Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Indiana
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  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Indiana		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Rate Indiana and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 126

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Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Indiana  (Read 2517 times)
ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: July 31, 2016, 03:40:27 PM »
« edited: July 31, 2016, 03:47:13 PM by ElectionsGuy »
Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result: Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois

Ratings



Safe Clinton: 92
Likely Clinton: 0
Lean Clinton: 9
Toss-Up: 29
Lean Trump: 27
Likely Trump: 3
Safe Trump: 19

Clinton: 101
Trump: 49
Toss-Up: 29

Predictions



Clinton: 130
Trump: 49

Indiana: Likely R, 53-44 Trump.
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2016, 03:42:05 PM »
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Human
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2016, 07:23:14 PM »
Safe R; 54-44 Donald Trump
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
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E: 3.00, S: -0.41

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« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2016, 07:32:42 PM »
Lean R

Trump 53%
Clinton 45%
Other 2%
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MATTROSE94
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E: -5.29, S: -6.43

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« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2016, 07:32:50 PM »
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heatcharger
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E: -1.04, S: -0.24

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« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2016, 07:34:31 PM »
Somewhere between Lean R and Likely R, closer to the latter.
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evergreenarbor
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E: -6.77, S: -8.43

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« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2016, 07:35:35 PM »
Safe R.

Trump: 53
Clinton: 42
Johnson: 4
Others: 1
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #7 on: July 31, 2016, 07:55:58 PM »
Likely R, if it's truly bad for him the state could flip but it probably won't.
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #8 on: July 31, 2016, 09:19:03 PM »
Likely R.  Trump-52, Clinton-44, Johnson-3, Stein and others-1.

More relevant is how the Senate and gubernatorial races will turn out. 
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dspNY
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« Reply #9 on: July 31, 2016, 09:23:26 PM »
Likely R

Trump 53
Clinton 43
Johnson 3
Stein 1
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tinman64
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E: -4.13, S: -1.57

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« Reply #10 on: July 31, 2016, 09:38:17 PM »
Likely R

Trump 53
Clinton 44
Others 3
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Spark
Spark498
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E: -6.58, S: 0.00

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« Reply #11 on: July 31, 2016, 10:35:02 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2016, 09:27:47 PM by Spark498 »
Likely R. 54-45
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Breton Racer
Harrytruman48
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« Reply #12 on: August 08, 2016, 01:20:03 AM »
Indiana is a lean Trump state, he will not win it by more than 10%.

Trump- 50%
Clinton- 45%
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #13 on: September 01, 2016, 07:08:39 PM »
Likely R, Trump 53-44
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peterthlee
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« Reply #14 on: October 07, 2016, 06:28:31 PM »
Likely R
Trump 51-46-3
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OneJ
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2016, 08:24:00 PM »
This thread also needs more votes. I'll guess Indiana will be toss-up thanks to its elasticity in the past couple of weeks (I won't vote for a candidate however).
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Cashew
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« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2016, 09:04:14 PM »
Lean R
Trump 49%
Clinton 47%
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ursulahx
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« Reply #17 on: October 23, 2016, 11:12:53 AM »
Sticking with Likely R and Trump, because come on.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #18 on: October 23, 2016, 11:18:59 AM »
Going to stick with Trump by 5, Likely R.


51% Trump
46% Clinton
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #19 on: October 29, 2016, 05:24:24 PM »
Indiana moves from Safe R > Likely R.

It's possible that Clinton moves this into a <5% Trump win, but I'm skeptical unless we get updated polling (In a state that bans robocalls) that show that the suburbs of Indianapolis are swinging hard against Trump.
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GrandOldTider
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« Reply #20 on: October 29, 2016, 05:27:44 PM »
9 point Trump victory

53-44%
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RHTFT
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E: -1.50, S: -3.83

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« Reply #21 on: October 29, 2016, 05:29:37 PM »
Safe R, Trump

52-44
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #22 on: October 29, 2016, 09:42:28 PM »
Trump wins by mid-to-upper single digits.  A weak showing like this in such a red state helps to pull Gregg over the finish line and may even help Bayh and Arredondo.
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Hammy
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« Reply #23 on: October 29, 2016, 09:43:41 PM »
Safe R, Trump +8.
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