PA-PPP: Clinton +3 in 4-way, +4 in Head to Head

[Erich Maria Remarque]

She's near 50%. Really hard for Trump to win.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Age demographics skew old even for PA, one of the oldest states in the country. In 2012, 17% of the PA electorate was 65 or older. PPP has 23% of the electorate as senior citizens.

PPP also projects that 80% of the PA electorate will be white when only 78% of PA voters were white in 2012 and most of the voter population loss was older white voters while a disproportionate number of new voters in the state are non-white (especially Latino, even there)

Here we go again. Stop unskewing the polls!

We have two white candidates who're extremely (especially Trump) unpopular among youngs. I wouldn't be shocked, if we'll get more seniors and more whites than usual.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

A likely-voter  model implies a low turnout in which Republicans are more heavily co0ncentrated in the voting. Democrats and Democratic-leaning interests try to change reality to an extended vote involving not-so-likely voters. Low turnout helps Republicans; high turnout helps Democrats. 

Not necessary. The only group, Trump is doing great with is non-college-educated Whites, had a really low turnout 57% (in 2012) and it is still 32-35% of RV. If he manage to energise them more than nonwhites, he'll benefit of a higher turnout.