VA - RABA - Trump +4

[Likely Voter]

VA - RABA - July 26-27 (Tue/Wed during DNC)

Trump 46%
Clinton 42%
Someone  else 7%
Not sure 5%

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PDF: http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Virginia-Survey-Results-July-2016.pdf

[Boston Bread]

Good to know that VA is 19 points more Republican than than the nation as a whole.

[Maxwell]

If we need proof that RABA is trash

[Lief 🗽]

hahaha wow

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

If we need proof that RABA is trash

Indeed.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Who?

[Heisenberg]

As much as I'd love for this to be true, I think it's junk. RIP Virginia, though Kaine as Clinton's running mate already solidified this I think.

[Likely Voter]

Well their national poll was a single day poll done on Friday (the day after the DNC ended), this poll was done on Tuesday and Wednesday during the DNC. That being said, even that is not enough to explain a national Clinton +15 and VA Trump +4. 

This poll has some weird crosstabs, notably Clinton is losing under 30s but winning over 65s.
 

[Xing]

So according to RABA, this will be the electoral map?

Interesting.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

It was taken during Trump's bounce.

[Seriously?]

Good to know that Hillary is up 15 points nationally, but losing Virginia.

RABA must be polling in some alternate universe of bad polling.

[Dr. Arch]

It was taken during Trump's bounce.

So it's an old poll at this point.

[Tender Branson]

Obama, plz drone the headquarters of this "pollster".

[Dr. Arch]

I truly hope nobody plugs this poll in.

[Seriously?]

It was taken during Trump's bounce.

Hillary Clinton didn't have a 19-point bounce in two days. Virginia is basically a bellwether state that mirrors the national vote with an extremely slight tilt R.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

It was taken during Trump's bounce.

Hillary Clinton didn't have a 19-point bounce in two days. Virginia is basically a bellwether state that mirrors the national vote with an extremely slight tilt R.

Except with a s***house poll from a s***house pollster.

[Maxwell]

I truly hope nobody plugs this poll in.

The 538 now-cast has Trump leading Virginia.

[Dr. Arch]

I truly hope nobody plugs this poll in.

The 538 now-cast has Trump leading Virginia.

LOL, FOR REAL? Oh my days. HE ACTUALLY ADJUSTED IT TO TRUMP+5!

[Xing]

I truly hope nobody plugs this poll in.

The 538 now-cast has Trump leading Virginia.

Their model (especially the now-cast) is apparently extremely sensitive to very specific polls. Funny that Hillary lost ground, despite the +15 and +5 national polls today.

[Maxwell]

It seems like every poll that has come out has been adjusted to more pro-Trump. Are they thinking that last minute voters will be especially pro-Trump?

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Virginia President by RABA Research on 2016-07-27

Summary: D: 42%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Everyone chill lol. This poll was taken before her speech, during Trump's bounce and had a 71% white in the cross tabs.

[Ebsy]

Odd to say the least.

[Ebsy]

I truly hope nobody plugs this poll in.

The 538 now-cast has Trump leading Virginia.

Their model (especially the now-cast) is apparently extremely sensitive to very specific polls. Funny that Hillary lost ground, despite the +15 and +5 national polls today.

538 is honestly unskewing polls and pretending that there is some defensible reason for it. I expect it to go pretty poorly.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

As much as I'd love for this to be true, I think it's junk. RIP Virginia, though Kaine as Clinton's running mate already solidified this I think.