VA - RABA - Trump +4
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  VA - RABA - Trump +4
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Author Topic: VA - RABA - Trump +4  (Read 4134 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #25 on: July 31, 2016, 06:28:19 AM »

I think every poll from this pollster must be taken with a serious grain of salt. There's no way Clinton is up 15 nationally and there's no way she's down 4 in VA with a VP from there, even when you factor bounces in one way or another
That applies literally to all the polls, since MOE is usually about 3-6 pps. So even if we has a perfectly conducted poll, the margin of victory could be 6-12 off due to it's JUST A POLL.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #26 on: July 31, 2016, 06:30:32 AM »

I think every poll from this pollster must be taken with a serious grain of salt. There's no way Clinton is up 15 nationally and there's no way she's down 4 in VA with a VP from there, even when you factor bounces in one way or another
That applies literally to all the polls, since MOE is usually about 3-6 pps. So even if we has a perfectly conducted poll, the margin of victory could be 6-12 off due to it's JUST A POLL.

Ah, no.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #27 on: July 31, 2016, 06:33:23 AM »

I think every poll from this pollster must be taken with a serious grain of salt. There's no way Clinton is up 15 nationally and there's no way she's down 4 in VA with a VP from there, even when you factor bounces in one way or another
That applies literally to all the polls, since MOE is usually about 3-6 pps. So even if we has a perfectly conducted poll, the margin of victory could be 6-12 off due to it's JUST A POLL.

Ah, no.
Oh yeah!
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JRP1994
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« Reply #28 on: July 31, 2016, 08:02:01 AM »

Trump +4 in Virginia is more believable than Clinton +15 nationally.

Throw the poll in the average. It's probably noise. 538 apparently doesn't think too much of it - they weight it less than a Gravis poll from May.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #29 on: July 31, 2016, 09:25:31 AM »

I think every poll from this pollster must be taken with a serious grain of salt. There's no way Clinton is up 15 nationally and there's no way she's down 4 in VA with a VP from there, even when you factor bounces in one way or another
That applies literally to all the polls, since MOE is usually about 3-6 pps. So even if we has a perfectly conducted poll, the margin of victory could be 6-12 off due to it's JUST A POLL.

Ah, no.
Oh yeah!

No, you don't understand how confidence intervals work.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #30 on: July 31, 2016, 11:44:32 AM »

I truly hope nobody plugs this poll in.

I won't.
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #31 on: July 31, 2016, 11:46:07 AM »

I truly hope nobody plugs this poll in.

Somebody did Sad
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Ebsy
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« Reply #32 on: July 31, 2016, 12:49:47 PM »

Well obviously Tender Branson did, because the poll is bad for Clinton.
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dspNY
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« Reply #33 on: July 31, 2016, 12:56:56 PM »

Trump is not beating Clinton among millennials. Junk
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #34 on: July 31, 2016, 03:23:05 PM »

Wow Hillary is up 15 points nationally, but down 4 in swing state Virginia. LOL, junk pollster confirmed.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #35 on: August 01, 2016, 05:02:51 PM »

     This is about ARG-level junk. LOL.
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