Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied

[pbrower2a]

Georgia has one huge metro area, and Greater Atlanta is to Georgia what Chicago is to Illinois politically, a metro area that votes very differently and contrary to the largely-rural remainder of the state. Hillary Clinton is unlikely to make gains in votes among blacks from Obama in 2012, so if she is gaining in Georgia, then she is picking up some white suburban voters (those are well-educated people, in general) or is winning back some white voters at military bases (Georgia has a large military presence)  or in rural areas who couldn't vote for a black man or someone whose patriotism was suspect.  Whatever is going on in Georgia, the state has become very shaky for Republicans in the Presidential election in 2016.

Atlanta suburbs were much more Republican than the suburbs of Northern or Western cities. See also Arizona and Texas. Should suburbs in Arizona, Georgia, and Texas start voting like suburbs of Boston, Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, San Francisco, Seattle, and Baltimore/Washington, then the Republican Party is in deep trouble, staring down a 400-EV loss this year. Suburbia was reliably R until the 1990s.    

Georgia is one of the states that can make the biggest swings from R to D in 2016, and such a swing can be a calamity for Republicans.  

[pbrower2a]

The Johnson vote has much room for expansion in Georgia.  Most likely such would happen in Atlanta suburbs. Johnson is likely to pick up educated conservatives mostly from among people who usually vote Republican.