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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  RABA Research (national): Clinton +15 (10pt bounce)
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Author Topic: RABA Research (national): Clinton +15 (10pt bounce)  (Read 2768 times)
JRP1994
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« on: July 30, 2016, 09:49:47 am »

https://t.co/4W3pV4LVl6

Among likely voters, Clinton garners 46% support to Trumpís 31%.  Libertarian Gary Johnson now captures 7% of the vote, while Jill Stein sits at 2%.

A RABA Research poll conducted the day after the Republican convention showed a tighter race, with Clinton at 39% and Trump at 34%. Johnson was at 8% in that survey, while Stein found 3% support.
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LLR
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« Reply #1 on: July 30, 2016, 09:52:15 am »

https://t.co/4W3pV4LVl6

likely voters

Clinton garners 46% support to Trumpís 31%. 

Shocked
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #2 on: July 30, 2016, 09:52:36 am »

Wow!  Hopefully we can get some polls to confirm this!
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dspNY
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« Reply #3 on: July 30, 2016, 09:55:47 am »



For real, it's a little too good to be true
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North Fulton Swing
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« Reply #4 on: July 30, 2016, 09:57:05 am »

Wonderful news, RABA!!! (whoever you are)
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #5 on: July 30, 2016, 09:59:47 am »

FWIW, the poll had Trump getting a 7 point bump from the RNC (in reality, it was a 4 to 5 point bump).  The poll's results seem to favor Clinton, and its pretty new pollster as well, so I'd take it with some salt unless/until we get some confirmation.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #6 on: July 30, 2016, 10:01:51 am »

This is probably Hillary's Overtime Politics ...
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dspNY
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« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2016, 10:02:05 am »

Wow!  Hopefully we can get some polls to confirm this!

Hillary getting 14% of Repubs. Let's see if other polls have moved #NeverTrump all the way across to HRC before we celebrate
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Arch
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« Reply #8 on: July 30, 2016, 10:06:57 am »

Holy moly +15. She's also ahead with Women+22.
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michelle
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« Reply #9 on: July 30, 2016, 10:08:13 am »

BEAUTIFUL!!

But it really seems to good to be true.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #10 on: July 30, 2016, 10:18:08 am »

538 adjusted their last poll from Clinton +5 to Clinton +3. While I highly doubt Clinton is leading by this much, this is a good indication of pretty sizeable bump.
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #11 on: July 30, 2016, 10:19:05 am »
« Edited: July 30, 2016, 10:22:57 am by john cage bubblegum »

Holy moly!  Although they're kind of an unkown pollster (who has been Clinton friendly), this is a good start.  I'm still eagerly anticipating the polls from the heavy hitters that we should be getting on Sunday.  I'm sure this will be on the high end of Clinton leads.

Interesting that their sample is only D+4, with Trump doing poorly with Republicans and Clinton winning by 8 among those who identify as Other.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #12 on: July 30, 2016, 10:20:57 am »

Crap poll.

As much as I want this to be true, I wouldn't get my hopes up.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #13 on: July 30, 2016, 10:21:49 am »

https://twitter.com/RABAresearch/status/759399787330494464

Trend

7/12: Clinton +12
7/23: Clinton +5
7/30: Clinton +15
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Maxwell
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« Reply #14 on: July 30, 2016, 10:26:01 am »

This is probably Hillary's Overtime Politics ...

yes this is a joke poll.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #15 on: July 30, 2016, 10:35:41 am »

WOWOWOW!!!
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Chief Justice windjammer
windjammer
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« Reply #16 on: July 30, 2016, 10:38:24 am »

Lmao junk junk junk
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The Mikado
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« Reply #17 on: July 30, 2016, 10:50:08 am »

I think the "don't trust a polling firm no one has ever heard of before" rule applies in this case.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #18 on: July 30, 2016, 11:00:10 am »

I think the "don't trust a polling firm no one has ever heard of before" rule applies in this case.
Oh I've heard of them before and while they're not junk, I find these results highly improbable.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #19 on: July 30, 2016, 11:52:26 am »

I doubt that Clinton is actually up by this much, but if she is...wow.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #20 on: July 30, 2016, 12:03:25 pm »

I doubt that Clinton is actually up by this much, but if she is...wow.
Trump is dooooomed!
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Suburban Vegas Moderate for Trump (if Sanders/Warren win)
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« Reply #21 on: July 30, 2016, 12:17:37 pm »

Hasn't RABA found pretty Democratic friendly results? Either way, obviously Clinton isn't up by this much, but it looks like she's gaining in the polls.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #22 on: July 30, 2016, 12:26:02 pm »

Holy moly +15. She's also ahead with Women+22.
That's actually a tiny gap for this election.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #23 on: July 30, 2016, 12:27:15 pm »

I'm just hoping that her convention bump is 10 points, tbh.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: July 30, 2016, 12:28:48 pm »

Holy moly +15. She's also ahead with Women+22.
That's actually a tiny gap for this election.

They have Clinton up +7 with men and winning every age group.
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