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Author Topic: Fox National: Clinton +10 (+9 3-way)  (Read 2596 times)
amdcpus
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« on: August 03, 2016, 04:50:31 pm »

Fox National (RV 7/31 - 8/2)

2-way
Clinton - 49%
Trump - 39%

3-way
Clinton - 44%
Trump - 35%
Johnson - 12%

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/08/03/fox-news-poll-clinton-leads-trump-by-10-points-both-seen-as-flawed.html
« Last Edit: August 03, 2016, 06:04:21 pm by Likely Voter »Logged
michelle
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« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2016, 04:53:32 pm »

That's a high Johnson number. I think it's too high.
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dspNY
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« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2016, 04:54:41 pm »

Hillary leads 49-39 in the head to head. Title should be:

Fox: Clinton +10, Clinton +9 (3-way)
« Last Edit: August 03, 2016, 04:56:30 pm by dspNY »Logged
heatcharger
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« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2016, 04:55:31 pm »

Interesting they are still using RV instead of LV. Margin seems right though.
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Castro
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« Reply #4 on: August 03, 2016, 04:58:41 pm »

Full info:

Clinton - 49%
Trump - 39%

Clinton - 44%
Trump - 35%
Johnson - 12%

Clinton is favored among women by 23 points (57-34 percent), blacks by 83 (87-4 percent), Hispanics by 48 (68-20 percent), and voters under 30 by 18 (49-31 percent).

Trump is the choice among whites by 10 points (49-39 percent), men by 5 (45-40 percent), white evangelical Christians by 50 (69-19 percent), and whites without a college degree by 16 (52-36 percent).
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #5 on: August 03, 2016, 04:59:07 pm »

The bounce is real!
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2016, 04:59:39 pm »

GOP headquarters today:

Img
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Seriously?
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« Reply #7 on: August 03, 2016, 05:02:25 pm »

Interesting they are still using RV instead of LV. Margin seems right though.
I don't think anyone other than Reuters switched to LV during the convention. (And we know what a mess that was.)

My guess is that we'll see the LV switch between mid-August and Labor Day.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: August 03, 2016, 05:05:19 pm »

GOP headquarters today:

Img

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psychprofessor
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« Reply #9 on: August 03, 2016, 05:06:35 pm »

Devastating cross tabs for Trump:

50. As you may know, the parents of a Muslim-American soldier who died while serving in the U.S. Army in Iraq appeared at the Democratic Convention and the father spoke out against Donald Trump.  How familiar are you with Trumpís response to comments by the
parents?

51. How do you feel about Trumpís response -- would you say it was in bounds or out of
bounds?


In bounds / Out of bounds (Donít know)
1-2 Aug 16 19% /  69%

[ROTATE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS]
42. Do you think Hillary Clinton has the temperament to serve effectively as president?

Yes No (Donít know)
 31 Jul-2 Aug 16 64% 34%

43. Do you think Donald Trump has the temperament to serve effectively as president?

Yes No (Donít know)
31 Jul-2 Aug 16 37% 61%

[ROTATE NEXT TWO QUESTIONS]
44. Do you think Hillary Clinton has the knowledge to serve effectively as president?

Yes No (Donít know)
31 Jul-2 Aug 16 72% 26%

45. Do you think Donald Trump has the knowledge to serve effectively as president?

Yes No (Donít know)
31 Jul-2 Aug 16 40% 59%
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Arch
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« Reply #10 on: August 03, 2016, 05:07:36 pm »


L O L
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Invisible Obama
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« Reply #11 on: August 03, 2016, 05:07:45 pm »

The demographics square with him still only breaking about 43% of the popular vote if the demographics actually vote the way that polling suggests. Only being up 10% with whites is a fairly bad sign for him.
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dspNY
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« Reply #12 on: August 03, 2016, 05:07:53 pm »

Other info from this poll:

President Obama's approval is 52/45, for a +7

44% of the respondents think the country is on the right track. If this number gets to 50% we have a landslide coming against the GOP

Candidates are both terrible on trustworthiness, but Trump is actually one point worse (-26) than Clinton (-25). Clinton's trustworthy number improved from -36 (30/66) to (36/61).

Only 37% believe Trump has the temperament to serve as President, so if you want to know where his floor is, that's the floor

Only 44% of voters think Trump's praise of Putin bothers them (that's a bit surprising, thought it would be higher)

Only 19% of voters think Trump's conduct towards the Khans was appropriate compared to 69% who did not think it was appropriate

Party ID is D+6 (42D/36R/18I), similar to 2012 in Dem plurality but a lower # of indies, so Dems and GOP are oversampled

Indies favor Trump by 8 (41-33) but Clinton is taking 12% of Repubs and only losing 5% of Dems
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Ronnie
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« Reply #13 on: August 03, 2016, 05:08:15 pm »

GOP headquarters today:

Img


At this point, I think the GOP would take a 10 point loss.  I'm sure that there are some operatives who are concerned that, if Trump keeps up his nonsense, it might turn into a 15-20 point loss.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #14 on: August 03, 2016, 05:12:17 pm »

Img


Donald right now...
Img
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KingSweden
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« Reply #15 on: August 03, 2016, 05:13:43 pm »

For all the flack Fox News gets, they've always struck me as having a pretty solid polling operation
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Castro
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« Reply #16 on: August 03, 2016, 05:16:37 pm »

Among Blacks in the 3-Way:
Clinton - 85%
Johnson - 7%
Trump - 1%
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #17 on: August 03, 2016, 05:25:57 pm »

Grin
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Absolution9
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« Reply #18 on: August 03, 2016, 05:40:46 pm »

The Khan debacle has hurt Trump in August just like the Curiel debacle hurt him in June.  Luckily for Trump this happened in early August and he has time to recover if he actually has the capability to do so. 

He needs to stop attacking sympathetic peripheral figures in the race and focus exclusively on Hillary Clinton, the economy/jobs, national security, sane non-interventionism, trade, and immigration.  His best bet would be to try to tie restrictive trade and immigration policy to jobs and wages as much as possible (whether empirically accurate or not).

If he can't stop with the stupid attacks he is either trying to lose or has a serious personality disorder.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #19 on: August 03, 2016, 05:44:19 pm »

For all the flack Fox News gets, they've always struck me as having a pretty solid polling operation

Agreed.

Wow, total annihilation. I wonder how long it takes for Republican Clear Politics to enter this into their system.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #20 on: August 03, 2016, 05:51:14 pm »

Comment section on the article is hilarious:

Quote
Another rigged liberal poll

Quote
Fox has its head up hillary's bum and this poll smells like it.

Quote
President   Thomas Jefferson   refused  to   pay   tribute   to    Islamic   Terrorists.....    President    OBAMA,   pays   $400   Million    Dollars   to   Islamic   Terrorists.....

The best one:

Quote
it amazes really , just read an article when anti-hillary movies, books and apparel are sky high,  most comments I have read on all sites thrash her YET she is winning in the polls.  HOW can that be??
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EliteLX
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« Reply #21 on: August 03, 2016, 05:54:23 pm »

This is as huge of a disaster as I've always said.

Well, here you go GOP base. This is what you voted in and kept insisting he would "storm" the general". The 60 year old white trash can move over, it's time for the next generation of the GOP to take back the party in 2020. If John Kasich doesn't run again in 2020, I will be very upset.
« Last Edit: August 03, 2016, 05:55:57 pm by EliteLX »Logged
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #22 on: August 03, 2016, 05:56:45 pm »

This is as huge of a disaster as I've always said.

Well, here you go GOP base. This is what you voted in and kept insisting he would "storm" the general". The 60 year old white trash can move over, it's time for the next generation of the GOP to take back the party in 2020.

There is no next generation, the GOP base keeps getting older and older because young voters as a whole are disgusted with everything Trump and the GOP stands for.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #23 on: August 03, 2016, 05:57:37 pm »

Among Blacks in the 3-Way:
Clinton - 85%
Johnson - 7%
Trump - 1%

     Wow, that is brutal.
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michelle
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« Reply #24 on: August 03, 2016, 06:03:04 pm »

Comment section on the article is hilarious:

Quote
Another rigged liberal poll

Quote
Fox has its head up hillary's bum and this poll smells like it.

Quote
President   Thomas Jefferson   refused  to   pay   tribute   to    Islamic   Terrorists.....    President    OBAMA,   pays   $400   Million    Dollars   to   Islamic   Terrorists.....

The best one:

Quote
it amazes really , just read an article when anti-hillary movies, books and apparel are sky high,  most comments I have read on all sites thrash her YET she is winning in the polls.  HOW can that be??

lol that's hilarious
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