AZ-Predictive Insights: Clinton +3

[NOVA Green]

Call me skeptical.... although I could certainly imagine that this is a possibility.

Looking forward to seeing a real poll from a known pollster of Arizona hopefully soon.

[NOVA Green]

Glorious news!

Who's Predictive Insights?

This is what I could find.... no idea of their track record and looks to be a fairly new company.

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/owens-harkey-advertising-acquires-polling-company-starts-harkey

[NOVA Green]

I think we just need to see more polling from this state before jumping to conclusions on the basis of a single relatively "no name" polling company.

Reality is that Arizona completely fits the profile of a potential flip state, based upon demographics and recent political history.

Unlike much of the West, Obama was not a great fit for the state in the primaries and the GE.

Hillary is actually a much stronger Dem candidate for Arizona than we have seen for quite a few decades.

Time will tell, but Arizona is not a "write-off" state.

[NOVA Green]

Hillary would win so big if the election were held today.  BUHLIEVE ME.

So give it another month or two and then we know where we are at?

Think we're about (100) days out, so we'll see where Arizona is over the next few months.

At this point, I don't think anyone on the Forum has any evidence based upon a legitimate polling organization where the voters of the great state of Arizona are at....

This might be one of the few Western States where Hillary might actually over-perform Bernie in a GE matchup versus Trump.