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  PA-Franklin & Marshall College: Clinton +11
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Author Topic: PA-Franklin & Marshall College: Clinton +11  (Read 4144 times)
Fargobison
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« on: August 03, 2016, 11:44:09 pm »

Clinton 49
Trump 38
Other 6

http://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/517148503881751921-f-m-poll-release-july-2016.pdf
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #1 on: August 03, 2016, 11:46:03 pm »

Oh dear...
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2016, 11:46:51 pm »

Fantastic!
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xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2016, 11:47:43 pm »

Not the best pollster in the world, but holy cow!
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #4 on: August 03, 2016, 11:48:46 pm »

Not the best pollster in the world, but holy cow!

You see, that was what led to my reaction... am I happy because it's a good number, or irritated that it's a good number from an unreliable pollster.
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Arch
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« Reply #5 on: August 03, 2016, 11:49:09 pm »

Monstrous lead in the Likely D/Almost Safe D range. Without PA, Trump is toast. We need more polls to corroborate this as it isn't the most reliable, but still, +11.
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Speedy
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« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2016, 11:50:58 pm »
« Edited: August 03, 2016, 11:56:40 pm by Belisarius »

Hey, the old Alma Mater! One of their biggest problems as a pollster is that they are reeaalllyy committed to not pressing "undecideds" (note the huge undecided number in the PA-sen race numbers). That Clinton is nearing the magic number in an F&M poll is absolutely terrible news for Trump.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #7 on: August 03, 2016, 11:51:49 pm »

Live Reaction From Trump Headquarters
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #8 on: August 04, 2016, 12:02:33 am »

What.

The conventions really do lead to weird numbers.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #9 on: August 04, 2016, 12:04:41 am »

60-20 HRC in the Philly suburbs? Worse then I even expected but maybe the HRC is getting a bit more of a bounce here with the convention being local.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #10 on: August 04, 2016, 12:07:20 am »

Junk poll for not including Johnson!
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #11 on: August 04, 2016, 12:09:08 am »


The margin would likely be the same.
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IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #12 on: August 04, 2016, 12:13:41 am »

The only road without PA or FL requires either, WI, MN or MI.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #13 on: August 04, 2016, 12:17:48 am »

The only road without PA or FL requires either, WI, MN or MI.

Otherwise known as, in that case, he's f***ed.
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IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #14 on: August 04, 2016, 12:20:14 am »

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IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #15 on: August 04, 2016, 12:21:31 am »

Trump has to win NV, CO, VA, NC, GA, MO, OH, IA, NH and WI in order to win.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #16 on: August 04, 2016, 12:27:39 am »

Convention Impact

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Flake
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« Reply #17 on: August 04, 2016, 12:27:46 am »

Trump has to win NV, CO, VA, NC, GA, MO, OH, IA, NH and WI in order to win.

rip in peace trump campaign
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IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #18 on: August 04, 2016, 12:32:32 am »
« Edited: August 04, 2016, 12:35:20 am by IDS Ex-Speaker Ben Kenobi »

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If we see double digits up (and certainly it's possible), in WI - this is over.

Florida would be his only hope then.

Even with Florida, it's possible for him to lose if he loses in CO, VA and NH.

Right now I have Trump maxed out at 291 with Florida.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #19 on: August 04, 2016, 12:33:39 am »

Caution with this poll.  In 2012, PA was 78% white in the electorate.  This poll has that number at 93%. 
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Desroko
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« Reply #20 on: August 04, 2016, 12:35:26 am »


They asked.

   Jul 2016
Hillary Clinton   47%
Donald Trump   34%
Gary Johnson   7%
Jill Stein   3%
Donít know   10%

That's RV.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #21 on: August 04, 2016, 12:38:18 am »

Caution with this poll.  In 2012, PA was 78% white in the electorate.  This poll has that number at 93%. 
Amazing that Clinton is doing this well with a poll of almost entirely Pennsylvania whites.
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Holmes
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« Reply #22 on: August 04, 2016, 01:13:07 am »

F&M kind of sh**t the bed with the primary in May, but they're otherwise good. I think the election was decided these past few days.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #23 on: August 04, 2016, 01:27:39 am »


They asked.

   Jul 2016
Hillary Clinton   47%
Donald Trump   34%
Gary Johnson   7%
Jill Stein   3%
Donít know   10%

That's RV.


She's up 13 with third parties included? Wow.

No wonder Trump's staffers are allegedly "suicidal."
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Interlocutor
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« Reply #24 on: August 04, 2016, 02:33:26 am »

Caution with this poll.  In 2012, PA was 78% white in the electorate.  This poll has that number at 93%.  

I feel sorry for the guy that has to personally tell Trump that fact
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