NV-Rasmussen: Clinton +1

[pbrower2a]

Go from "likely voters" to "real voters" in November, and the Democrats will actually pick up far more votes than Republicans will. At this stage, if Republicans are tied or behind in a statewide race or a Presidential race in Nevada or Pennsylvania, then they are in deep trouble. One can attribute many surprising successes of Democrats to the Reid machine in Greater Las Vegas, but that machine will still be in operation in November. Democratic GOTV drives win in Pennsylvania in Presidential years and usually falter in midterm years.

This is a swing from a Rasmussen poll within the last two weeks from a 5% advantage for Donald Trump. Like or loathe Rasmussen polling, this is apples-to-apples because it is the same pollster. A 6% swing is likely to be significant.