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  NH-WBUR: Hassan +10
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Author Topic: NH-WBUR: Hassan +10  (Read 1643 times)
Ebsy
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« on: August 04, 2016, 05:26:40 am »

http://d279m997dpfwgl.cloudfront.net/wp/2016/08/Topline-2016-08-WBUR-NH-General-2.pdf

Hassan: 48
Ayotte: 37

w/ Leaners:
Hassan: 50
Ayotte: 40
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Scott 🤡🌏
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« Reply #1 on: August 04, 2016, 05:30:18 am »

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morgieb
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« Reply #2 on: August 04, 2016, 05:51:00 am »

Congrats, TNVol.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #3 on: August 04, 2016, 06:01:15 am »

Not believable
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: August 04, 2016, 06:04:22 am »

Lean D
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LLR
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« Reply #5 on: August 04, 2016, 06:49:57 am »

This is probably why TNVol disappeared.
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emcee0
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« Reply #6 on: August 04, 2016, 08:13:27 am »

Jumping Maggie!
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Brittain33
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« Reply #7 on: August 04, 2016, 08:21:17 am »

If this lead holds up—and NH tends to swing very dramatically with partisan waves—that makes three Republican senators who are going to get Blanched this November.
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Holmes
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« Reply #8 on: August 04, 2016, 09:10:15 am »

Will her climbing ever cease?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #9 on: August 04, 2016, 09:21:58 am »


Can I ask what this "Climbing Maggie" meme is about?
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #10 on: August 04, 2016, 10:11:13 am »
« Edited: August 04, 2016, 11:09:28 am by RINO Tom »


I just realized I've never gotten an actual explanation on this: Why does the fact that liberal women are voting for a Democrat make them "angry" in his eyes?  LOL
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: August 04, 2016, 10:14:40 am »

Climbing Maggie is in the mesosphere now.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: August 04, 2016, 10:34:30 am »

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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #13 on: August 04, 2016, 10:39:02 am »

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Heisenberg
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« Reply #14 on: August 04, 2016, 11:28:32 am »

Likely D. Republicans need to get out of here and Wisconsin, and focus on winnable races.
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Skye
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« Reply #15 on: August 04, 2016, 12:34:30 pm »


Can I ask what this "Climbing Maggie" meme is about?
Ask TNVolunteer.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #16 on: August 04, 2016, 11:05:53 pm »

Where's TNVolunteer?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #17 on: August 04, 2016, 11:07:54 pm »

Time to move this to Lean D.

That's three seats Lean D or better... four if we include Indiana, which I am not ready yet to do.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #18 on: August 05, 2016, 01:53:22 pm »

Kirk and Johnson combined have a better chance of winning than Ayotte. Safe D.

Likely D. Republicans need to get out of here and Wisconsin, and focus on winnable races.

Usually we agree 100%, but why Likely D? Rating it "Likely" D implies that there is a chance, however small it may be, that Ayotte can win this race. Not going to happen, even if Trump wins the presidency in a landslide.
While Ayotte is toast, I think that the loss will be within 5-6 points. Ayotte is losing, but since Scott Brown was still within 2-3 points, Ayotte will underperform only slightly (taking the Presidential Election and Hillary on top of the ticket into account). In about 15 years, though, New Hampshire margins will be Vermont margins, more or less. Many people here somehow think rating = margin. I said "likely" instead of safe to avoid pissing off those who somehow think New Hampshire is still a swing state, and I guess I fear the small off chance that we're wrong.
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Xing
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« Reply #19 on: August 05, 2016, 05:48:43 pm »

Kirk and Johnson combined have a better chance of winning than Ayotte. Safe D.

Likely D. Republicans need to get out of here and Wisconsin, and focus on winnable races.

Usually we agree 100%, but why Likely D? Rating it "Likely" D implies that there is a chance, however small it may be, that Ayotte can win this race. Not going to happen, even if Trump wins the presidency in a landslide.
While Ayotte is toast, I think that the loss will be within 5-6 points. Ayotte is losing, but since Scott Brown was still within 2-3 points, Ayotte will underperform only slightly (taking the Presidential Election and Hillary on top of the ticket into account). In about 15 years, though, New Hampshire margins will be Vermont margins, more or less. Many people here somehow think rating = margin. I said "likely" instead of safe to avoid pissing off those who somehow think New Hampshire is still a swing state, and I guess I fear the small off chance that we're wrong.

I almost want Ayotte to win (in a competitive environment,) just to see how you guys will react. Tongue I'm not guessing that it will happen, but I imagine it'd be funny.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #20 on: August 06, 2016, 03:13:27 pm »

The angry women make up 52% of this poll. They must be very fired up.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #21 on: August 06, 2016, 04:15:26 pm »

The angry women make up 52% of this poll. They must be very fired up.

Climbing Maggie leads Ayotte 57-33 among NH females, but loses the male vote by 4 (44-48). A gender gap of 28 points. Safe D.
In spite of the fact that both candidates are female. Just shows how Democratic Angry NH women are.
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Arch
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« Reply #22 on: August 06, 2016, 04:24:55 pm »

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