PA-PPP: Clinton +3 in 4-way, +4 in Head to Head (user search)
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  PA-PPP: Clinton +3 in 4-way, +4 in Head to Head (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-PPP: Clinton +3 in 4-way, +4 in Head to Head  (Read 3301 times)
dspNY
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« on: August 01, 2016, 01:49:25 PM »

I'll take it. I think the real state of the race in PA is between this and the two polls showing Clinton up 9. We can clearly say the state is Lean D and it looks like the vast majority of the voters are locked in
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dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2016, 01:52:11 PM »

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The most important part is that the undecideds largely lean Dem and are very averse to Trump (although they are averse to her too, they'll likely come home in the end)
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dspNY
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Posts: 2,835
United States


« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2016, 02:45:33 PM »

Age demographics skew old even for PA, one of the oldest states in the country. In 2012, 17% of the PA electorate was 65 or older. PPP has 23% of the electorate as senior citizens.

PPP also projects that 80% of the PA electorate will be white when only 78% of PA voters were white in 2012 and most of the voter population loss was older white voters while a disproportionate number of new voters in the state are non-white (especially Latino, even there)
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