PA-Suffolk: Clinton +9 (user search)
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  PA-Suffolk: Clinton +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-Suffolk: Clinton +9  (Read 4142 times)
Wiz in Wis
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« on: July 28, 2016, 11:13:40 AM »

Dayum...
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Wiz in Wis
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,711


WWW
« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2016, 11:19:31 AM »

Katie McGinty leads Pat Toomey by 7.

Garbage poll.

If politics are really that polarized, why would we expect the Dem senate candidate to be more than a couple points off the presidential... Feingold and Clinton are very close in Marquette's WI polls... why isn't that seen as "garbage".
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Wiz in Wis
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,711


WWW
« Reply #2 on: July 28, 2016, 11:59:58 AM »

Also, why is this poll getting almost no weight in the 538 average for PA? They have it listed below 5 polls from June and two polls from April (!).

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/pennsylvania/#plus

The weights vary depending on the model. In the now-cast, this poll has a weight of 2.5. Also, this poll single-handedly moved the NATIONAL now-cast by nearly 6 points.  
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