Oregon-Clout Political: Clinton +3
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Author Topic: Oregon-Clout Political: Clinton +3  (Read 1381 times)
Fargobison
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« on: July 27, 2016, 08:27:35 PM »
Clinton 43.1
Trump 39.7
Johnson 6
Stein 2.9

http://cloutpolitical.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/31/2016/07/OREGON-Poll-Ballot-Test-Topline-Report-7-26-20161.pdf
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xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: July 27, 2016, 08:29:32 PM »
This is the same pollster that had Trump up by 2 before, lol.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: July 27, 2016, 08:36:57 PM »
Though I'm positive that this poll is junk, it wouldn't surprise me to see third parties do better than usual on the West Coast this year and hold Clinton's (in particular) numbers down.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #3 on: July 27, 2016, 08:48:46 PM »
If people see Hillary Clinton winning such states as Florida, Ohio, or Virginia by 8PM Pacific Time and are still voting they could decide to change their votes. But such would apply only in California, Hawaii, Idaho, Washington, and Alaska. (Oregon is mail-in voting).
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Seriously?
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« Reply #4 on: July 27, 2016, 09:07:35 PM »
« Edited: July 27, 2016, 09:26:08 PM by Seriously? »
LOL. Clout. About as reputable as that Carville (GQR) group on the Democrat side. The Wenzels. Some Republican junk pollster that had Indiana a tie on the GOP side before Trump romped in the primary.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: July 27, 2016, 09:19:51 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on July 27, 2016, 08:58:41 PM
This poll was conducted before the RNC.

Ooh, so that means Trump should be leading here now. #BattlegroundOregon
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #6 on: July 27, 2016, 11:47:58 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on July 27, 2016, 08:36:57 PM
Though I'm positive that this poll is junk, it wouldn't surprise me to see third parties do better than usual on the West Coast this year and hold Clinton's (in particular) numbers down.

I could see Gary Johnson taking a lot of votes from Trump. I think Trump might not break 40% in Oregon or Washington.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #7 on: July 28, 2016, 12:38:58 AM »
 

Even Liberal Nate Silver adjusted this poll as Hillary +5%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/oregon/
 
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2016, 07:03:37 PM »
« Edited: October 19, 2016, 07:07:58 PM by Dave Leip »
New Poll: Oregon President by Clout Research on 2016-07-26

Summary: D: 43%, R: 40%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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