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Author Topic: NV-Rasmussen: Clinton +1  (Read 1055 times)
heatcharger
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« on: August 01, 2016, 03:29:54 pm »

http://www.ktnv.com/news/political/new-ktnvrasmussen-poll-shows-post-dnc-narrow-lead-for-hillary-clinton-over-donald-trump?mc_cid=36c3591d7c&mc_eid=dcfe8daff0

Clinton 41
Trump 40
Johnson 10
Stein 4

Conducted from 7/29-7/31. 750 LV.
« Last Edit: August 01, 2016, 05:27:18 pm by heatcharger »Logged

dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2016, 03:31:54 pm »


LOL. No way is Clinton leading Hispanics by only 7 and Cortez Masto, herself Hispanic, only leading Hispanics by 3
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2016, 03:32:39 pm »

Didn't they have Trump +5 a week ago?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #3 on: August 01, 2016, 03:34:04 pm »

Wow! What a HUGE swing! About time to move this back to Safe D
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fuck nazis
michelle
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« Reply #4 on: August 01, 2016, 03:36:11 pm »

Oh look, it's Rasmussen.


LOL. No way is Clinton leading Hispanics by only 7 and Cortez Masto, herself Hispanic, only leading Hispanics by 3

This is what happens in an English-only landline poll.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #5 on: August 01, 2016, 03:39:49 pm »

Regional crosstabs:

Clark County (Las Vegas): Clinton 44%, Trump 38%
Washoe County (Reno): Trump 44%, Clinton 39%
Rest of the state: Trump 44%, Clinton 29%

Obama won Clark County 56-42 and Washoe County 50-47.

Gender crosstabs:

Men: Trump 42%, Clinton 38%
Women: Clinton 45%, Trump 38%

Racial crosstabs:

White: Trump 44%, Clinton 39%
Black: Clinton 61%, Trump 19% (lol)
Hispanic: Clinton 43%, Trump 36%
« Last Edit: August 01, 2016, 03:42:13 pm by heatcharger »Logged

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« Reply #6 on: August 01, 2016, 03:44:32 pm »

Nice try, Scotty.
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: August 01, 2016, 03:44:47 pm »

If Hillary's ahead even with those ridiculous cross-tabs, she'll win NV by double digits .
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: August 01, 2016, 03:46:25 pm »

Obvious garbage.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: August 01, 2016, 04:30:12 pm »

I doubt it's this close given the national numbers. It is Rasmussen so...
« Last Edit: August 01, 2016, 10:03:00 pm by Eraserhead »Logged

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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #10 on: August 01, 2016, 04:34:58 pm »

Regional crosstabs:

Clark County (Las Vegas): Clinton 44%, Trump 38%
Washoe County (Reno): Trump 44%, Clinton 39%
Rest of the state: Trump 44%, Clinton 29%

Obama won Clark County 56-42 and Washoe County 50-47.

Gender crosstabs:

Men: Trump 42%, Clinton 38%
Women: Clinton 45%, Trump 38%

Racial crosstabs:

White: Trump 44%, Clinton 39%
Black: Clinton 61%, Trump 19% (lol)
Hispanic: Clinton 43%, Trump 36%

If Clinton were to actually only lose NV whites by 5... she'd carry the state by 15-20.
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michelle
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« Reply #11 on: August 01, 2016, 04:36:43 pm »

It's good to know NV is 8% to the right of the nation.
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amdcpus
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« Reply #12 on: August 01, 2016, 05:23:47 pm »

OP, Johnson is at 10% not 5%.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #13 on: August 01, 2016, 05:29:53 pm »

Go from "likely voters" to "real voters" in November, and the Democrats will actually pick up far more votes than Republicans will. At this stage, if Republicans are tied or behind in a statewide race or a Presidential race in Nevada or Pennsylvania, then they are in deep trouble. One can attribute many surprising successes of Democrats to the Reid machine in Greater Las Vegas, but that machine will still be in operation in November. Democratic GOTV drives win in Pennsylvania in Presidential years and usually falter in midterm years.

This is a swing from a Rasmussen poll within the last two weeks from a 5% advantage for Donald Trump. Like or loathe Rasmussen polling, this is apples-to-apples because it is the same pollster. A 6% swing is likely to be significant.    
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cMac36
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« Reply #14 on: August 01, 2016, 06:33:17 pm »

I will always remember my utter shock at Reid's victory in 2010, I thought he was cooked neutered geese.  Then he Hustled the Caucuses this yr for Clinton.  I learned more about him!!, He Got the Unionized Hotel-Casino Workers to get to Caucus, held in abeyance still paid money for their service, as this is machine politics.  Many are no doubt on Visas or not.  Chris Matthews made good point in saying, caucus, if your union boss says "Caucus here for Clinton this part of the Room", you lack freedom in real sense even if you disagree let alone apathetic.  Reid machine will endure at least thru this cycle.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #15 on: August 01, 2016, 06:47:41 pm »

Oh Rassy
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