Trumps Post RNC "Favorability" bump
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  Trumps Post RNC "Favorability" bump
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Author Topic: Trumps Post RNC "Favorability" bump  (Read 421 times)
The Vorlon
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« on: July 28, 2016, 08:02:50 AM »
« edited: July 28, 2016, 08:05:49 AM by The Vorlon »

In the Post RNC polling Trump's favorability has gone from "dangerously radioactive total exclusion zone" to "Potentially lethal exposure, handle with great care"

Hilldabeast and Trump are now roughly equivalently toxic.


Pre RNC

Clinton:

Gallup         7/16 - 7/23   3545 A   38   57   -19
Reuters/Ipsos      7/16 - 7/20   1522 A   46   54   -8
Monmouth      7/14 - 7/16   688 LV   35   54   -19
ABC News/Wash Post   7/11 - 7/14   816 RV   40   57   -17
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl   7/9 - 7/13   1000 RV   34   56   -22

Average was unfavorable +17.0

Trump:

Gallup         7/16 - 7/23   3545 A   36   59   -23
Reuters/Ipsos      7/16 - 7/20   1522 A   43   57   -14
Monmouth      7/14 - 7/16   688 LV   33   54   -21
ABC News/Wash Post   7/11 - 7/14   816 RV   34   62   -28
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl   7/9 - 7/13   1000 RV   27   60   -33

Average was Unfavorable +23.8

Net Advantage - Clinton +6.8

Post RNC:


Clinton

CBS News      7/22 - 7/24   1363 A   31   56   -25
CNN/ORC         7/22 - 7/24   882 RV   41   55   -14
Economist/YouGov   7/23 - 7/24   1300 A   42   56   -14

Unfavorable + 18.3

Trump

CBS News      7/22 - 7/24   1363 A   34   53   -19
CNN/ORC         7/22 - 7/24   882 RV   46   51   -5
Economist/YouGov   7/23 - 7/24   1300 A   35   61   -26

Unfavorable + 17

Swing:

From Clinton +6.8 to Trump +1.3 - A swing of 8.1%
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Hammy
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« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2016, 01:44:49 PM »

Not entirely conclusive as the before and after sets don't share any polls with each other.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #2 on: July 28, 2016, 02:15:01 PM »

Not entirely conclusive as the before and after sets don't share any polls with each other.

True, but despite different methodologies, the differential between the two candidates should transcend the actual polls used, and least qualitatively, if not quantatatively.

If "X" is indeed viewed more favorably than "y", any properly done poll will show that.  The numerical value may vary, but the relative standing of the two should not vary much from poll to poll....
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