 47%
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,928
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2016, 08:26:56 am »

Itís really shocking that this narcissistic fake billionaire who has no clue about politics is even tied.
Logged
Beat-ĎEm-All Beto
Clinton1996
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,374
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2016, 09:36:43 am »

More accurate title
Logged
JRP1994
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,622


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2016, 09:58:10 am »


Head to head Clinton still leads by 1 (46-45) which is the more accurate number. No bounce in this poll. That makes three national polls (CBS/NYT, YouGov, and NBC/SurveyMonkey) with no bounce

[Citation needed]
Logged
amdcpus
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 270

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2016, 10:11:14 am »

More accurate title

Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,975
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2016, 10:25:23 am »

More accurate title

Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.

Nope, she's completely unqualified. Also, a mod will be coming by soon to fix your title. The fact that you don't like Hillary Clinton doesn't give you license to be disingenuous. You are openly refusing to follow the decorum of this page.

If you are going to post polls, be accurate in how you present the results.
Logged
Devout Centrist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,356
United States


Political Matrix
E: -99.99, S: -99.99

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 26, 2016, 10:26:10 am »

More accurate title

Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.
She will get, at most, 1%.
Logged
Seriously?
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,036
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 26, 2016, 10:39:07 am »

More accurate title

Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.
I support Trump a lot more than most on here, but that title needs to be fixed so that we can just look at it and see the results.

NBC News/Survey Monkey National: Clinton +1 (2-way); Trump +2 (4-way) or something like that
Logged
amdcpus
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 270

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 26, 2016, 10:39:48 am »

More accurate title

Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.

Nope, she's completely unqualified. Also, a mod will be coming by soon to fix your title. The fact that you don't like Hillary Clinton doesn't give you license to be disingenuous. You are openly refusing to follow the decorum of this page.

If you are going to post polls, be accurate in how you present the results.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tor00iWUhDQ
Logged
Ljube
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,343
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 26, 2016, 11:34:21 am »

Itís really shocking that this narcissistic fake billionaire who has no clue about politics is even tied.

Yes. Shocking. He should be leading by a lot. But alas, the Dem smear machine and the dishonest media have done their work.
Logged
Associate Justice PiT
PiT (The Physicist)
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,584
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 26, 2016, 11:54:15 am »

     This poll was conducted back to 7/18. Doesn't really seem like it would capture a bounce anyway.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,673
Sweden


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: July 26, 2016, 12:02:08 pm »

     This poll was conducted back to 7/18. Doesn't really seem like it would capture a bounce anyway.
Hm... 18 - 24 July. So they have 50/50.
Why didn't they split the sample into two parts Huh
Logged
Higgs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,641


Political Matrix
E: 6.14, S: -4.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: July 26, 2016, 12:28:29 pm »

It’s really shocking that this narcissistic fake billionaire who has no clue about politics is even tied.

Says quite a bit about the state of the Clinton campaign.
Logged
bronz4141
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,052
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: July 26, 2016, 12:28:41 pm »

Itís really shocking that this narcissistic fake billionaire who has no clue about politics is even tied.

America is in urban and racial chaos, and we are uncertain about America's military strength and cultural changes.
Logged
Seriously?
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,036
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: July 26, 2016, 12:37:12 pm »

     This poll was conducted back to 7/18. Doesn't really seem like it would capture a bounce anyway.
Hm... 18 - 24 July. So they have 50/50.
Why didn't they split the sample into two parts Huh
Because it's a weekly tracking poll.

By the nature of it, it's going to be difficult to measure a bounce for either party.
Logged
Buh her emails!
diskymike44
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,388


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: July 26, 2016, 01:36:18 pm »

So Trump is getting a "Romney bounce"
Logged
Seriously?
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,036
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: July 26, 2016, 01:55:12 pm »

So Trump is getting a "Romney bounce"
Not true. There's a legit bounce somewhere between 2-4 points on aggregate. Hillary! was up in the 2-way by about 3 points last week. It's now Trump +.9.

Ditto for the 4-way conversation. We obviously do not have all the data points in yet.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,365


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: July 26, 2016, 02:06:21 pm »

I have edited the original post and headline. Again for this sub we want to keep the headlines to 'just the facts' and leave the commentary to the posts themselves.

So headlines should contain pollster, state of national, horserace number(s) or margin

Also original posts ideally contain
- Name of Media outlet and pollster
- Identify if national or state
- All available horse race numbers (2-way, 3-way, 4-way)
- All available samples (RV, LV and Adults)
- Link to source (ideally media article and to detailed poll if available)

Also nice to have
- change since last poll (especially with more frequent polls and trackers)
- methodology and MoE
- interesting crosstabs or details (this can also be in an additional comment to OP)
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout


Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies
 

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines